Moreirense 2-1 Estrela: Result, Lineups & Stats

Player
André FerreiraG	0	0,72	-0,28	16/23	3/10
Léo LinckG	2	0,88	-1,12	30/51	11/31

xG race

22 shots

Chance quality as it built up. A steep step is a big chance.

Moreirense0,45 xG · 2 scored

Estrela0,67 xG · 1 scored

How those chances were made

Moreirense19

Open play 16Set piece 2Foul won 1

Estrela21

Open play 16Set piece 2Rebound 2Defensive 1

Shot map

11 v 11

Moreirense shoot right, Estrela left. Bigger dot = better chance.

MORMoreirenseESTEstrelagoalsavedoff target

Goal mouth

15 on target · 3 scored

Where each shot on target crossed the line. Placement beats power.

MoreirenseEstrelagoalsavedoff target

Shot duel

Zvonarek's 57' chance was the biggest of the match: 0,22 xG, scored.

Every shot on its minute, Moreirense above and Estrela below. The longer the bar, the bigger the chance. Faces on goals and on chances of 0,3 xG or more.

Moreirense11 shots · 0,45 xG

Estrela11 shots · 0,67 xG

Lovro Zvonarek

Estrela

57'0,22 xGGoal

xG analytics

TeamxGShotsSOTPoss

Moreirense

0.4511852%

82% open play18% set piece

Estrela

0.6711748%

78% open play22% set piece

Expected goals weighs every shot by the historic conversion rate of similar chances. Higher xG means better scoring opportunities, regardless of whether they went in.

Momentum

18 swings

Which side was on top, minute by minute. A taller bar is heavier pressure.

Moreirense43% pressure

Estrela57% pressure

Match replay

91'

2-1

100%Draw 0%0%

0.45xG0.67

11Shots11

8On target7

Momentum

90' Goal Nile John 0.04 xG · Regular play · Right foot

Average positions

Each starter's average position on the ball, with the number of those actions inside the chip. Both sides attack left to right. Tap a player to see where they actually were.

MoreirenseDefensive line 38%

EstrelaDefensive line 36%

An average, not a movement map: it says where a player's actions balanced out, not where they ran.

Passing network

Each player at his average position, sized by passes made. Lines join team-mates with 5 or more passes between them (fewer when a side made its first change early), thicker for more. Counted until each side's first substitution. Both sides attack left to right. Tap a player to isolate his links.

MoreirenseUntil 36'

Most-connected pair: Monteiro and Batista, 12 passes between them.

EstrelaUntil 68'

Most-connected pair: Patrick and Linck, 25 passes between them.

Tactical battle

56control44

L. Antonetti

4 touches in box

In possession

53,5%Field tilt46,5%

7Passes into box5

31Progressive passes14

7Carries into final third5

8Chances created6

Field tilt is each side's share of play in the final third.

Out of possession

9,71Press intensity (PPDA)9,73

12High turnovers7

10Regains within 5s10

24,6sBall recovery time25,2s

16Interceptions13

↓ Lower is better, so the longer bar always wins. PPDA is opponent passes allowed per defensive action.

Carrying

122Carries105

1388mCarry distance1172m

9Progressive carries8

674mProgressive carry distance564m

2Carries into the box3

Distances are how far the ball was moved forward, not how far anybody ran.

Beating the press

11Take-ons won7

23Take-ons attempted16

536mProgressive pass distance318m

0Through balls0

5Switches of play6

A take-on is a player going past an opponent with the ball at his feet.

Threat created

0,64Expected threat (xT)0,46

2,34Action value (VAEP)1,24

19Shot-creating actions21

3Goal-creating actions2

6Box entries6

xT values where a possession reached; VAEP values every action by how much it shifted the chance of a goal.

Tempo

3,1Passes per attack3,3

11,4sAttack duration15,2s

2,43 m/sAttack directness1,75 m/s

1Build-up attacks3

6Direct attacks6

An attack is direct when it moves upfield quickly rather than through many passes.

The moment that decided it

The goal that swung the win probability the most. Press play to replay the move, touch by touch.

Nile JohnRight foot · assist T. Andrade90+5'

Score: 1–1→2–1
Moreirense win chance: 1%→99%
xG of the shot: 0.04
Touches in the move: 2

1T. Andradeassist›
2N. JohnRight foot

Live stats

Possession & Passing

52%Possession48%

424Total passes386

84%Pass accuracy76%

3Corners3

Attack

11Shots11

4On target1

3Off target4

4Blocked shots6

Box & Quality

3Shots in box9

8Shots out box2

0.5xG0.7

Defense & Discipline

0Goalkeeper saves2

4Offsides3

10Fouls15

0Yellow cards1

Half by half

The same match, split at the break. Which half did each side actually win?

