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Watford 1-2 Stoke City: result and stats, Championship

Matchday 7
FT
  • Amin Nabizada90+1'
  • 45+4'Jack Mcglynn
  • 57'Eric Junior Bocat
Vicarage RoadLewis SmithCapacity 22,200Sat, 12 Sept 202616:00
Charlie Daniels portrait
Assistant
Charlie Daniels
Ryan Shawcross portrait
Assistant
Ryan Shawcross

Substitutions

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  • T. Akomeah portraitWatford crest
    T. Akomeah
    Lacking Match Fitness
    Out
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    K. Baah
    Knock
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  • M. Boadu portraitWatford crest
    M. Boadu
    Injury
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  • M. Bola portraitWatford crest
    M. Bola
    Hamstring Injury
    Out
  • E. Bove portraitWatford crest
    E. Bove
    Knee Injury
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    J. Grieves
    Lacking Match Fitness
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  • B. Mlacic portraitWatford crest
    B. Mlacic
    Inactive
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  • J. Ngakia portraitWatford crest
    J. Ngakia
    Thigh Injury
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Away

  • A. Cresswell portraitStoke City crest
    A. Cresswell
    Knee Injury
    Out
  • S. Gallagher portraitStoke City crest
    S. Gallagher
    Injury
    Out
  • S. Ingelsson portraitStoke City crest
    S. Ingelsson
    Injury
    Out
  • B. Lawal portraitStoke City crest
    B. Lawal
    Muscle Injury
    Out
Player of the match
Eric-Junior Bocat headshot
Eric-Junior Bocat
Defender · Stoke City
8.0
This match
Shooting1.9Finishing3.0Creativity4.4Passing6.8Involvement4.2Defending10.0Physical6.5Dribbling6.6
Attacking
Goals1
Assists0
Shots2
Shots on target1
Shot accuracy50%
Dribbles won1
Build-up
Passes32
Key passes2
Pass accuracy88%
Defending
Duels won3 · 60%
Fouls won/made2 / 1
This match · octagon = season skill index

Highest-rated players

Nabizada7.2Zemura7.0Kyprianou6.9McGlynn7.6Galbraith7.6Bocat8.0
Player
Viktor JohanssonViktor JohanssonG110,64-0,3631/346/9
Federico RavagliaFederico RavagliaG421,05-0,9526/305/9
Watford crestLive statsStoke City crest

Possession & Passing

41%Possession59%
380Total passes545
80%Pass accuracy87%
5Corners8

Attack

6Shots18
2On target6
2Off target8
2Blocked shots4

Box & Quality

4Shots in box10
2Shots out box8
0.4xG1.5
-0.4Goals prevented-0.4

Defense & Discipline

4Goalkeeper saves1
0Offsides3
14Fouls6
2Yellow cards2

Half by half

The same match, split at the break. Which half did each side actually win?

Watford crest

First half

Stoke City crest
0,17xG0,62
2Shots11
0On target4
0Big chances1
5Touches in box10
36%Possession64%
2Corners6
Watford crest

Second half

Stoke City crest
0,22xG0,88
4Shots7
2On target2
0Big chances1
4Touches in box8
47%Possession53%
3Corners2

xG analytics

TeamxGShotsSOTPoss
Watford crestWatford
0.396441%
59% open play41% set piece
Stoke City crestStoke City
1.50181059%
99% open play1% set piece

Expected goals weighs every shot by the historic conversion rate of similar chances. Higher xG means better scoring opportunities, regardless of whether they went in.

xG race

24 shots

Chance quality as it built up. A steep step is a big chance.

0,00,40,81,31,70'15'30'45'60'75'90'Jack McGlynn 45'Eric Bocat 57'Amin Nabizada 90'Stoke City1,50 xGWatford0,39 xGCumulative expected goals per team over the match.
Watford crestWatford0,39 xG · 1 scoredStoke City crestStoke City1,50 xG · 2 scored

How those chances were made

Watford12
Open play 8Set piece 4
Stoke City34
Open play 30Dribble 1Rebound 2Defensive 1

Momentum

19 swings

Which side was on top, minute by minute. A taller bar is heavier pressure.

