148'
Nottingham Forest 0-1 Arsenal: result and stats, Premier League
Matchday 7
FT
Nottingham ForestLine ups
6.68corners1yellow cards0red cards116.8km
Line ups6.96corners1yellow cards0red cards119.5km
Assistant
Andy Reid
Assistant
Gabriel Heinze
AssistantAndy Reid
Andy ReidSubstitutions
- 73'Dan Ndoye
146.2Arnaud Kalimuendo
156.2 - 74'Ibrahim Sangaré
66.2 - 85'James McAtee
246.8 - 85'Jair
236.6Chris Wood
96.7
Unused
- John VictorG
12 - Luca NetzD
25 - Nikola MilenkovićD
31 - Ola AinaD
34 - Ryan YatesM
22
AssistantGabriel Heinze
Gabriel HeinzeSubstitutions
- 46'Eberechi Eze
106.6Noni Madueke206.7 - 66'Bruno Guimarães
396.8Mikel Merino
236.7 - 66'Kai Havertz
296.5Viktor Gyökeres
146.6 - 66'Ben White
46.6Jurriën Timber
126.9
Unused
Home
OutM. Gibbs-WhiteInjury
OutIgor JesusCalf Injury
OutN. SavonaJumpers Knee
Away
OutP. HincapieAnkle Injury
OutW. SalibaBack Injury
OutC. TzolisHamstring Injury
Ad · Official tickets · P1 Travel
VSBournemouth FC vs Nottingham Forest
Tickets from€325
Get tickets
VSBournemouth FC vs Nottingham Forest
Ad · Official tickets · P1 Travel
DateSat 21 Nov
Kick-off15:00
Vitality Stadium
Tickets from€325
Get tickets
Player of the match
Declan Rice
Midfielder · Arsenal
7.7
This match
Attacking
Goals0
Assists1
Shots1
Build-up
Passes99
Key passes3
Pass accuracy94%
Defending
Blocks1
Interceptions1
Fouls won/made0 / 1
This match · octagon = season skill index
Highest-rated players
Player DNA
Better than 96% of Premier League midfielders for expected assists.
Per 90 minutes this season, against all 83 midfielders with at least 300 minutes.
Martin Ødegaard · ArsenalMidfielder · 823 min
Elite 90+Strong 70+Average 40+Below 40
Skill by skillPer 90Rank
- Goals0.3386%
- xG0.2683%
- Shots1.7564%
- Assists0.0025%
- xA0.2796%
- Shot-creating actions5.0386%
- Chances created2.4189%
- xT0.1790%
- Progressive passes4.8191%
- Progressive carries1.9772%
- Dribbles won0.4431%
- Tackles won0.6620%
- Interceptions0.3317%
- Duels won1.0910%
- VAEP0.5097%
Premier League 2026/27, through 8 Nov. Rank means better than that share of the group, in their most-played position.
Goalkeepers
Every shot on target · tap one
Sels
Nottingham Forest
0
Saves
1
Conceded
0%
Save %
-0.84
Prevented
Goal: Madueke 80' · 0.16 xGOT
Top right · 2.0 m high · 21 m out · 47° angle
Raya
Arsenal
2
Saves
0
Conceded
100%
Save %
+0.16
Prevented
Best save: Murillo 54' · 0.13 xGOT
Middle left · 1.1 m high · 11 m out · 9° angle
| Player | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David RayaG | 2 | 0 | 0,16 | +0,16 | 14/23 | 3/10 |
| Matz SelsG | 0 | 1 | 0,16 | -0,84 | 16/34 | 15/33 |
xG race
23 shotsChance quality as it built up. A steep step is a big chance.
Nottingham Forest0,75 xG · 0 scoredArsenal1,06 xG · 1 scoredHow those chances were made
Nottingham Forest28
Arsenal18
Shot map
14 v 9Nottingham Forest shoot right, Arsenal left. Bigger dot = better chance.
NFNottingham ForestARSArsenalgoalsavedoff target
Goal mouth
12 on target · 1 scoredWhere each shot on target crossed the line. Placement beats power.
Nottingham ForestArsenalgoalsavedoff target
Shot duel
Havertz's 37' chance was the biggest of the match: 0,22 xG, missed.
Every shot on its minute, Nottingham Forest above and Arsenal below. The longer the bar, the bigger the chance. Faces on goals and on chances of 0,3 xG or more.
Nottingham Forest14 shots · 0,75 xGArsenal9 shots · 1,06 xGKai Havertz
Arsenal
37'0,22 xGMissed
xG analytics
TeamxGShotsSOTPoss
Nottingham Forest47% open play53% set piece
Arsenal45% open play55% set piece
Expected goals weighs every shot by the historic conversion rate of similar chances. Higher xG means better scoring opportunities, regardless of whether they went in.
