126'
Marseille 4-3 Le Havre: result and stats, Ligue 1
Matchday 8
FT
- CJ Egan-Riley5'
- Timothy Weah33'
- Igor Paixão50'
- Himad Abdelli55'
- 77' (pen), 89'Josh Maja
- 86'Lamine N'Diaye
MarseilleLine ups
6.84corners1yellow cards0red cards
Line ups6.33corners3yellow cards0red cards
Assistant
Jacques Abardonado
AssistantJacques Abardonado
Jacques AbardonadoSubstitutions
- 78'A. Harit
776.4K. Abdallah
486.5 - 78'
- 84'
- 84'P. Højbjerg
237.0A. Gomes
76.5 - 90'Igor Paixão
148.3
Unused
- K. BezahafD
74 - G. KondogbiaM
19 - B. MeitéD
18 - T. VermotG
92
Substitutions
- 61'
- 61'M. Samatta
256.6S. Nakamura
307.2 - 77'A. Richardson
75.6D. Mosengo
786.8 - 84'
Unused
- Hakim DongopandjiF
33 - Mouhamed N'DiayeM97
- V. SassoD
23 - G. ZohouriM
24 - A. BodartG
16
Home
OutD. CorneliusHip Injury
Away
OutA. ToureKnee Injury
OutA. SekoYellow Card- OutS. NakamuraInactive
OutE. JelertThigh Problems
OutL. MpasiAchilles Tendon Problems
OutF. MambimbiAchilles Tendon Problems
OutStephan ZagadouJumpers Knee
OutT. PembéléMuscle Bruise
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VSOGC Nice vs Le Havre AC
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DateSat 16 Jan
Kick-off20:45
Allianz Riveira
Tickets from€25
Get ticketsPlayer of the match
Igor Guilherme Barbosa da Paixão
Midfielder · Marseille
8.3
This match
Attacking
Goals1
Assists0
Shots2
Shots on target2
Shot accuracy100%
Dribbles won2
Build-up
Passes25
Key passes2
Pass accuracy92%
Defending
Tackles3
Blocks0
Interceptions3
Duels won7 · 39%
Fouls won/made1 / 0
This match · octagon = season skill index
Highest-rated players
Player DNA
Better than 90% of Ligue 1 attackers for goals.
Per 90 minutes this season, against all 64 attackers with at least 300 minutes.
Amine Gouiri · MarseilleAttacker · 852 min
Elite 90+Strong 70+Average 40+Below 40
Skill by skillPer 90Rank
- Goals0.7490%
- xG0.6287%
- Shots2.5455%
- Assists0.3285%
- xA0.1662%
- Shot-creating actions3.7065%
- Chances created1.5866%
- xT0.0851%
- Progressive passes1.5838%
- Progressive carries1.5848%
- Dribbles won0.7446%
- Tackles won0.2112%
- Interceptions0.008%
- Duels won1.0633%
- VAEP0.4191%
Ligue 1 2026/27, through 8 Nov. Rank means better than that share of the group, in their most-played position.
Goalkeepers
Every shot on target · tap one
Lange
Marseille
3
Saves
3
Conceded
50%
Save %
-0.87
Prevented
Best save: Nakamura 86' · 0.12 xGOT
Bottom right · 0.7 m high · 14 m out · 66° angle
Gallon
Le Havre
1
Saves
4
Conceded
20%
Save %
-1.50
Prevented
Best save: Paixão 60' · 0.03 xGOT
Bottom left · 0.4 m high · 28 m out · 33° angle
| Player | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. de LangeG | 3 | 2,13 | -0,87 | 22/30 | 7/15 |
| G. GallonG | 1 | 2,50 | -1,50 | 26/28 | 11/12 |
xG race
32 shotsChance quality as it built up. A steep step is a big chance.
Marseille1,54 xG · 4 scoredLe Havre3,08 xG · 3 scoredHow those chances were made
Marseille20
Le Havre40
Shot map
11 v 21Marseille shoot right, Le Havre left. Bigger dot = better chance.
MARMarseilleHAVLe Havregoalsavedoff target
Goal mouth
18 on target · 7 scoredWhere each shot on target crossed the line. Placement beats power.
MarseilleLe Havregoalsavedoff target
Shot duel
Maja's 77' chance was the biggest of the match: 0,79 xG, scored.
Every shot on its minute, Marseille above and Le Havre below. The longer the bar, the bigger the chance. Faces on goals and on chances of 0,3 xG or more.
