149'
Notts County 2-1 Burton Albion: result and stats, League One
Matchday 3
FT
- L. Smyth78', 84' (pen)
- 22'F. Delap
Meadow LaneK. DowleCapacity 19,588Sat, 29 Aug 202616:00
Notts CountyLine ups
7.07corners1yellow cards0red cards
Line ups6.31corners4yellow cards1red cards
Assistant
Andy Edwards
AssistantAndy Edwards
Andy EdwardsSubstitutions
- 46'
- 66'D. Lipsiuc
146.8Q. Kouhyar
177.2 - 66'C. Roberts
77.3C. Grant
116.6 - 90'N. Tsaroulla
258.0AI. Samuels-Smith
266.3
Unused
- H. GriffithsG
21 - M. BakerD
44 - K. MuirM
49
Player of the match
Luka Benjamin Smyth
Attacker · Notts County
9.1
This match
Attacking
Goals2
Assists0
Shots5
Shots on target3
Shot accuracy60%
Dribbles won0
Penalties1
Build-up
Passes8
Key passes0
Pass accuracy63%
Defending
Tackles0
Blocks0
Interceptions0
Duels won4 · 44%
Fouls won/made2 / 0
This match · octagon = season skill index
Highest-rated players
Goalkeepers
Every shot on target · tap one
Belshaw
Notts County
0
Saves
1
Conceded
0%
Save %
n/a
Prevented
Goal: Delap 22' · 0.11 xGOT
Bottom right · 0.6 m high · 9 m out · 22° angle
Addai
Burton Albion
7
Saves
2
Conceded
78%
Save %
+0.18
Prevented
Best save: Mustapha 61' · 0.38 xGOT
Centre · 1.3 m high · 9 m out · 36° angle
| Player | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. AddaiG | 7 | 2,18 | +0,18 | 23/49 | 9/35 |
xG race
22 shotsChance quality as it built up. A steep step is a big chance.
Notts County2,32 xG · 2 scoredBurton Albion0,11 xG · 1 scoredHow those chances were made
Notts County39
Burton Albion4
Shot map
20 v 2Notts County shoot right, Burton Albion left. Bigger dot = better chance.
NCNotts CountyBABurton Albiongoalsavedoff target
Goal mouth
13 on target · 3 scoredWhere each shot on target crossed the line. Placement beats power.
Notts CountyBurton Albiongoalsavedoff target
Shot duel
Smyth's 84' chance was the biggest of the match: 0,79 xG, scored.
Every shot on its minute, Notts County above and Burton Albion below. The longer the bar, the bigger the chance. Faces on goals and on chances of 0,3 xG or more.
Notts County20 shots · 2,32 xGBurton Albion2 shots · 0,11 xGLuka Smyth
Notts County
84'0,79 xGGoal
xG analytics
TeamxGShotsSOTPoss
Notts County51% open play15% set piece34% penalty
Burton Albion73% open play27% set piece
Expected goals weighs every shot by the historic conversion rate of similar chances. Higher xG means better scoring opportunities, regardless of whether they went in.
Momentum
11 swingsWhich side was on top, minute by minute. A taller bar is heavier pressure.
Notts County78% pressureBurton Albion22% pressureMatch replay
91'2-1100%Draw 0%0%
2.32xG0.11
20Shots2
11On target2
Momentum
90' Saved Jack Armer 0.03 xG · Individual play · Left footAverage positions
Each starter's average position on the ball, with the number of those actions inside the chip. Both sides attack left to right. Tap a player to see where they actually were.
Notts CountyDefensive line 38%Burton AlbionDefensive line 28%An average, not a movement map: it says where a player's actions balanced out, not where they ran.
Passing network
Each player at his average position, sized by passes made. Lines join team-mates with 5 or more passes between them (fewer when a side made its first change early), thicker for more. Counted until each side's first substitution. Both sides attack left to right. Tap a player to isolate his links.
Notts CountyUntil 45'Most-connected pair: Ness and Bedeau, 19 passes between them.
Burton AlbionUntil 62'Most-connected pair: Delap and Addai, 15 passes between them.
Tactical battle
75control25L. Smyth
10 touches in box
In possession
68,5%Field tilt31,5%
17Passes into box3
33Progressive passes13
11Carries into final third5
13Chances created1
Field tilt is each side's share of play in the final third.
