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Nacional 2-0 Estoril: result and stats, Primeira Liga

Matchday 2
FT
  • Ze Vitor68'
  • Leo Santos77'
    Estádio da MadeiraBruno Jose Ribeiro Pires CostaCapacity 5,200Sun, 16 Aug 202616:30
    Luís Sousa portrait
    Assistant
    Luís Sousa
    Player of the match
    Leonardo Rodrigues dos Santos headshot
    Leonardo Rodrigues dos Santos
    Defender · Nacional
    8.9
    This match
    Shooting1.1Finishing1.3Creativity1.9Passing0.0Involvement5.4Defending9.5Physical6.0Dribbling3.5
    Attacking
    Goals1
    Assists1
    Shots2
    Shots on target1
    Shot accuracy50%
    Build-up
    Passes72
    Key passes3
    Pass accuracy90%
    Defending
    Tackles1
    Duels won7 · 64%
    Fouls won/made0 / 2
    This match · octagon = season skill index

    Highest-rated players

    Santos8.9Vitor8.7Marin7.7Medrano6.7Carvalho7.0Ferro7.0
    Player
    Renato MarinRenato MarinG500,38+0,3810/205/14
    Joel RoblesJoel RoblesG121,36-0,6419/3210/23
    Nacional crestLive statsEstoril crest

    Possession & Passing

    59%Possession41%
    451Total passes316
    87%Pass accuracy80%
    7Corners4

    Attack

    20Shots9
    3On target5
    9Off target3
    8Blocked shots1

    Box & Quality

    10Shots in box4
    10Shots out box5
    2.1xG0.8
    -0.5Goals prevented-0.5

    Defense & Discipline

    5Goalkeeper saves1
    1Offsides0
    13Fouls13
    2Yellow cards4
    0Red cards1

    Half by half

    The same match, split at the break. Which half did each side actually win?

    Nacional crest

    First half

    Estoril crest
    0,55xG0,69
    6Shots7
    0On target5
    1Big chances0
    4Touches in box6
    54%Possession46%
    2Corners3
    Nacional crest

    Second half

    Estoril crest
    1,53xG0,13
    14Shots2
    3On target0
    4Big chances0
    17Touches in box4
    65%Possession35%
    5Corners1

    xG analytics

    TeamxGShotsSOTPoss
    Nacional crestNacional
    2.10201159%
    72% open play28% set piece
    Estoril crestEstoril
    0.829641%
    84% open play16% set piece

    Expected goals weighs every shot by the historic conversion rate of similar chances. Higher xG means better scoring opportunities, regardless of whether they went in.

    xG race

    29 shots

    Chance quality as it built up. A steep step is a big chance.

    0,00,61,21,82,40'15'30'45'60'75'90'Zé Vítor 68'Léo Santos 77'Nacional2,10 xGEstoril0,82 xGCumulative expected goals per team over the match.
    Nacional crestNacional2,10 xG · 2 scoredEstoril crestEstoril0,82 xG · 0 scored

    How those chances were made

    Nacional39
    Open play 28Set piece 4Dribble 3Rebound 3Defensive 1
    Estoril17
    Open play 15Set piece 1Dribble 1

    Momentum

    20 swings

    Which side was on top, minute by minute. A taller bar is heavier pressure.

    Zé Vítor 68'Léo Santos 77'0'15'30'45'60'75'90'NacionalEstoril
    Nacional crestNacional80% pressureEstoril crestEstoril20% pressure

    Match replay

    91'
    2-0
    100%Draw 0%0%
    2.10xG0.82
    20Shots9
    11On target6
    Momentum
    Ismael Sierra portrait90' Off target Ismael Sierra 0.10 xG

    Shot map

    20 v 9

    Nacional shoot right, Estoril left. Bigger dot = better chance.

    NACESTgoalsavedoff target

    Goal mouth

    17 on target · 2 scored

    Where each shot on target crossed the line. Placement beats power.

