125'
SC Paderborn 07 1-0 Hamburger SV: result and stats, Bundesliga
Matchday 7
FT
SC Paderborn 07Line ups
7.06corners1yellow cards0red cards
Line ups6.63corners3yellow cards0red cards
Assistant
Pit Reimers
AssistantPit Reimers
Pit ReimersSubstitutions
- 45'G. Vidović
406.4T. Baack
66.8 - 62'J. ter Horst
216.4F. Götze
207.9A - 62'S. Tigges
276.5M. Pieringer
186.6 - 70'L. Ulrich
286.8R. Philippe97.5 - 79'
Unused
Substitutions
- 13'Fábio Vieira
206.4Otto Emerson Stange
196.7 - 45'Y. Poulsen
156.5T. Moffi
96.2 - 71'M. Muheim
286.5A. Sambi Lokonga
65.7 - 71'B. Nadir
46.8A. Grønbæk
116.8
Unused
- Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit89'F
385.9 - S. TangvikG
12 - L. LemkeD
37 - J. Bissi MouelleD
48 - Kofi Jeremy AmoakoM
22
Home
OutN. Awortwie-GrantKnee Injury
OutO. Batista MeierAnkle Injury
OutT. GayretKnee Injury
OutM. HoffmeierMuscle Injury
OutS. KlaasMuscle Injury
Away
OutN. CapaldoMuscle Injury
OutN. RembergKnee Injury
OutM. VuskovicDoping
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DateSat 21 Nov
Kick-off15:30
BayArena
Player of the match
Felix Götze
Defender · SC Paderborn 07
7.9
This match
Attacking
Goals0
Assists1
Shots0
Shots on target0
Dribbles won0
Build-up
Passes18
Key passes2
Pass accuracy100%
Defending
Tackles1
Blocks0
Interceptions2
Duels won3 · 60%
Fouls won/made2 / 1
This match · octagon = season skill index
Highest-rated players
Player DNA
Better than 99% of Bundesliga defenders for goals.
Per 90 minutes this season, against all 95 defenders with at least 300 minutes.
Miro Muheim · Hamburger SVDefender · 390 min
Elite 90+Strong 70+Average 40+Below 40
Skill by skillPer 90Rank
- Goals0.6999%
- xG0.0658%
- Shots1.6297%
- Assists0.2388%
- xA0.2389%
- Shot-creating actions5.5495%
- Chances created3.4699%
- xT0.0953%
- Progressive passes3.0056%
- Progressive carries0.9252%
- Dribbles won0.2339%
- Tackles won0.9237%
- Interceptions1.1541%
- Duels won1.1531%
- VAEP0.7399%
Bundesliga 2026/27, through 8 Nov. Rank means better than that share of the group, in their most-played position.
Goalkeepers
Every shot on target · tap one
Noll
SC Paderborn 07
1
Saves
0
Conceded
100%
Save %
+0.57
Prevented
Best save: Bornauw 90' · 0.57 xGOT
Top left · 2.4 m high · 9 m out · 41° angle
Fernandes
Hamburger SV
5
Saves
1
Conceded
83%
Save %
-0.14
Prevented
Best save: Castañeda 47' · 0.42 xGOT
Bottom left · 0.8 m high · 7 m out · 25° angle
| Player | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. NollG | 1 | 0,57 | +0,57 | 36/44 | 10/17 |
| Daniel Heuer FernandesG | 5 | 0,86 | -0,14 | 24/40 | 6/23 |
xG race
25 shotsChance quality as it built up. A steep step is a big chance.
SC Paderborn 071,13 xG · 1 scoredHamburger SV0,43 xG · 0 scoredHow those chances were made
SC Paderborn 0729
Hamburger SV18
Shot map
16 v 9SC Paderborn 07 shoot right, Hamburger SV left. Bigger dot = better chance.
07SC Paderborn 07HAMHamburger SVgoalsavedoff target
Goal mouth
14 on target · 1 scoredWhere each shot on target crossed the line. Placement beats power.
SC Paderborn 07Hamburger SVgoalsavedoff target
Shot duel
Castañeda's 47' chance was the biggest of the match: 0,31 xG, saved.
Every shot on its minute, SC Paderborn 07 above and Hamburger SV below. The longer the bar, the bigger the chance. Faces on goals and on chances of 0,3 xG or more.
SC Paderborn 0716 shots · 1,13 xGHamburger SV9 shots · 0,43 xG
Santiago Castañeda
SC Paderborn 07
47'0,31 xGSaved
xG analytics
TeamxGShotsSOTPoss
SC Paderborn 0716% open play84% set piece
Hamburger SV52% open play48% set piece
Expected goals weighs every shot by the historic conversion rate of similar chances. Higher xG means better scoring opportunities, regardless of whether they went in.