Out of possession
8,25Press intensity (PPDA)14,46
8High turnovers3
17Regains within 5s7
15,0sBall recovery time24,1s
14Interceptions14
↓ Lower is better, so the longer bar always wins. PPDA is opponent passes allowed per defensive action.
Carrying
151Carries61
1468mCarry distance727m
12Progressive carries5
708mProgressive carry distance294m
7Carries into the box0
Distances are how far the ball was moved forward, not how far anybody ran.
Beating the press
2Take-ons won5
8Take-ons attempted7
621mProgressive pass distance221m
0Through balls0
2Switches of play6
A take-on is a player going past an opponent with the ball at his feet.
Threat created
1,25Expected threat (xT)0,29
1,35Action value (VAEP)0,11
39Shot-creating actions4
4Goal-creating actions2
0,94Expected assisted goals0,08
xT values where a possession reached; VAEP values every action by how much it shifted the chance of a goal.
Tempo
3,1Passes per attack2,9
10,2sAttack duration8,7s
2,15 m/sAttack directness2,71 m/s
2Build-up attacks1
6Direct attacks5
An attack is direct when it moves upfield quickly rather than through many passes.
The moment that decided it
The goal that swung the win probability the most.
L. SmythPenalty84'- Score
- 1–1→2–1
- Notts County win chance
- 12%→99%
- xG of the shot
- 0.79
Live statsPossession & Passing
60%Possession40%
485Total passes317
81%Pass accuracy70%
7Corners1
Attack
20Shots2
9On target1
8Off target0
3Blocked shots1
Box & Quality
16Shots in box1
4Shots out box1
2.3xG0.1
Defense & Discipline
0Goalkeeper saves7
1Offsides2
13Fouls22
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards1
Half by half
The same match, split at the break. Which half did each side actually win?
First half
0,21xG0,08
3Shots1
2On target1
1Big chances1
46%Possession54%
1Corners1
Second half
2,08xG0,03
17Shots1
6On target0
3Big chances0
77%Possession23%
6Corners0
More match stats
Attack
38Touches in box4
66Final third entries70
4Big chances1
2,18xG on target0,11
3Big chances missed0
Passing
8/29 (28%)Crosses2/10 (20%)
21/63 (33%)Long balls16/70 (23%)
17Throw-ins18
21Free kicks13
2Goal kicks11
Duels
53Total47
39/68 (57%)Ground29/68 (43%)
16/36 (44%)Aerial20/36 (56%)
2/8 (25%)Dribbles5/6 (83%)
5Dispossessed15
Defending
44Recoveries44
8Interceptions7
16Tackles11
56%Tackles won64%
22Clearances27
1Big chances scored1
0Big saves1
8Fouled in final third0
7,46Average rating6,46
Match summary
Notts County beat Burton Albion 2-1 at Meadow Lane in the League One. Burton Albion led 1-0 at half-time, but Notts County came from behind to win. Scorers: L. Smyth (78', 84' pen) for Notts County; F. Delap (22') for Burton Albion. Burton Albion finished with ten men after Curtis Tilt was sent off. In their last 4 meetings, Notts County have won 4, Burton Albion 0, with 0 drawn. Full match stats, lineups and player ratings are all on this page.
AI prediction
Confidence 45%NC10%
X45%
BA45%
→ Double chance: draw or Burton Albion
Why this prediction
The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.
Share per factor33%Form67%
50%Attack50%
40%Defence60%
33%Goal model (Poisson)67%
100%Head-to-head0%
75%Goals25%
46%Overall54%
Last 2 matches
Scored 3, conceded 3
Last 2 matches
Scored 3, conceded 2
Who will win?
Cast your vote!
Goal profile
This seasonHow often each side reaches a scoreline, across 12 and 14 matches.
Share of their matchesThey score
75%1+ goal71%
33%2+ goals43%
They concede
83%1+ goal86%
33%2+ goals50%
Heaviest results
best 2-0 (H)·worst 0-2 (A)
best 4-1 (H)·worst 0-3 (A)
Venue spotlight
Meadow Lane
Nottingham, Nottinghamshire, England
19,588
Capacity
Head-to-headLast 4 meetings
4Notts CountyWins4 wins
0Draws
Draws0
0Burton Albion
Wins0 wins