    Pablo Ruan, 8', off targetLéo Santos, 19', off targetWesley, 29', off targetPablo Ruan, 38', off targetYanis Begraoui, 42', off targetZé Vítor, 45', off targetDaniel, 60', off targetMarkus Gustav Jensen, 64', off targetTiago Brito, 66', off targetFilipe Soares, 67', off targetDaniel de la Cruz, 83', off targetIsmael Sierra, 90', off target
    NacionalEstorilgoalsavedoff target

    Average positions

    Each starter's average position on the ball, with the number of those actions inside the chip. Both sides attack left to right. Tap a player to see where they actually were.

    NacionalDefensive line 41%
    110Vitor31Cardozo107Santos42Marin68Gasolina64Soares26Baeza58Dias66Júnior64Jensen78Liziero
    EstorilDefensive line 34%
    27Xeka21Begraoui51Robles51Sánchez52Tsoungui29Lacximica…44Guitane69Arnal58Carvalho52Medrano62Ferro

    An average, not a movement map: it says where a player's actions balanced out, not where they ran.

    Passing network

    Each player at his average position, sized by passes made. Lines join team-mates with 5 or more passes between them (fewer when a side made its first change early), thicker for more. Counted until each side's first substitution. Both sides attack left to right. Tap a player to isolate his links.

    NacionalUntil 66'
    383462822521078199

    Most-connected pair: Santos and Dias, 27 passes between them.

    EstorilUntil 63'
    154312599218714

    Most-connected pair: Sierra and Ferro, 19 passes between them.

    Tactical battle

    73control27
    66%Field tiltField tilt 34%7Box entriesBox entries 39Passes into boxPasses into box 3
    Wesley Gasolina
    Wesley Gasolina
    4 touches in box
    Press8.1 · 11.7Territory66% · 34%Direct2.15 · 2.31Progress46 · 23Dribble6 · 4Creation39 · 17Threat1.33 · 0.32Recover8 · 4
    Nacional crest

    In possession

    Estoril crest
    66,0%Field tilt34,0%
    9Passes into box3
    25Progressive passes15
    17Carries into final third9
    13Chances created5

    Field tilt is each side's share of play in the final third.

    Nacional crest

    Out of possession

    Estoril crest
    8,06Press intensity (PPDA)11,70
    9High turnovers5
    8Regains within 5s4
    22,2sBall recovery time30,4s
    9Interceptions14

    ↓ Lower is better, so the longer bar always wins. PPDA is opponent passes allowed per defensive action.

    Nacional crest

    Carrying

    Estoril crest
    149Carries80
    1773mCarry distance1042m
    21Progressive carries8
    1094mProgressive carry distance520m
    1Carries into the box0

    Distances are how far the ball was moved forward, not how far anybody ran.

    Nacional crest

    Beating the press

    Estoril crest
    6Take-ons won4
    17Take-ons attempted13
    437mProgressive pass distance259m
    0Through balls0
    8Switches of play1

    A take-on is a player going past an opponent with the ball at his feet.

    Nacional crest

    Threat created

    Estoril crest
    1,33Expected threat (xT)0,32
    2,48Action value (VAEP)0,45
    39Shot-creating actions17
    4Goal-creating actions0
    1,60Expected assisted goals0,47

    xT values where a possession reached; VAEP values every action by how much it shifted the chance of a goal.

    Nacional crest

    Tempo

    Estoril crest
    3,7Passes per attack3,3
    14,0sAttack duration12,3s
    2,15 m/sAttack directness2,31 m/s
    5Build-up attacks2
    6Direct attacks6

    An attack is direct when it moves upfield quickly rather than through many passes.

    Nacional crest

    More match stats

    Estoril crest
    Nacional crest

    Attack

    Estoril crest
    21Touches in box10
    47Final third entries40
    5Big chances0
    1,36xG on target0,38
    4Big chances missed0
    Nacional crest

    Passing

    Estoril crest
    9/21 (43%)Crosses0/10 (0%)
    31/56 (55%)Long balls18/45 (40%)
    22Throw-ins24
    13Free kicks13
    5Goal kicks12
    Nacional crest

    Duels

    Estoril crest
    54Total46
    32/58 (55%)Ground26/58 (45%)
    14/27 (52%)Aerial13/27 (48%)
    6/16 (38%)Dribbles3/11 (27%)
    1Dispossessed5
    Nacional crest

    Defending

    Estoril crest
    52Recoveries41
    3Interceptions5
    13Tackles11
    69%Tackles won73%
    26Clearances30
    1Big chances scored0
    1Big saves0
    1Errors led to shot0
    0Fouled in final third1
    8,04Average rating6,43

    Goal profile

    This season

    How often each side reaches a scoreline, across 8 matches each.