The deserved table
Nottingham Forest have 7.3 fewer points than their chances earned.
Every Premier League shot this season turned into expected points (xPTS): how many points each side's chances were worth.
The luck mapAll 20 sides
These two sidesFull table
Nottingham Forest
Points below what their chances earned
-7.3
- 16th → 5th
- Table
- 9 / 15.2 xG
- Scored
- 13 / 11.2 xG
- Conceded
Arsenal
Points above what their chances earned
+6.7
- 1st → 1st
- Table
- 15 / 15.7 xG
- Scored
- 5 / 7.3 xG
- Conceded
Premier League 2026/27, 100 of 100 finished matches through 8 Nov, league only. A measure of chances, not a verdict.
Momentum
15 swingsWhich side was on top, minute by minute. A taller bar is heavier pressure.
Nottingham Forest16% pressureArsenal84% pressureMatch replay
91'0-10%Draw 0%100%
0.75xG1.06
14Shots9
8On target4
Momentum
90' Saved Liam Delap 0.07 xG · Fast break · Left footAverage positions
Each starter's average position on the ball, with the number of those actions inside the chip. Both sides attack left to right. Tap a player to see where they actually were.
Nottingham ForestDefensive line 28%ArsenalDefensive line 43%An average, not a movement map: it says where a player's actions balanced out, not where they ran.
Passing network
Each player at his average position, sized by passes made. Lines join team-mates with 5 or more passes between them (fewer when a side made its first change early), thicker for more. Counted until each side's first substitution. Both sides attack left to right. Tap a player to isolate his links.
Nottingham ForestUntil 73'Most-connected pair: Murillo and Diomande, 10 passes between them.
ArsenalUntil 45'Most-connected pair: Konsa and Gabriel, 32 passes between them.
Running
Fastest on the pitch
Nicolás Domínguez
34.4 km/h
Distance covered and sprints, per player.
Nottingham Forest115.6 kmDistanceSprints
Xaver Schlager11.5 km6×
Daniel Muñoz11.5 km18×- James McAtee10.8 km9×
Neco Williams10.8 km10×- Liam Delap10.8 km16×
Arsenal119.5 kmDistanceSprints
Martin Ødegaard12.1 km9×
Riccardo Calafiori11.8 km13×- Declan Rice11.2 km10×
Gabriel Magalhães10.8 km10×
Bukayo Saka10.5 km13×
Tactical battle
28control72Liam Delap
7 touches in box
In possession
23,7%Field tilt76,3%
5Passes into box11
13Progressive passes23
2Carries into final third13
8Chances created8
Field tilt is each side's share of play in the final third.
Out of possession
18,40Press intensity (PPDA)7,12
3High turnovers5
9Regains within 5s8
35,9sBall recovery time20,9s
13Interceptions11
↓ Lower is better, so the longer bar always wins. PPDA is opponent passes allowed per defensive action.
Carrying
48Carries178
638mCarry distance2002m
7Progressive carries16
297mProgressive carry distance1051m
2Carries into the box5
Distances are how far the ball was moved forward, not how far anybody ran.
Beating the press
5Take-ons won6
7Take-ons attempted13
224mProgressive pass distance392m
0Through balls0
3Switches of play4
A take-on is a player going past an opponent with the ball at his feet.
Threat created
0,44Expected threat (xT)0,88
0,41Action value (VAEP)1,50
28Shot-creating actions18
0Goal-creating actions2
6Box entries12
xT values where a possession reached; VAEP values every action by how much it shifted the chance of a goal.
Tempo
2,4Passes per attack6,6
11,1sAttack duration21,4s
2,61 m/sAttack directness1,77 m/s
0Build-up attacks8
6Direct attacks10
An attack is direct when it moves upfield quickly rather than through many passes.
The moment that decided it
The goal that swung the win probability the most. Press play to replay the move, touch by touch.
Noni MaduekeRight foot · assist D. Rice80'- Score
- 0–0→0–1
- Arsenal win chance
- 12%→94%
- xG of the shot
- 0.03
- Touches in the move
- 2
- 1D. Riceassist›
- 2N. MaduekeRight foot
Live statsPossession & Passing
26%Possession74%
224Total passes634
71%Pass accuracy90%
8Corners6
Attack
14Shots9
2On target1
6Off target5
6Blocked shots3
Box & Quality
8Shots in box7
6Shots out box2
0.8xG1.1
0.1Goals prevented0.1
Defense & Discipline
0Goalkeeper saves2
2Offsides1
14Fouls8
1Yellow cards1
Half by half
The same match, split at the break. Which half did each side actually win?
