Sweden 3-1 Poland: result and stats, UEFA Nations League
- Benjamin Nygren8'
- Yasin Ayari63'
- Viktor Gyökeres72'
- 43'Sebastian Szymański
Sweden
Substitutions
- 63'Besfort Zeneli
226.3Sebastian Nanasi
197.0A - 80'Patrik Wålemark
117.5A - 80'Benjamin Nygren
107.6Hugo Larsson
206.3 - 89'
- 89'Yasin Ayari
188.0
Unused
Substitutions
- 65'Tymoteusz Puchacz
156.4 - 76'Matty Cash
26.3Michał Skóraś
176.4 - 76'Sebastian Szymański
208.3Karol Świderski
116.5 - 76'Piotr Zieliński
106.9Kacper Urbański
86.5 - 88'
Unused
Player of the match
| Player | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor JohanssonG | 6 | 1 | 18/31 |
| Marcin BułkaG | 3 | 3 | 10/12 |
xG race
30 shotsChance quality as it built up. A steep step is a big chance.
Sweden2,15 xG · 3 scoredPoland0,91 xG · 1 scoredShot map
12 v 18Sweden shoot right, Poland left. Bigger dot = better chance.
Goal mouth
13 on target · 4 scoredWhere each shot on target crossed the line. Placement beats power.
Shot duel
Gyökeres' 72' chance was the biggest of the match: 0,64 xG, scored.
Every shot on its minute, Sweden above and Poland below. The longer the bar, the bigger the chance. Faces on goals and on chances of 0,3 xG or more.
Sweden12 shots · 2,15 xGPoland18 shots · 0,91 xG
xG analytics
SwedenPolandExpected goals weighs every shot by the historic conversion rate of similar chances. Higher xG means better scoring opportunities, regardless of whether they went in.
Momentum
15 swingsWhich side was on top, minute by minute. A taller bar is heavier pressure.
Sweden47% pressurePoland53% pressureMatch replay
91'3-14' Saved Piotr Zieliński 0.06 xG · Assisted · Right-footAverage positions
Each starter's average position on the ball, with the number of those actions inside the chip. Both sides attack left to right.
SwedenPolandAn average, not a movement map: it says where a player's actions balanced out, not where they ran.
The moment that decided it
The goal that swung the win probability the most. Press play to replay the move, touch by touch.
Yasin AyariRight foot · assist S. Nanasi63'- Score
- 1–1→2–1
- Sweden win chance
- 32%→80%
- xG of the shot
- 0.03
- Touches in the move
- 2
- 1S. Nanasiassist›
- 2Y. AyariRight foot
Live statsPossession & Passing
Attack
Box & Quality
Defense & Discipline
More match stats
Attack
Passing
Duels
Defending
Match summary
Sweden beat Poland 3-1 at Strawberry Arena in the UEFA Nations League. It was 1-1 at half-time. Scorers: Benjamin Nygren (8'), Yasin Ayari (63'), Viktor Gyökeres (72') for Sweden; Sebastian Szymański (43') for Poland. In their last 4 meetings, Sweden have won 3, Poland 1, with 0 drawn. Full match stats, lineups and player ratings are all on this page.
→ Double chance: Sweden or draw
Why this prediction
The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.
Share per factor
Who will win?
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Venue spotlight
Head-to-headLast 4 meetings
3Sweden