    Nacional crestShare of their matchesEstoril crest

    They score

    63%1+ goal50%

    They concede

    88%1+ goal88%
    75%2+ goals63%

    Heaviest results

    Nacional crestbest 2-0 (H)·worst 0-4 (H)

    Estoril crestworst 0-2 (H)

    Where these sides shoot from

    2025/26 season

    Each attack set against the defence it meets, zone by zone. Season shares rather than a forecast; a figure beside a share is how far it sits from the league average, shown only where the gap is worth noticing.

    NacionalshootallowEstoril
    4.4%Six-yard box+1.87.5%
    54.7%-2.1Penalty area+3.460.0%
    28.4%+1.5Edge of the box-2.524.6%
    12.6%+2.0Long range-2.68.0%

    430 shots taken · 415 faced

    EstorilshootallowNacional
    5.8%Six-yard box5.5%
    60.1%+3.3Penalty area+3.159.7%
    24.4%-2.5Edge of the box26.5%
    9.8%Long range-2.38.3%

    398 shots taken · 494 faced

    Shot locations, not player movement: where the ball was struck from, not where anybody ran. Shares are of each club's own shots, so a side that shoots often is comparable with one that does not.

    Match summary

    Nacional beat Estoril 2-0 at Estádio da Madeira in Primeira Liga. It was goalless at half-time. Scorers: Ze Vitor (68'), Leo Santos (77') for Nacional. Estoril finished with ten men after Xeka was sent off. In their last 17 meetings, Nacional have won 6, Estoril 7, with 4 drawn. Full match stats, lineups and player ratings are all on this page.

    AI prediction
    Confidence 45%
    NAC10%
    X45%
    EST45%

    → Double chance: draw or Estoril

    Why this prediction

    The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.

    Nacional crestShare per factorEstoril crest
    50%Form50%
    67%Attack33%
    33%Defence67%
    15%Head-to-head85%
    36%Goals64%
    40%Overall60%
    Last match
    Scored 2, conceded 2
    Last match
    Scored 1, conceded 1

    Who will win?

    Cast your vote!

    Nacional crestCompare teamsEstoril crest
    Team formsLatestPts
    16
    Nacional crestNacional
    LLLLL
    4
    18
    Estoril crestEstoril
    LLLDL
    2
    Prematch standings

    Head-to-headLast 18 meetings

    Nacional crest6
    Wins
    4
    Draws
    7Estoril crest
    Wins
    Show 12 earlier meetings
    • 22 Apr 2020Nacional crest- - -Estoril crestSegunda Liga
    • 14 Dec 2019Estoril crest1 - 2Nacional crestSegunda Liga
    • 9 Apr 2017Estoril crest0 - 1Nacional crestPrimeira Liga
    • 26 Nov 2016Nacional crest0 - 1Estoril crestPrimeira Liga
    • 10 Apr 2016Nacional crest4 - 1Estoril crestPrimeira Liga
    • 6 Dec 2015Estoril crest1 - 1Nacional crestPrimeira Liga
    • 16 Feb 2015Nacional crest1 - 0Estoril crestPrimeira Liga
    • 14 Sept 2014Estoril crest2 - 1Nacional crestPrimeira Liga
    • 20 Jan 2014Nacional crest2 - 2Estoril crestPrimeira Liga
    • 17 Aug 2013Estoril crest3 - 1Nacional crestPrimeira Liga
    • 7 Apr 2013Estoril crest4 - 0Nacional crestPrimeira Liga
    • 25 Nov 2012Nacional crest1 - 0Estoril crestPrimeira Liga
    Full head-to-head →

    Venue spotlight

    Estádio da Madeira
    Ilha da Madeira, Portugal
    5,200
    Capacity