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SC Braga 1-0 Estoril: result and stats, Primeira Liga

Matchday 6
FT
  • J. Wind83'
    Estádio Municipal de BragaDavid Rafael Oliveira da SilvaCapacity 30,286Mon, 14 Sept 202621:45
    Jordi Lie portrait
    Assistant
    Jordi Lie
    Player of the match
    Gustaf Lagerbielke headshot
    Gustaf Lagerbielke
    Defender · SC Braga
    8.2
    This match
    Shooting2.3Finishing0.0Creativity0.9Passing8.9Involvement8.2Defending7.5Physical7.8Dribbling1.5
    Attacking
    Goals0
    Assists0
    Shots2
    Shots on target2
    Shot accuracy100%
    Offsides1
    Build-up
    Passes60
    Key passes1
    Pass accuracy93%
    Defending
    Tackles2
    Blocks1
    Duels won11 · 92%
    Fouls won/made2 / 0
    This match · octagon = season skill index

    Highest-rated players

    Lagerbielke8.2Bajrami7.9Wind7.7Holsgrove7.3Sánchez7.7Robles8.2
    Player
    Joel RoblesJoel RoblesG511,97+0,9727/4510/28
    Bernardo FontesG100,24+0,2418/274/13
    SC Braga crestLive statsEstoril crest

    Possession & Passing

    58%Possession42%
    625Total passes460
    86%Pass accuracy82%
    4Corners2

    Attack

    20Shots12
    7On target1
    8Off target5
    5Blocked shots6

    Box & Quality

    13Shots in box8
    7Shots out box4
    1.9xG0.8
    1.0Goals prevented1.0

    Defense & Discipline

    1Goalkeeper saves5
    3Offsides0
    9Fouls12
    0Yellow cards4
    0Red cards1

    Half by half

    The same match, split at the break. Which half did each side actually win?

    SC Braga crest

    First half

    Estoril crest
    1,16xG0,28
    10Shots6
    3On target0
    2Big chances0
    13Touches in box8
    53%Possession47%
    2Corners1
    SC Braga crest

    Second half

    Estoril crest
    0,63xG0,47
    10Shots6
    4On target1
    1Big chances1
    17Touches in box10
    62%Possession38%
    2Corners1

    xG analytics

    TeamxGShotsSOTPoss
    SC Braga crestSC Braga
    1.85201258%
    57% open play43% set piece
    Estoril crestEstoril
    0.7512742%
    91% open play9% set piece

    Expected goals weighs every shot by the historic conversion rate of similar chances. Higher xG means better scoring opportunities, regardless of whether they went in.

    xG race

    32 shots

    Chance quality as it built up. A steep step is a big chance.

    0,00,51,01,62,10'15'30'45'60'75'90'Jonas Wind 83'SC Braga1,85 xGEstoril0,75 xGCumulative expected goals per team over the match.
    SC Braga crestSC Braga1,85 xG · 1 scoredEstoril crestEstoril0,75 xG · 0 scored

    How those chances were made

    SC Braga40
    Open play 27Set piece 4Dribble 3Foul won 1Rebound 5
    Estoril18
    Open play 14Set piece 2Foul won 2

    Momentum

    19 swings

    Which side was on top, minute by minute. A taller bar is heavier pressure.

    Jonas Wind 83'0'15'30'45'60'75'90'SC BragaEstoril
    SC Braga crestSC Braga78% pressureEstoril crestEstoril22% pressure

    Match replay

    91'
    1-0
    100%Draw 0%0%
    1.85xG0.75
    20Shots12
    12On target7
    Momentum
    Jovan Milošević portrait90' Saved Jovan Milošević 0.02 xG

    Shot map

    20 v 12

    SC Braga shoot right, Estoril left. Bigger dot = better chance.

    BRAESTgoalsavedoff target

    Goal mouth

    19 on target · 1 scored

    Where each shot on target crossed the line. Placement beats power.

    Jovan Milošević, 12', off targetAdrian Barišić, 12', off targetNail Omerović, 18', off targetPau Víctor, 28', off targetGabri Martínez, 28', off targetYanis Begraoui, 30', off targetJovan Milošević, 38', off targetGabriel Silva, 43', off targetNail Omerović, 50', off targetJordan Holsgrove, 57', off targetJean-Baptiste Gorby, 68', off targetIsmael Sierra, 69', off targetJonas Wind, 90', off target
    SC BragaEstorilgoalsavedoff target

    Average positions

    Each starter's average position on the ball, with the number of those actions inside the chip. Both sides attack left to right. Tap a player to see where they actually were.