Jack McGlynn 45'Eric Bocat 57'Amin Nabizada 90'0'15'30'45'60'75'90'WatfordStoke City
Watford crestWatford36% pressureStoke City crestStoke City64% pressure

Match replay

91'
1-2
0%Draw 0%100%
0.39xG1.50
6Shots18
4On target10
Momentum
Justin Devenny portrait90' Saved Justin Devenny 0.03 xG

Shot map

6 v 18

Watford shoot right, Stoke City left. Bigger dot = better chance.

WATSCgoalsavedoff target

Goal mouth

14 on target · 3 scored

Where each shot on target crossed the line. Placement beats power.

Eric Bocat, 4', off targetLamine Cissé, 8', off targetLamine Cissé, 20', off targetEthan Galbraith, 29', off targetOthmane Maamma, 35', off targetLamine Cissé, 51', off targetBen Johnson, 51', off targetJustin Devenny, 53', off targetGeorge Hirst, 66', off targetHector Kyprianou, 69', off target
WatfordStoke Citygoalsavedoff target

Average positions

Each starter's average position on the ball, with the number of those actions inside the chip. Both sides attack left to right. Tap a player to see where they actually were.

WatfordDefensive line 34%
32Zemura34Maamma39Bravo26Mavididi47Doumbia69Biakolo70Kayembe52Coulibaly72Kyprianou69Pollock44Ravaglia
Stoke CityDefensive line 39%
48Johansson40Cissé110Galbraith73Soumaré55Bocat67McGlynn89Wilmot74Johnson62Devenny75Talovierov94Graham

An average, not a movement map: it says where a player's actions balanced out, not where they ran.

Passing network

Each player at his average position, sized by passes made. Lines join team-mates with 5 or more passes between them (fewer when a side made its first change early), thicker for more. Counted until each side's first substitution. Both sides attack left to right. Tap a player to isolate his links.

WatfordUntil 42'
6539173374345201

Most-connected pair: Pollock and Keben, 10 passes between them.

Stoke CityUntil 65'
85402716177213111

Most-connected pair: Galbraith and Graham, 24 passes between them.

Tactical battle

35control65
45%Field tiltField tilt 55%6Box entriesBox entries 126Passes into boxPasses into box 12
Ben Johnson
Ben Johnson
5 touches in box
Press13.8 · 9.5Territory45% · 55%Direct2.36 · 1.93Progress28 · 31Dribble5 · 8Creation12 · 34Threat0.43 · 1.24Recover9 · 14
Watford crest

In possession

Stoke City crest
45,0%Field tilt55,0%
6Passes into box12
19Progressive passes24
8Carries into final third4
5Chances created16

Field tilt is each side's share of play in the final third.

Watford crest

Out of possession

Stoke City crest
13,78Press intensity (PPDA)9,50
12High turnovers13
9Regains within 5s14
25,6sBall recovery time19,6s
7Interceptions16

↓ Lower is better, so the longer bar always wins. PPDA is opponent passes allowed per defensive action.

Watford crest

Carrying

Stoke City crest
63Carries121
832mCarry distance1275m
9Progressive carries7
522mProgressive carry distance577m
1Carries into the box0

Distances are how far the ball was moved forward, not how far anybody ran.

Watford crest

Beating the press

Stoke City crest
5Take-ons won8
13Take-ons attempted17
391mProgressive pass distance443m
2Through balls0
4Switches of play8

A take-on is a player going past an opponent with the ball at his feet.

Watford crest

Threat created

Stoke City crest
0,43Expected threat (xT)1,24
0,86Action value (VAEP)1,99
12Shot-creating actions34
2Goal-creating actions4
0,30Expected assisted goals1,29

xT values where a possession reached; VAEP values every action by how much it shifted the chance of a goal.