First half
0,24xG0,45
5Shots3
0On target0
0Big chances0
7Touches in box13
26%Possession74%
3Corners2
Second half
0,51xG0,62
9Shots6
2On target1
0Big chances1
10Touches in box17
26%Possession74%
5Corners4
More match stats
Attack
17Touches in box29
33Final third entries76
0Big chances1
0,16xG on target0,16
0Big chances missed1
Passing
1/14 (7%)Crosses7/27 (26%)
30/64 (47%)Long balls16/36 (44%)
12Throw-ins16
8Free kicks14
10Goal kicks4
Duels
49Total51
34/63 (54%)Ground29/62 (47%)
14/34 (41%)Aerial20/34 (59%)
5/6 (83%)Dribbles6/11 (55%)
8Dispossessed16
Defending
44Recoveries48
7Interceptions7
22Tackles9
68%Tackles won22%
29Clearances13
0Big saves1
0Errors led to shot2
2Fouled in final third4
116.8 kmDistance covered119.5 km
115Sprints105
7,19Average rating7,93
Big game or flat track?
Too few matches against stronger or weaker sides to call it yet.
Points per game against stronger and weaker opponents, over each side's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Points per gameLast 10 matches
Arsenal is not on the chart: none of its last 10 opponents counted as stronger.
These two sidesStrongerWeaker
Nottingham Forest1.3 (7)0.0 (2)Newest firstWLDLLLWDDL
Arsenal- (0)2.4 (9)Newest firstWWWDWDWWWL
Points per game (matches). An equal side counts as neither.
Small samples, so read this as a trend. Which opponent counts as stronger is the data provider's call.
Match summary
Arsenal beat Nottingham Forest 1-0 at City Ground in the Premier League. It was goalless at half-time. Noni Madueke scored the only goal in the 80th minute. In their last 13 meetings, Nottingham Forest have won 3, Arsenal 8, with 2 drawn. Full match stats, lineups and player ratings are all on this page.
AI prediction
Confidence 51%NF13%
X36%
ARS51%
→ Double chance: Arsenal or draw
Why this prediction
The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.
Share per factor29%Form71%
33%Attack67%
44%Defence56%
0%Goal model (Poisson)100%
15%Head-to-head85%
11%Goals89%
26%Overall74%
Last 5 matches
Scored 4, conceded 5
Last 5 matches
Scored 8, conceded 4
Who will win?
Cast your vote!
Goal profile
This seasonHow often each side reaches a scoreline, across 10 matches each.
Share of their matchesThey score
50%1+ goal90%
30%2+ goals50%
10%3+ goals10%
They concede
90%1+ goal30%
30%2+ goals10%
10%3+ goals10%
Heaviest results
best 3-1 (H)·worst 1-3 (A)
best 3-0 (H)·worst 0-3 (A)
Where these sides shoot from
2025/26 seasonEach attack set against the defence it meets, zone by zone. Season shares rather than a forecast; a figure beside a share is how far it sits from the league average, shown only where the gap is worth noticing.
Nottingham ForestshootallowArsenal6.9%-1.5Six-yard box7.6%
56.6%-3.8Penalty area-2.857.6%
29.0%+4.3Edge of the box25.8%
7.5%Long range+2.48.9%
479 shots taken · 314 faced
ArsenalshootallowNottingham Forest11.6%+3.2Six-yard box-1.56.9%
63.7%+3.3Penalty area61.3%
21.7%-3.0Edge of the box25.2%
3.1%-3.4Long range6.5%
554 shots taken · 507 faced
Shot locations, not player movement: where the ball was struck from, not where anybody ran. Shares are of each club's own shots, so a side that shoots often is comparable with one that does not.
Venue spotlight
City Ground
Nottingham, Nottinghamshire, England
30,576
Capacity
Head-to-headLast 13 meetings
3Nottingham ForestWins3 wins
2Draws
Draws2
8Arsenal
Wins8 wins
- 18 Oct 2026Nottingham Forest0 - 1ArsenalPremier League
- 17 Jan 2026Nottingham Forest0 - 0ArsenalPremier League
- 13 Sept 2025Arsenal3 - 0Nottingham ForestPremier League
- 26 Feb 2025Nottingham Forest0 - 0ArsenalPremier League
- 23 Nov 2024Arsenal3 - 0Nottingham ForestPremier League
- 30 Jan 2024Nottingham Forest1 - 2ArsenalPremier League
Show 7 earlier meetingsHide earlier meetings
- 12 Aug 2023Arsenal2 - 1Nottingham ForestPremier League
- 20 May 2023Nottingham Forest1 - 0ArsenalPremier League
- 30 Oct 2022Arsenal5 - 0Nottingham ForestPremier League
- 9 Jan 2022Nottingham Forest1 - 0ArsenalFA Cup
- 24 Sept 2019Arsenal5 - 0Nottingham ForestLeague Cup
- 7 Jan 2018Nottingham Forest4 - 2ArsenalFA Cup
- 20 Sept 2016Nottingham Forest0 - 4ArsenalLeague Cup