Marseille11 shots · 1,54 xGLe Havre21 shots · 3,08 xG
Josh Maja
Le Havre
77'0,79 xGGoal
xG analytics
TeamxGShotsSOTPoss
Marseille23% open play77% set piece
Le Havre65% open play9% set piece26% penalty
Expected goals weighs every shot by the historic conversion rate of similar chances. Higher xG means better scoring opportunities, regardless of whether they went in.
The deserved table
Le Havre have 9.7 fewer points than their chances earned.
Every Ligue 1 shot this season turned into expected points (xPTS): how many points each side's chances were worth.
The luck mapAll 18 sides
These two sidesFull table
Marseille
Points above what their chances earned
+5.8
- 4th → 11th
- Table
- 22 / 16.9 xG
- Scored
- 14 / 21.0 xG
- Conceded
Le Havre
Points below what their chances earned
-9.7
- 18th → 14th
- Table
- 9 / 15.7 xG
- Scored
- 22 / 18.4 xG
- Conceded
Ligue 1 2026/27, 90 of 90 finished matches through 8 Nov, league only. A measure of chances, not a verdict.
Momentum
19 swingsWhich side was on top, minute by minute. A taller bar is heavier pressure.
Marseille68% pressureLe Havre32% pressureMatch replay
91'4-3100%Draw 0%0%
1.54xG3.08
11Shots21
7On target11
Momentum
90' Off target Kaito Mizuta 0.05 xG · Regular play · Right footAverage positions
Each starter's average position on the ball, with the number of those actions inside the chip. Both sides attack left to right. Tap a player to see where they actually were.
MarseilleDefensive line 30%Le HavreDefensive line 29%An average, not a movement map: it says where a player's actions balanced out, not where they ran.
Passing network
Each player at his average position, sized by passes made. Lines join team-mates with 5 or more passes between them (fewer when a side made its first change early), thicker for more. Counted until each side's first substitution. Both sides attack left to right. Tap a player to isolate his links.
MarseilleUntil 78'Most-connected pair: Højbjerg and Emerson, 27 passes between them.
Le HavreUntil 61'Most-connected pair: Touba and Mwanga, 11 passes between them.
Tactical battle
52control48J. Maja
5 touches in box
In possession
59,2%Field tilt40,8%
12Passes into box9
28Progressive passes29
17Carries into final third11
7Chances created15
Field tilt is each side's share of play in the final third.
Out of possession
8,68Press intensity (PPDA)15,67
9High turnovers6
8Regains within 5s5
27,0sBall recovery time25,4s
20Interceptions11
↓ Lower is better, so the longer bar always wins. PPDA is opponent passes allowed per defensive action.
Carrying
144Carries117
1612mCarry distance1347m
18Progressive carries15
833mProgressive carry distance763m
8Carries into the box2
Distances are how far the ball was moved forward, not how far anybody ran.
Beating the press
8Take-ons won9
20Take-ons attempted17
420mProgressive pass distance579m
0Through balls0
8Switches of play5
A take-on is a player going past an opponent with the ball at his feet.
Threat created
0,78Expected threat (xT)1,00
3,64Action value (VAEP)2,32
20Shot-creating actions40
8Goal-creating actions6
18Box entries10
xT values where a possession reached; VAEP values every action by how much it shifted the chance of a goal.
Tempo
5,0Passes per attack4,0
17,8sAttack duration14,9s
1,76 m/sAttack directness2,07 m/s
4Build-up attacks5
7Direct attacks12
An attack is direct when it moves upfield quickly rather than through many passes.
The moment that decided it
The goal that swung the win probability the most.
C. Egan-RileyGoal · assist Emerson Palmieri5'- Score
- 0–0→1–0
- Marseille win chance
- 36%→69%
- xG of the shot
- 0.30
Live statsPossession & Passing
53%Possession47%
483Total passes411
87%Pass accuracy82%
4Corners3
Attack
11Shots22
5On target7
4Off target9
2Blocked shots6
Box & Quality
7Shots in box14
4Shots out box8
1.5xG3.1
Defense & Discipline
3Goalkeeper saves1
3Offsides1
15Fouls11
1Yellow cards3
Half by half
The same match, split at the break. Which half did each side actually win?
First half
0,74xG0,77
8Shots8
2On target1
1Big chances0
13Touches in box9
61%Possession39%
2Corners1
Second half
0,81xG2,27
3Shots13
3On target6
2Big chances4
16Touches in box20
44%Possession56%
2Corners2
More match stats
Attack
28Touches in box28
55Final third entries46
3Big chances4
2,50xG on target2,13
0Big chances missed1
Passing
4/12 (33%)Crosses4/26 (15%)
22/45 (49%)Long balls26/43 (60%)
21Throw-ins22
11Free kicks14
10Goal kicks6
Duels
45Total53
37/74 (50%)Ground36/74 (49%)
8/25 (32%)Aerial15/23 (65%)
8/19 (42%)Dribbles9/16 (56%)
4Dispossessed13
Defending
45Recoveries41
17Interceptions6
19Tackles14
53%Tackles won50%
37Clearances23
3Big chances scored3
0Big saves1
0Errors led to goal1
3Errors led to shot1
7,01Average rating6,94
Big game or flat track?
Marseille take 3.0 points a game from weaker sides, 0.6 from stronger ones.
Points per game against stronger and weaker opponents, over each side's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Points per gameLast 10 matches
Le Havre is not on the chart: none of its last 10 opponents counted as weaker.
These two sidesStrongerWeaker
Marseille0.6 (5)3.0 (5)Newest firstWWWWLWLWLL
Le Havre0.2 (9)- (0)Newest firstLLLLLWLDLD
Points per game (matches). An equal side counts as neither.
Small samples, so read this as a trend. Which opponent counts as stronger is the data provider's call.
Match summary
Marseille beat Le Havre 4-3 at Orange Vélodrome in Ligue 1. Marseille led 2-0 at half-time. Scorers: CJ Egan-Riley (5'), Timothy Weah (33'), Igor Paixão (50'), Himad Abdelli (55') for Marseille; Josh Maja (77' pen, 89'), Lamine N'Diaye (86') for Le Havre. In their last 8 meetings, Marseille have won 8, Le Havre 0, with 0 drawn. Full match stats, lineups and player ratings are all on this page.
AI prediction
Confidence 51%MAR51%
X35%
HAV14%
→ Double chance: Marseille or draw
Why this prediction
The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.
Share per factor60%Form40%
56%Attack44%
47%Defence53%
63%Goal model (Poisson)37%
100%Head-to-head0%
77%Goals23%
61%Overall39%
Last 5 matches
Scored 5, conceded 8
Last 5 matches
Scored 4, conceded 7
Who will win?
Cast your vote!
Goal profile
This seasonHow often each side reaches a scoreline, across 10 matches each.
Share of their matchesThey score
80%1+ goal60%
70%2+ goals20%
30%3+ goals10%
They concede
70%1+ goal90%
50%2+ goals60%
20%3+ goals40%
Heaviest results
best 4-0 (H)·worst 0-2 (A)
worst 1-5 (H)
Where these sides shoot from
2025/26 seasonEach attack set against the defence it meets, zone by zone. Season shares rather than a forecast; a figure beside a share is how far it sits from the league average, shown only where the gap is worth noticing.
MarseilleshootallowLe Havre6.0%Six-yard box5.9%
58.8%-3.2Penalty area+2.063.9%
26.0%+1.6Edge of the box23.9%
9.1%Long range-2.06.3%
515 shots taken · 443 faced
Le HavreshootallowMarseille4.5%Six-yard box5.5%
58.4%-3.6Penalty area+6.168.0%
25.3%Edge of the box-7.616.8%
11.7%+3.3Long range9.6%
375 shots taken · 363 faced
Shot locations, not player movement: where the ball was struck from, not where anybody ran. Shares are of each club's own shots, so a side that shoots often is comparable with one that does not.
Venue spotlight
Orange Vélodrome
Marseille, France
67,394
Capacity
Head-to-headLast 8 meetings
8MarseilleWins8 wins
0Draws
Draws0
0Le Havre
Wins0 wins
- 25 Oct 2026Marseille4 - 3Le HavreLigue 1
- 10 May 2026Le Havre0 - 1MarseilleLigue 1
- 18 Oct 2025Marseille6 - 2Le HavreLigue 1
- 10 May 2025Le Havre1 - 3MarseilleLigue 1
- 5 Jan 2025Marseille5 - 1Le HavreLigue 1
- 19 May 2024Le Havre1 - 2MarseilleLigue 1
Show 2 earlier meetingsHide earlier meetings
- 8 Oct 2023Marseille3 - 0Le HavreLigue 1
- 22 Jan 2012Marseille3 - 1Le HavreCoupe de France