Watford crest

Tempo

Stoke City crest
2,9Passes per attack4,4
9,7sAttack duration14,1s
2,36 m/sAttack directness1,93 m/s
1Build-up attacks6
4Direct attacks12

An attack is direct when it moves upfield quickly rather than through many passes.

Watford crest

More match stats

Stoke City crest
Watford crest

Attack

Stoke City crest
9Touches in box18
53Final third entries48
0Big chances2
0,64xG on target1,05
0Big chances missed2
Watford crest

Passing

Stoke City crest
1/16 (6%)Crosses6/21 (29%)
18/48 (38%)Long balls22/48 (46%)
30Throw-ins14
6Free kicks14
7Goal kicks8
Watford crest

Duels

Stoke City crest
38Total62
28/73 (38%)Ground45/73 (62%)
9/24 (38%)Aerial15/24 (63%)
4/12 (33%)Dribbles10/18 (56%)
13Dispossessed10
Watford crest

Defending

Stoke City crest
50Recoveries49
5Interceptions9
18Tackles21
67%Tackles won71%
27Clearances23
0Big saves1
1Errors led to shot0
0Fouled in final third3
6,61Average rating7,63

Goal profile

This season

How often each side reaches a scoreline, across 10 matches each.

Watford crestShare of their matchesStoke City crest

They score

60%1+ goal100%
20%2+ goals50%

They concede

100%1+ goal80%
40%2+ goals40%
20%3+ goals30%
20%4+ goals10%

Heaviest results

Watford crestbest 2-1 (H)·worst 0-4 (H)

Stoke City crestbest 4-0 (H)·worst 1-4 (A)

Match summary

Stoke City beat Watford 2-1 at Vicarage Road in the Championship. Stoke City led 1-0 at half-time. Scorers: Amin Nabizada (90+1') for Watford; Jack Mcglynn (45+4'), Eric Junior Bocat (57') for Stoke City. In their last 18 meetings, Watford have won 7, Stoke City 8, with 3 drawn. Full match stats, lineups and player ratings are all on this page.

AI prediction
Confidence 43%
WAT43%
X37%
SC20%

→ Double chance: Watford or draw

Why this prediction

The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.

Watford crestShare per factorStoke City crest
42%Form58%
33%Attack67%
57%Defence43%
77%Goal model (Poisson)23%
62%Head-to-head38%
60%Goals40%
55%Overall45%
Last 5 matches
Scored 4, conceded 6
Last 5 matches
Scored 8, conceded 8

Who will win?

Cast your vote!

Watford crestCompare teamsStoke City crest
Team formsLatestPts
22
Watford crestWatford
LLLLW
8
8
Stoke City crestStoke City
LWWWD
16
Prematch standings

Head-to-headLast 18 meetings

Watford crest7
Wins
3
Draws
8Stoke City crest
Wins
Show 12 earlier meetings
  • 19 Aug 2023Stoke City crest1 - 0Watford crestChampionship
  • 8 May 2023Watford crest2 - 0Stoke City crestChampionship
  • 2 Oct 2022Stoke City crest0 - 4Watford crestChampionship
  • 21 Sept 2021Watford crest1 - 3Stoke City crestLeague Cup
  • 22 Jan 2021Stoke City crest1 - 2Watford crestChampionship
  • 4 Nov 2020Watford crest3 - 2Stoke City crestChampionship
  • 31 Jan 2018Stoke City crest0 - 0Watford crestPremier League
  • 28 Oct 2017Watford crest0 - 1Stoke City crestPremier League
  • 3 Jan 2017Stoke City crest2 - 0Watford crestPremier League
  • 27 Nov 2016Watford crest0 - 1Stoke City crestPremier League
  • 19 Mar 2016Watford crest1 - 2Stoke City crestPremier League
  • 24 Oct 2015Stoke City crest0 - 2Watford crestPremier League
Full head-to-head →

Venue spotlight

Vicarage Road
Watford, England
22,200
Capacity