    SC BragaDefensive line 42%
    30Arrey-Mbi40Fontes36Silva50Barišić80Gómez116Moutinho75Milošević78Víctor84Lagerbiel…89Martínez82Tıknaz
    EstorilDefensive line 35%
    5Garcia69Jurišić57Carvalho65Robles55Omerović38Begraoui56Sánchez72Robin88Arnal65Holsgrove78Ferro

    An average, not a movement map: it says where a player's actions balanced out, not where they ran.

    Passing network

    Each player at his average position, sized by passes made. Lines join team-mates with 5 or more passes between them (fewer when a side made its first change early), thicker for more. Counted until each side's first substitution. Both sides attack left to right. Tap a player to isolate his links.

    SC BragaUntil 45'
    34148371027717261131

    Most-connected pair: Víctor and Martínez, 16 passes between them.

    EstorilUntil 10'
    1541221111014981244

    Most-connected pairs: Ferro and Robles and 3 others, 3 passes each.

    Tactical battle

    75control25
    79%Field tiltField tilt 21%13Box entriesBox entries 414Passes into boxPasses into box 6
    Jovan Milošević
    Jovan Milošević
    8 touches in box
    Press11.2 · 12.2Territory79% · 21%Direct2.16 · 1.96Progress58 · 37Dribble8 · 6Creation40 · 18Threat1.30 · 0.51Recover12 · 10
    SC Braga crest

    In possession

    Estoril crest
    79,0%Field tilt21,0%
    14Passes into box6
    39Progressive passes25
    16Carries into final third12
    14Chances created9

    Field tilt is each side's share of play in the final third.

    SC Braga crest

    Out of possession

    Estoril crest
    11,17Press intensity (PPDA)12,24
    10High turnovers6
    12Regains within 5s10
    20,1sBall recovery time23,8s
    16Interceptions27

    ↓ Lower is better, so the longer bar always wins. PPDA is opponent passes allowed per defensive action.

    SC Braga crest

    Carrying

    Estoril crest
    114Carries80
    1447mCarry distance1049m
    19Progressive carries12
    795mProgressive carry distance614m
    3Carries into the box0

    Distances are how far the ball was moved forward, not how far anybody ran.

    SC Braga crest

    Beating the press

    Estoril crest
    8Take-ons won6
    18Take-ons attempted15
    617mProgressive pass distance499m
    2Through balls1
    3Switches of play10

    A take-on is a player going past an opponent with the ball at his feet.

    SC Braga crest

    Threat created

    Estoril crest
    1,30Expected threat (xT)0,51
    1,49Action value (VAEP)0,38
    40Shot-creating actions18
    2Goal-creating actions0
    13Box entries4

    xT values where a possession reached; VAEP values every action by how much it shifted the chance of a goal.

    SC Braga crest

    Tempo

    Estoril crest
    4,8Passes per attack4,2
    13,3sAttack duration13,5s
    2,16 m/sAttack directness1,96 m/s
    3Build-up attacks4
    9Direct attacks7

    An attack is direct when it moves upfield quickly rather than through many passes.

    SC Braga crest

    More match stats

    Estoril crest
    SC Braga crest

    Attack

    Estoril crest
    30Touches in box18
    69Final third entries49
    3Big chances1
    1,97xG on target0,24
    2Big chances missed1
    SC Braga crest

    Passing

    Estoril crest
    3/13 (23%)Crosses2/6 (33%)
    25/47 (53%)Long balls42/81 (52%)
    26Throw-ins16
    12Free kicks9
    5Goal kicks9
    SC Braga crest

    Duels

    Estoril crest
    56Total44
    35/64 (55%)Ground29/64 (45%)
    22/37 (59%)Aerial15/37 (41%)
    8/18 (44%)Dribbles6/13 (46%)
    4Dispossessed10
    SC Braga crest

    Defending

    Estoril crest
    52Recoveries57
    7Interceptions14
    17Tackles14
    47%Tackles won64%
    19Clearances18
    1Big chances scored0
    0Big saves1
    2Errors led to shot0
    3Fouled in final third1
    8,19Average rating6,91

    Goal profile

    This season

    How often each side reaches a scoreline, across 7 and 8 matches.

