Türkiye 1-4 Italy: result and stats, UEFA Nations League
- Barış Alper Yılmaz47'
- 9'Alessandro Bastoni
- 22'Davide Frattesi
- 27'Michael Kayode
- 50'Pio Esposito
Türkiye
Substitutions
- 46'Orkun Kökçü
66.2İsmail Yüksek
166.8 - 46'Can Uzun
116.2Kerem Aktürkoğlu
76.0 - 46'Merih Demiral
35.9Abdülkerim Bardakcı
146.2 - 76'Salih Özcan
56.1Demir Ege Tıknaz
87.1 - 80'Barış Alper Yılmaz
217.1Deniz Gül
96.5
Unused
Substitutions
- 46'Giacomo Raspadori
106.8Nicolò Cambiaghi
175.9 - 63'Sebastiano Esposito
236.6Issa Doumbia
156.5 - 75'Pio Esposito
78.3AGianluca Scamacca
116.5 - 76'Nicolò Fagioli
66.3 - 82'Davide Frattesi
168.0Giovanni Di Lorenzo
226.7
Unused
Player of the match
| Player | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Gianluigi DonnarummaG | 2 | 1 | 26/34 |
| Altay BayındırG | 4 | 4 | 21/32 |
xG race
29 shotsChance quality as it built up. A steep step is a big chance.
Türkiye1,83 xG · 1 scoredItaly2,45 xG · 4 scoredShot map
15 v 14Türkiye shoot right, Italy left. Bigger dot = better chance.
Goal mouth
10 on target · 5 scoredWhere each shot on target crossed the line. Placement beats power.
Shot duel
Yılmaz's 47' chance was the biggest of the match: 0,80 xG, scored.
Every shot on its minute, Türkiye above and Italy below. The longer the bar, the bigger the chance. Faces on goals and on chances of 0,3 xG or more.
Türkiye15 shots · 1,83 xGItaly14 shots · 2,45 xGxG analytics
TürkiyeItalyExpected goals weighs every shot by the historic conversion rate of similar chances. Higher xG means better scoring opportunities, regardless of whether they went in.
Momentum
9 swingsWhich side was on top, minute by minute. A taller bar is heavier pressure.
Türkiye57% pressureItaly43% pressureMatch replay
91'1-45' Off target Giacomo Raspadori 0.03 xG · Assisted · Right-footAverage positions
Each starter's average position on the ball, with the number of those actions inside the chip. Both sides attack left to right.
TürkiyeItalyAn average, not a movement map: it says where a player's actions balanced out, not where they ran.
The moment that decided it
The goal that swung the win probability the most.
Alessandro BastoniGoal9'- Score
- 0–0→0–1
- Italy win chance
- 37%→67%
- xG of the shot
- 0.06
Live statsPossession & Passing
Attack
Box & Quality
Defense & Discipline
More match stats
Attack
Passing
Duels
Defending
Match summary
Italy beat Türkiye 4-1 at Bursa Büyükşehir Stadyumu in the UEFA Nations League. Italy led 3-0 at half-time. Scorers: Barış Alper Yılmaz (47') for Türkiye; Alessandro Bastoni (9'), Davide Frattesi (22'), Michael Kayode (27'), Pio Esposito (50') for Italy. In their last 5 meetings, Türkiye have won 0, Italy 4, with 1 drawn. Full match stats, lineups and player ratings are all on this page.
→ Double chance: Italy or draw
Why this prediction
The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.
Share per factor
Who will win?
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Venue spotlight
Head-to-headLast 5 meetings
0Türkiye