The deserved table
Hamburger SV have 4.0 more points than their chances earned.
Every Bundesliga shot this season turned into expected points (xPTS): how many points each side's chances were worth.
The luck mapAll 18 sides
These two sidesFull table
SC Paderborn 07
About what their chances earned
+0.3
- 13th → 13th
- Table
- 8 / 10.1 xG
- Scored
- 11 / 14.2 xG
- Conceded
Hamburger SV
Points above what their chances earned
+4.0
- 11th → 16th
- Table
- 10 / 10.3 xG
- Scored
- 20 / 17.2 xG
- Conceded
Bundesliga 2026/27, 81 of 81 finished matches through 8 Nov, league only. A measure of chances, not a verdict.
Momentum
14 swingsWhich side was on top, minute by minute. A taller bar is heavier pressure.
SC Paderborn 0777% pressureHamburger SV23% pressureMatch replay
91'1-0100%Draw 0%0%
1.13xG0.43
16Shots9
10On target4
Momentum
90' Off target Rayan Philippe 0.02 xG · Fast break · Left footAverage positions
Each starter's average position on the ball, with the number of those actions inside the chip. Both sides attack left to right. Tap a player to see where they actually were.
SC Paderborn 07Defensive line 32%Hamburger SVDefensive line 30%An average, not a movement map: it says where a player's actions balanced out, not where they ran.
Passing network
Each player at his average position, sized by passes made. Lines join team-mates with 5 or more passes between them (fewer when a side made its first change early), thicker for more. Counted until each side's first substitution. Both sides attack left to right. Tap a player to isolate his links.
SC Paderborn 07Until 45'Most-connected pair: Scheller and Hansen, 24 passes between them.
Hamburger SVUntil 13'Most-connected pairs: Bornauw and Nandja and 2 others, 3 passes each.
Tactical battle
65control35
T. Scheller
5 touches in box
In possession
68,7%Field tilt31,3%
13Passes into box7
33Progressive passes18
15Carries into final third6
12Chances created5
Field tilt is each side's share of play in the final third.
Out of possession
8,94Press intensity (PPDA)11,32
10High turnovers5
15Regains within 5s14
16,6sBall recovery time24,6s
22Interceptions21
↓ Lower is better, so the longer bar always wins. PPDA is opponent passes allowed per defensive action.
Carrying
175Carries82
2024mCarry distance957m
24Progressive carries5
1132mProgressive carry distance489m
4Carries into the box0
Distances are how far the ball was moved forward, not how far anybody ran.
Beating the press
4Take-ons won6
18Take-ons attempted13
626mProgressive pass distance376m
0Through balls0
8Switches of play2
A take-on is a player going past an opponent with the ball at his feet.
Threat created
0,67Expected threat (xT)0,41
1,31Action value (VAEP)0,29
29Shot-creating actions18
2Goal-creating actions0
1,04Expected assisted goals0,28
xT values where a possession reached; VAEP values every action by how much it shifted the chance of a goal.
Tempo
3,8Passes per attack2,8
11,9sAttack duration8,7s
2,18 m/sAttack directness3,50 m/s
3Build-up attacks1
6Direct attacks7
An attack is direct when it moves upfield quickly rather than through many passes.
The moment that decided it
The goal that swung the win probability the most. Press play to replay the move, touch by touch.
Rayan PhilippeLeft foot · assist F. Götze88'- Score
- 0–0→1–0
- SC Paderborn 07 win chance
- 4%→99%
- xG of the shot
- 0.02
- Touches in the move
- 4
- 1R. Philippe›
- 2L. Curda›
- 3F. Götzeassist›
- 4R. PhilippeLeft foot
Live statsPossession & Passing
62%Possession38%
532Total passes333
84%Pass accuracy72%
6Corners3
Attack
16Shots8
6On target1
6Off target5
4Blocked shots2
Box & Quality
9Shots in box3
7Shots out box5
1.1xG0.4
Defense & Discipline
1Goalkeeper saves5
2Offsides0
12Fouls15
1Yellow cards2
Half by half
The same match, split at the break. Which half did each side actually win?
First half
0,21xG0,10
3Shots2
0On target0
0Big chances0
11Touches in box4
62%Possession38%
4Corners1
Second half
0,92xG0,33
13Shots6
6On target1
2Big chances0
25Touches in box9
61%Possession39%
2Corners2
More match stats
Attack
36Touches in box13
65Final third entries46
2Big chances0
0,86xG on target0,57
2Big chances missed0
Passing
9/31 (29%)Crosses2/17 (12%)
37/61 (61%)Long balls18/60 (30%)
20Throw-ins15
15Free kicks12
11Goal kicks11
Duels
50Total50
29/69 (42%)Ground40/69 (58%)
28/44 (64%)Aerial16/43 (37%)
4/18 (22%)Dribbles6/13 (46%)
9Dispossessed4
Defending
49Recoveries49
14Interceptions12
11Tackles23
73%Tackles won61%
22Clearances46
0Big saves1
2Fouled in final third4
7,89Average rating7,11
Big game or flat track?