    SC Braga crestShare of their matchesEstoril crest

    They score

    86%1+ goal50%

    They concede

    57%1+ goal88%
    43%2+ goals63%

    Heaviest results

    SC Braga crestbest 1-0 (H)·worst 1-3 (H)

    Estoril crestworst 0-2 (H)

    Where these sides shoot from

    2025/26 season

    Each attack set against the defence it meets, zone by zone. Season shares rather than a forecast; a figure beside a share is how far it sits from the league average, shown only where the gap is worth noticing.

    SC BragashootallowEstoril
    8.3%+2.6Six-yard box+1.87.5%
    61.3%+4.5Penalty area+3.460.0%
    23.9%-3.0Edge of the box-2.524.6%
    6.5%-4.1Long range-2.68.0%

    398 shots taken · 415 faced

    EstorilshootallowSC Braga
    5.8%Six-yard box6.6%
    60.1%+3.3Penalty area-4.252.4%
    24.4%-2.5Edge of the box+4.031.1%
    9.8%Long range9.9%

    398 shots taken · 334 faced

    Shot locations, not player movement: where the ball was struck from, not where anybody ran. Shares are of each club's own shots, so a side that shoots often is comparable with one that does not.

    Match summary

    SC Braga beat Estoril 1-0 at Estádio Municipal de Braga in Primeira Liga. It was goalless at half-time. J. Wind scored the only goal in the 83rd minute. Estoril finished with ten men after Ferro was sent off. In their last 25 meetings, SC Braga have won 17, Estoril 4, with 4 drawn. Full match stats, lineups and player ratings are all on this page.

    AI prediction
    Confidence 55%
    BRA55%
    X38%
    EST7%

    → Winner: SC Braga

    Why this prediction

    The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.

    SC Braga crestShare per factorEstoril crest
    78%Form22%
    75%Attack25%
    58%Defence42%
    100%Goal model (Poisson)0%
    62%Head-to-head38%
    60%Goals40%
    67%Overall33%
    Last 4 matches
    Scored 6, conceded 5
    Last 5 matches
    Scored 2, conceded 7

    Who will win?

    Cast your vote!

    SC Braga crestCompare teamsEstoril crest
    Team formsLatestPts
    9
    SC Braga crestSC Braga
    LDWLW
    11
    18
    Estoril crestEstoril
    LLLDL
    2
    Prematch standings

    Head-to-headLast 25 meetings

    SC Braga crest16
    Wins
    5
    Draws
    4Estoril crest
    Wins
    Show 19 earlier meetings
    • 27 Jan 2024SC Braga crest1 - 1Estoril crestTaça da Liga
    • 3 Dec 2023SC Braga crest3 - 1Estoril crestPrimeira Liga
    • 8 Apr 2023SC Braga crest4 - 1Estoril crestPrimeira Liga
    • 22 Oct 2022Estoril crest0 - 2SC Braga crestPrimeira Liga
    • 18 Apr 2022Estoril crest0 - 0SC Braga crestPrimeira Liga
    • 5 Dec 2021SC Braga crest2 - 0Estoril crestPrimeira Liga
    • 17 Dec 2020SC Braga crest3 - 1Estoril crestTaça da Liga
    • 3 Mar 2018Estoril crest0 - 6SC Braga crestPrimeira Liga
    • 1 Oct 2017SC Braga crest6 - 0Estoril crestPrimeira Liga
    • 6 Feb 2017SC Braga crest1 - 1Estoril crestPrimeira Liga
    • 27 Aug 2016Estoril crest1 - 3SC Braga crestPrimeira Liga
    • 8 Feb 2016SC Braga crest2 - 0Estoril crestPrimeira Liga
    • 12 Sept 2015Estoril crest1 - 0SC Braga crestPrimeira Liga
    • 8 Feb 2015Estoril crest0 - 2SC Braga crestPrimeira Liga
    • 30 Aug 2014SC Braga crest2 - 1Estoril crestPrimeira Liga
    • 17 Feb 2014Estoril crest2 - 1SC Braga crestPrimeira Liga
    • 15 Sept 2013SC Braga crest3 - 2Estoril crestPrimeira Liga
    • 26 Apr 2013Estoril crest2 - 1SC Braga crestPrimeira Liga
    • 16 Dec 2012SC Braga crest3 - 0Estoril crestPrimeira Liga
    Full head-to-head →

    Venue spotlight

    Estádio Municipal de Braga
    Braga, Portugal
    30,286
    Capacity