196'
Swindon Town 3-1 Colchester: result and stats, League Two
Matchday 5
FT
- Aaron Drinan49', 77', 79'
- 13'Kylian Kouassi
County GroundS. GillCapacity 15,728Sat, 5 Sept 202616:00
Swindon TownLine ups
7.04corners2yellow cards0red cards
Line ups6.76corners0yellow cards0red cards
Substitutions
- 46'A. Hackford
296.5L. Millard
396.7 - 46'B. Kirkman
346.6K. Majekodunmi
217.2 - 46'O. Clarke
87.3B. Middlemas
206.9 - 75'
Unused
- L. WardG
12 - D. ButterworthM
14 - J. Hungbo64'F
156.6
Substitutions
- 57'J. Williams
266.3S. Kuffour
446.7 - 69'O. Thorn
276.5B. Ihionvien
96.7 - 70'K. Kouassi
147.3L. Chiwome
116.3 - 70'M. Sesay
127.5AJ. Williams
176.2 - 80'E. Iandolo
36.2F. Terry
247.0
Unused
Player of the match
Aaron John Drinan
Attacker · Swindon Town
8.7
This match
Attacking
Goals3
Assists0
Shots4
Shots on target4
Shot accuracy100%
Dribbles won1
Offsides1
Build-up
Passes20
Key passes1
Pass accuracy65%
Defending
Tackles1
Duels won2 · 20%
This match · octagon = season skill index
Highest-rated players
Goalkeepers
Every shot on target · tap one
Ripley
Swindon Town
5
Saves
1
Conceded
83%
Save %
+0.93
Prevented
Best save: Kouassi 22'
Bottom right · 0.1 m high · 12 m out · 25° angle
Lo-Tutala
Colchester
3
Saves
3
Conceded
50%
Save %
+0.15
Prevented
Best save: Snowdon 40'
Bottom centre · 0.5 m high · 10 m out · 2° angle
| Player | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor RipleyG | 5 | 1 | 1,93 | +0,93 | 16/38 | 7/29 |
| Thimothee Lo-TutalaG | 3 | 3 | 3,15 | +0,15 | 22/37 | 10/25 |
xG race
32 shotsChance quality as it built up. A steep step is a big chance.
Swindon Town2,89 xG · 3 scoredColchester1,42 xG · 1 scoredHow those chances were made
Swindon Town22
Colchester36
Shot map
14 v 18Swindon Town shoot right, Colchester left. Bigger dot = better chance.
STSwindon TownCOLColchestergoalsavedoff target
Goal mouth
25 on target · 4 scoredWhere each shot on target crossed the line. Placement beats power.
Swindon TownColchestergoalsavedoff target
Shot duel
Drinan's 49' chance was the biggest of the match: 0,94 xG, scored.
Every shot on its minute, Swindon Town above and Colchester below. The longer the bar, the bigger the chance. Faces on goals and on chances of 0,3 xG or more.
Swindon Town14 shots · 2,89 xGColchester18 shots · 1,42 xGAaron Drinan
Swindon Town
49'0,94 xGGoal
xG analytics
TeamxGShotsSOTPoss
Swindon Town45% open play18% set piece37% penalty
Colchester89% open play11% set piece
Expected goals weighs every shot by the historic conversion rate of similar chances. Higher xG means better scoring opportunities, regardless of whether they went in.
Momentum
17 swingsWhich side was on top, minute by minute. A taller bar is heavier pressure.
Swindon Town36% pressureColchester64% pressureMatch replay
91'3-1100%Draw 0%0%
2.89xG1.42
14Shots18
12On target13
Momentum
90' Off target Jaden Williams 0.04 xG · Regular play · Right footAverage positions
Each starter's average position on the ball, with the number of those actions inside the chip. Both sides attack left to right. Tap a player to see where they actually were.
Swindon TownDefensive line 35%ColchesterDefensive line 24%An average, not a movement map: it says where a player's actions balanced out, not where they ran.
Passing network
Each player at his average position, sized by passes made. Lines join team-mates with 5 or more passes between them (fewer when a side made its first change early), thicker for more. Counted until each side's first substitution. Both sides attack left to right. Tap a player to isolate his links.
Swindon TownUntil 45'Most-connected pair: Negru and Kirkman, 10 passes between them.
ColchesterUntil 57'Most-connected pair: Hunt and Thorn, 20 passes between them.
Tactical battle
42control58Aaron Drinan
7 touches in box
In possession
43,9%Field tilt56,1%
4Passes into box13
20Progressive passes34
14Carries into final third6
5Chances created15
Field tilt is each side's share of play in the final third.
Out of possession
7,90Press intensity (PPDA)15,00
13High turnovers7
24Regains within 5s22
16,4sBall recovery time14,0s
23Interceptions9
↓ Lower is better, so the longer bar always wins. PPDA is opponent passes allowed per defensive action.
Carrying
98Carries110
1185mCarry distance1308m
14Progressive carries12
655mProgressive carry distance590m
1Carries into the box3
Distances are how far the ball was moved forward, not how far anybody ran.
Beating the press
5Take-ons won12
16Take-ons attempted23
396mProgressive pass distance703m
1Through balls2
4Switches of play5
A take-on is a player going past an opponent with the ball at his feet.
Threat created
0,65Expected threat (xT)1,01
2,86Action value (VAEP)0,73
22Shot-creating actions36
6Goal-creating actions2
0,77Expected assisted goals1,03
xT values where a possession reached; VAEP values every action by how much it shifted the chance of a goal.
Tempo
2,1Passes per attack3,1
8,6sAttack duration8,6s
2,95 m/sAttack directness3,15 m/s
2Build-up attacks3
12Direct attacks9
An attack is direct when it moves upfield quickly rather than through many passes.
The moment that decided it
The goal that swung the win probability the most.
Aaron DrinanGoal77'- Score
- 1–1→2–1
- Swindon Town win chance
- 27%→89%
- xG of the shot
- 0.09
Live statsPossession & Passing
40%Possession60%
299Total passes474
70%Pass accuracy79%
4Corners6
Attack
14Shots18
6On target6
2Off target5
6Blocked shots7
Box & Quality
11Shots in box14
3Shots out box4
2.9xG1.4
Defense & Discipline
5Goalkeeper saves3
2Offsides2
8Fouls7
2Yellow cards0
Half by half
The same match, split at the break. Which half did each side actually win?
First half
0,28xG0,92
3Shots10
1On target3
0Big chances2
4Touches in box18
40%Possession60%
0Corners3
Second half
1,87xG0,50
11Shots8
5On target3
3Big chances1
19Touches in box20
39%Possession61%
4Corners3
More match stats
Attack
23Touches in box38
62Final third entries88
3Big chances3
1Big chances missed2
49Dangerous attacks51
Passing
2/22 (9%)Crosses2/17 (12%)
21/76 (28%)Long balls36/76 (47%)
20Throw-ins33
6Free kicks8
11Goal kicks5
Duels
50Total50
36/72 (50%)Ground36/72 (50%)
21/42 (50%)Aerial21/42 (50%)
5/16 (31%)Dribbles12/21 (57%)
6Dispossessed15
Defending
45Recoveries44
12Interceptions6
24Tackles17
50%Tackles won71%
33Clearances33
2Big chances scored1
2Fouled in final third2
7,83Average rating6,92
Match summary
Swindon Town beat Colchester 3-1 at County Ground in the League Two. Colchester led 1-0 at half-time, but Swindon Town came from behind to win. Scorers: Aaron Drinan (49', 77', 79') for Swindon Town; Kylian Kouassi (13') for Colchester. In their last 29 meetings, Swindon Town have won 9, Colchester 12, with 8 drawn. Full match stats, lineups and player ratings are all on this page.
AI prediction
Confidence 36%ST36%
X32%
COL32%
→ Double chance: Swindon Town or draw
Why this prediction
The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.
Share per factor50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
76%Goal model (Poisson)24%
50%Head-to-head50%
33%Goals67%
52%Overall48%
Last 4 matches
Scored 5, conceded 5
Last 4 matches
Scored 5, conceded 5
Who will win?
Cast your vote!
Goal profile
This seasonHow often each side reaches a scoreline, across 14 and 13 matches.
Share of their matchesThey score
50%1+ goal69%
36%2+ goals23%
They concede
86%1+ goal85%
14%2+ goals46%
14%3+ goals15%
Heaviest results
best 3-1 (H)·worst 0-4 (A)
best 2-1 (H)·worst 1-3 (H)
Venue spotlight
County Ground
Swindon, Wiltshire, England
15,728
Capacity
Head-to-headLast 29 meetings
9Swindon TownWins9 wins
8Draws
Draws8
12Colchester
Wins12 wins
- 5 Sept 2026Swindon Town3 - 1ColchesterLeague Two
- 10 Apr 2026Colchester3 - 0Swindon TownLeague Two
- 25 Oct 2025Swindon Town0 - 0ColchesterLeague Two
- 1 Jan 2025Swindon Town3 - 2ColchesterLeague Two
- 3 Dec 2024Colchester4 - 0Swindon TownLeague Two
- 2 Nov 2024Swindon Town2 - 1ColchesterFA Cup
Show 23 earlier meetingsHide earlier meetings
- 6 Jan 2024Swindon Town2 - 2ColchesterLeague Two
- 7 Nov 2023Colchester3 - 1Swindon TownLeague Two
- 1 Jan 2023Colchester1 - 0Swindon TownLeague Two
- 15 Oct 2022Swindon Town1 - 0ColchesterLeague Two
- 29 Jan 2022Colchester1 - 1Swindon TownLeague Two
- 30 Nov 2021Swindon Town1 - 2ColchesterEFL Trophy
- 25 Sept 2021Swindon Town0 - 0ColchesterLeague Two
- 28 Jan 2020Colchester3 - 1Swindon TownLeague Two
- 17 Sept 2019Swindon Town0 - 3ColchesterLeague Two
- 13 Aug 2019Colchester3 - 0Swindon TownLeague Cup
- 2 Mar 2019Swindon Town3 - 0ColchesterLeague Two
- 3 Nov 2018Colchester1 - 0Swindon TownLeague Two
- 28 Apr 2018Colchester0 - 0Swindon TownLeague Two
- 15 Dec 2017Swindon Town2 - 3ColchesterLeague Two
- 13 Feb 2016Colchester1 - 4Swindon TownLeague One
- 26 Sept 2015Swindon Town1 - 2ColchesterLeague One
- 28 Apr 2015Colchester1 - 1Swindon TownLeague One
- 25 Oct 2014Swindon Town2 - 2ColchesterLeague One
- 14 Feb 2014Swindon Town0 - 0ColchesterLeague One
- 16 Nov 2013Colchester1 - 2Swindon TownLeague One
- 5 Feb 2013Colchester0 - 1Swindon TownLeague One
- 2 Oct 2012Swindon Town0 - 1ColchesterLeague One
- 3 Dec 2011Colchester0 - 1Swindon TownFA Cup