Hamburger SV take 1.5 points a game from weaker sides, 1.5 from stronger ones.
Points per game against stronger and weaker opponents, over each side's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Points per gameLast 10 matches
These two sidesStrongerWeaker
SC Paderborn 071.3 (6)1.0 (1)Newest firstWDDLWDLWWL
Hamburger SV1.5 (4)1.5 (4)Newest firstWLLLWWWWLL
Points per game (matches). An equal side counts as neither.
Small samples, so read this as a trend. Which opponent counts as stronger is the data provider's call.
Match summary
SC Paderborn 07 beat Hamburger SV 1-0 at Home Deluxe Arena in the Bundesliga. It was goalless at half-time. Rayan Philippe scored the only goal in the 88th minute. In their last 16 meetings, SC Paderborn 07 have won 7, Hamburger SV 7, with 2 drawn. Full match stats, lineups and player ratings are all on this page.
AI prediction
Confidence 43%0743%
X36%
HAM21%
→ Double chance: SC Paderborn 07 or draw
Why this prediction
The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.
Share per factor40%Form60%
38%Attack62%
68%Defence32%
58%Goal model (Poisson)42%
85%Head-to-head15%
64%Goals36%
59%Overall41%
Last 5 matches
Scored 3, conceded 7
Last 5 matches
Scored 5, conceded 15
Who will win?
Cast your vote!
Goal profile
This seasonHow often each side reaches a scoreline, across 9 matches each.
Share of their matchesThey score
44%1+ goal56%
33%2+ goals33%
11%3+ goals22%
They concede
67%1+ goal89%
44%2+ goals56%
11%3+ goals33%
Heaviest results
best 3-1 (H)·worst 0-3 (A)
best 3-1 (H)·worst 0-5 (H)
Where these sides shoot from
2025/26 seasonEach attack set against the defence it meets, zone by zone. Season shares rather than a forecast; a figure beside a share is how far it sits from the league average, shown only where the gap is worth noticing.
SC Paderborn 07shootallowHamburger SV7.5%+1.6Six-yard box5.7%
64.2%+1.9Penalty area63.6%
21.2%-2.4Edge of the box23.9%
7.1%Long range6.9%
520 shots taken · 494 faced
Hamburger SVshootallowSC Paderborn 075.0%-1.5Six-yard box5.4%
62.0%Penalty area63.7%
24.9%Edge of the box22.3%
8.1%+1.7Long range8.6%
418 shots taken · 408 faced
Shot locations, not player movement: where the ball was struck from, not where anybody ran. Shares are of each club's own shots, so a side that shoots often is comparable with one that does not.
Venue spotlight
Home Deluxe Arena
Paderborn, Germany
15,306
Capacity
Head-to-headLast 16 meetings
7SC Paderborn 07Wins7 wins
2Draws
Draws2
7Hamburger SV
Wins7 wins
- 24 Oct 2026SC Paderborn 071 - 0Hamburger SVBundesliga
- 2 Mar 2025SC Paderborn 072 - 0Hamburger SV2. Bundesliga
- 28 Sept 2024Hamburger SV2 - 2SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga
- 10 May 2024SC Paderborn 071 - 0Hamburger SV2. Bundesliga
- 9 Dec 2023Hamburger SV1 - 2SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga
- 5 May 2023Hamburger SV2 - 2SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga
Show 10 earlier meetingsHide earlier meetings
- 30 Oct 2022SC Paderborn 072 - 3Hamburger SV2. Bundesliga
- 2 Apr 2022Hamburger SV1 - 2SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga
- 22 Oct 2021SC Paderborn 071 - 2Hamburger SV2. Bundesliga
- 30 Jan 2021Hamburger SV3 - 1SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga
- 28 Sept 2020SC Paderborn 073 - 4Hamburger SV2. Bundesliga
- 12 May 2019SC Paderborn 074 - 1Hamburger SV2. Bundesliga
- 2 Apr 2019SC Paderborn 070 - 2Hamburger SVDFB Pokal
- 7 Dec 2018Hamburger SV1 - 0SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga
- 4 Feb 2015SC Paderborn 070 - 3Hamburger SVBundesliga
- 30 Aug 2014Hamburger SV0 - 3SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga
