Portugal 1-0 Wales: result and stats, UEFA Nations League
- Joao Felix22'
Portugal
Substitutions
- 67'Rúben Neves
217.7João Palhinha
66.6 - 67'Gonçalo Ramos
96.9 - 79'Nuno Mendes
197.8ANuno Tavares
56.5 - 90'João Cancelo
207.0 - 90'
Unused
Substitutions
- 63'
- 71'B. Cabango
66.6C. Mepham
26.8 - 77'
- 77'
Unused
- W. BurnsF
8 - J. ColwillM
23 - C. RobertsD
14 - R. Norrington-DaviesD
16 - T. KingG
21 - M. HarrisF
18 - L. CullenF
10 - D. CornellG
1

Player of the match
Highest-rated players




xG race
27 shotsChance quality as it built up. A steep step is a big chance.
Shot map
23 v 4Portugal shoot right, Wales left. Bigger dot = better chance.
Goal mouth
5 on target · 1 scoredWhere each shot on target crossed the line. Placement beats power.
Shot duel
Ronaldo's 49' chance was the biggest of the match: 0,75 xG, missed.
Every shot on its minute, Portugal above and Wales below. The longer the bar, the bigger the chance. Faces on goals and on chances of 0,3 xG or more.
xG analytics
WalesExpected goals weighs every shot by the historic conversion rate of similar chances. Higher xG means better scoring opportunities, regardless of whether they went in.
Momentum
18 swingsWhich side was on top, minute by minute. A taller bar is heavier pressure.
Match replay
91'
1-0
10' Off target Cristiano Ronaldo 0.06 xG · Assisted · Left-footAverage positions
Each starter's average position on the ball, with the number of those actions inside the chip. Both sides attack left to right.
An average, not a movement map: it says where a player's actions balanced out, not where they ran.
The moment that decided it
The goal that swung the win probability the most. Press play to replay the move, touch by touch.
- Score
- 0–0→1–0
- Portugal win chance
- 46%→77%
- xG of the shot
- 0.06
- Touches in the move
- 4
- 1R. Veiga›
- 2B. Fernandes›
- 3N. Mendesassist›
- 4J. FélixRight foot
Possession & Passing
Attack
Box & Quality
Defense & Discipline
More match stats
Attack
Passing
Duels
Defending
Match summary
Portugal beat Wales 1-0 at Estádio José Alvalade in the UEFA Nations League. Portugal led 1-0 at half-time. Joao Felix scored the only goal in the 22nd minute. In their last 2 meetings, Portugal have won 2, Wales 0, with 0 drawn. Full match stats, lineups and player ratings are all on this page.
→ Winner: Portugal
Why this prediction
The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.
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