First half

0,11xG0,16

4Shots5

1On target0

0Big chances0

2Touches in box9

46%Possession54%

1Corners1

Second half

0,33xG0,52

7Shots6

3On target1

1Big chances1

9Touches in box13

59%Possession41%

2Corners2

More match stats

Attack

11Touches in box22

63Final third entries47

1Big chances1

0,88xG on target0,72

45Dangerous attacks36

Passing

2/14 (14%)Crosses4/11 (36%)

26/51 (51%)Long balls28/69 (41%)

22Throw-ins24

15Free kicks10

4Goal kicks5

Duels

50Total49

40/81 (49%)Ground40/80 (50%)

20/38 (53%)Aerial18/38 (47%)

11/22 (50%)Dribbles7/16 (44%)

13Dispossessed6

Defending

51Recoveries52

11Interceptions9

15Tackles23

87%Tackles won57%

37Clearances23

1Big chances scored1

3Fouled in final third0

7,60Average rating6,27

Player duel

Match summary

Moreirense beat Estrela 2-1 at Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas in Primeira Liga. It was goalless at half-time. Scorers: Landerson Costa Araújo (50'), Nile John (90+5') for Moreirense; Lovro Zvonarek (57') for Estrela. The winner came in stoppage time (90+5'). In their last 10 meetings, Moreirense have won 5, Estrela 1, with 4 drawn. Full match stats, lineups and player ratings are all on this page.

AI prediction

Confidence 41%

MOR21%

X38%

EST41%

→ Double chance: Estrela or draw

Why this prediction

The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.

Share per factor

44%Form56%

42%Attack58%

50%Defence50%

40%Goal model (Poisson)60%

50%Head-to-head50%

50%Goals50%

46%Overall54%

Last 5 matches

Scored 5, conceded 9

Last 5 matches

Scored 7, conceded 9

Odds

Indicative · not tied to specific bookmakers

Source1X2

Market average2.97-0.093.222.39+0.10

Who will win?

Cast your vote!

Goal timing & form

Scored in this phaseConceded in this phase

MoreirenseThis season

Scores most 16-30 · concedes most 76-90

EstrelaThis season

Scores most 46-60 · concedes most 0-15

Goal profile

This season

How often each side reaches a scoreline, across 11 matches each.

Share of their matches

They score

64%1+ goal73%

36%2+ goals64%

18%3+ goals18%

They concede

91%1+ goal100%

36%2+ goals82%

18%3+ goals18%

Heaviest results

best 3-1 (H)·worst 0-4 (H)

best 2-1 (H)·worst 0-2 (H)

Where these sides shoot from

2025/26 season

Each attack set against the defence it meets, zone by zone. Season shares rather than a forecast; a figure beside a share is how far it sits from the league average, shown only where the gap is worth noticing.

MoreirenseshootallowEstrela

6.3%Six-yard box5.7%

54.5%-2.3Penalty area+3.560.1%

29.4%+2.5Edge of the box-1.625.5%

9.9%Long range-1.98.7%

303 shots taken · 459 faced

EstrelashootallowMoreirense

6.0%Six-yard box5.8%

49.6%-7.2Penalty area+2.559.1%

29.3%+2.4Edge of the box-2.025.1%

15.2%+4.6Long range10.1%

369 shots taken · 447 faced

Shot locations, not player movement: where the ball was struck from, not where anybody ran. Shares are of each club's own shots, so a side that shoots often is comparable with one that does not.

Compare teams

Team formsLatestPts

9

Moreirense

LWWLD

14

12

Estrela

LLLLL

10

Prematch standings

Moreirense Nile John

Moreirense's leading scorer with 3 goals this season.

Estrela Leandro Antonetti

Estrela's leading scorer with 5 goals this season.

Primeira Liga top scorers

The leading scorers and assist-makers in the Primeira Liga this season.

Top scorers

Top assists

1
Pepe
FC Porto
6assists
2
N. Djouahra
Arouca
5assists
3
C. Kahraman
Academico Viseu
4assists
4
G. Catamo
Sporting CP
4assists
5
G. Veiga
FC Porto
4assists

Venue spotlight

Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas

Moreira de Cónegos, Portugal

13,000

Capacity

Moreirense 2-1 Estrela: result and stats, Primeira Liga

Highlights

Substitutions

Unused

Substitutions

Unused

Match eventsSee match events11

Player of the match

Most valuable players

Highest-rated players

Player statistics

xG race

Shot map

Goal mouth

Shot duel

xG analytics

Momentum

Match replay

Average positions

Passing network

Tactical battle

In possession

Out of possession

Carrying

Beating the press

Threat created

Tempo

The moment that decided it

Possession & Passing

Attack

Box & Quality

Defense & Discipline

Half by half

First half

Second half

More match stats

Attack

Passing

Duels

Defending

Player duel

Match summary

Why this prediction

Odds

Who will win?

Goal timing & form

Goal profile

They score

They concede

Heaviest results

Where these sides shoot from

Players to watch

Primeira Liga top scorers

Venue spotlight

Head-to-headLast 10 meetings

Most valuable players

Player duel

Goal timing & form

Players to watch

Primeira Liga top scorers