194'
Luton 3-1 Doncaster: result and stats, League One
Matchday 9
FT
- Callum Marshall44' (pen)
- Jamie Donley51', 72'
- 84'Bayley McCann
Kenilworth RoadMatthew RussellCapacity 11,500Tue, 27 Oct 202620:45
LutonLine ups
7.05corners1yellow cards0red cards
Line ups6.45corners3yellow cards0red cards
Substitutions
- 41'N. Wells
216.5T. Mendel-Idowu
177.4 - 71'K. Palmer
457.1Emilio Lawrence
116.3 - 72'L. Walsh
86.6Daniel Gore
166.4
Unused
- Joshua KeeleyG
24 - H. FoxM
22 - J. JohnsonD
12 - T. MengiD
15
Substitutions
- 45'H. Adelakun
476.5B. Hanlan
95.8 - 68'R. Gotts
226.7G. Broadbent
86.2 - 69'
- 69'
- 73'W. Keane
186.4H. Clifton
157.6A
Unused
- J. McGrathD
6 - J. ClarkeG
42
Player of the match
Jamie Donley
Midfielder · Luton
8.7
This match
Attacking
Goals2
Assists0
Shots3
Shots on target2
Shot accuracy67%
Dribbles won2
Build-up
Passes49
Key passes3
Pass accuracy82%
Defending
Tackles2
Blocks0
Interceptions0
Duels won4 · 44%
Fouls won/made0 / 2
This match · octagon = season skill index
Highest-rated players
Goalkeepers
Every shot on target · tap one
Shea
Luton
1
Saves
1
Conceded
50%
Save %
-0.88
Prevented
Best save: Keane 14' · 0.03 xGOT
Top centre · 2.4 m high · 11 m out · 10° angle
Simkin
Doncaster
4
Saves
3
Conceded
57%
Save %
-0.66
Prevented
Best save: Naismith 28' · 0.44 xGOT
Bottom left · 0.3 m high · 14 m out · 32° angle
| Player | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. SheaG | 1 | 0,12 | -0,88 | 13/30 | 4/21 |
| Tommy SimkinG | 4 | 2,34 | -0,66 | 30/45 | 8/23 |
xG race
30 shotsChance quality as it built up. A steep step is a big chance.
Luton2,25 xG · 3 scoredDoncaster1,04 xG · 1 scoredHow those chances were made
Luton33
Doncaster22
Shot map
18 v 12Luton shoot right, Doncaster left. Bigger dot = better chance.
LUTLutonDONDoncastergoalsavedoff target
Goal mouth
19 on target · 4 scoredWhere each shot on target crossed the line. Placement beats power.
LutonDoncastergoalsavedoff target
Shot duel
Marshall's 44' chance was the biggest of the match: 0,79 xG, scored.
Every shot on its minute, Luton above and Doncaster below. The longer the bar, the bigger the chance. Faces on goals and on chances of 0,3 xG or more.
Luton18 shots · 2,25 xGDoncaster12 shots · 1,04 xG
Callum Marshall
Luton
44'0,79 xGGoal
xG analytics
TeamxGShotsSOTPoss
Luton56% open play9% set piece35% penalty
Doncaster52% open play48% set piece
Expected goals weighs every shot by the historic conversion rate of similar chances. Higher xG means better scoring opportunities, regardless of whether they went in.
Momentum
22 swingsWhich side was on top, minute by minute. A taller bar is heavier pressure.
Luton59% pressureDoncaster41% pressureMatch replay
91'3-1100%Draw 0%0%
2.25xG1.04
18Shots12
12On target7
Momentum
90' Saved Callum Marshall 0.17 xG · Fast break · Left footAverage positions
Each starter's average position on the ball, with the number of those actions inside the chip. Both sides attack left to right. Tap a player to see where they actually were.
LutonDefensive line 34%DoncasterDefensive line 34%An average, not a movement map: it says where a player's actions balanced out, not where they ran.
Passing network
Each player at his average position, sized by passes made. Lines join team-mates with 5 or more passes between them (fewer when a side made its first change early), thicker for more. Counted until each side's first substitution. Both sides attack left to right. Tap a player to isolate his links.
LutonUntil 41'Most-connected pair: Naismith and Palmer, 16 passes between them.
DoncasterUntil 45'Most-connected pair: Byrne and Grehan, 9 passes between them.
Tactical battle
49control51C. Marshall
9 touches in box
In possession
49,8%Field tilt50,2%
7Passes into box14
38Progressive passes34
4Carries into final third9
13Chances created9
Field tilt is each side's share of play in the final third.
Out of possession
11,89Press intensity (PPDA)13,74
7High turnovers12
18Regains within 5s12
14,2sBall recovery time17,4s
9Interceptions15
↓ Lower is better, so the longer bar always wins. PPDA is opponent passes allowed per defensive action.
Carrying
103Carries95
1256mCarry distance1040m
13Progressive carries8
622mProgressive carry distance565m
4Carries into the box3
Distances are how far the ball was moved forward, not how far anybody ran.
Beating the press
4Take-ons won8
8Take-ons attempted17
748mProgressive pass distance624m
1Through balls0
2Switches of play2
A take-on is a player going past an opponent with the ball at his feet.
Threat created
1,16Expected threat (xT)1,30
2,95Action value (VAEP)0,48
33Shot-creating actions22
6Goal-creating actions2
10Box entries14
xT values where a possession reached; VAEP values every action by how much it shifted the chance of a goal.
Tempo
3,3Passes per attack3,0
9,9sAttack duration8,9s
3,12 m/sAttack directness2,82 m/s
3Build-up attacks3
22Direct attacks10
An attack is direct when it moves upfield quickly rather than through many passes.
The moment that decided it
The goal that swung the win probability the most.
Callum MarshallPenalty44'- Score
- 0–0→1–0
- Luton win chance
- 23%→77%
- xG of the shot
- 0.79
Live statsPossession & Passing
53%Possession47%
460Total passes409
77%Pass accuracy73%
5Corners5
Attack
18Shots12
7On target2
6Off target5
5Blocked shots5
Box & Quality
15Shots in box10
3Shots out box2
2.3xG1.0
Defense & Discipline
1Goalkeeper saves4
2Offsides2
10Fouls12
1Yellow cards3
Half by half
The same match, split at the break. Which half did each side actually win?
First half
0,98xG0,43
3Shots4
2On target1
1Big chances1
12Touches in box8
61%Possession39%
1Corners3
Second half
1,28xG0,63
15Shots8
5On target1
2Big chances1
14Touches in box18
43%Possession57%
4Corners2
More match stats
Attack
26Touches in box26
68Final third entries85
2Big chances2
2,34xG on target0,12
1Big chances missed2
Passing
3/20 (15%)Crosses6/19 (32%)
22/64 (34%)Long balls28/76 (37%)
15Throw-ins24
11Free kicks10
7Goal kicks7
Duels
55Total45
33/59 (56%)Ground26/59 (44%)
24/45 (53%)Aerial21/45 (47%)
4/6 (67%)Dribbles8/16 (50%)
6Dispossessed9
Defending
57Recoveries45
2Interceptions6
17Tackles8
88%Tackles won88%
38Clearances30
1Big chances scored0
0Big saves1
0Errors led to goal1
3Fouled in final third0
7,93Average rating6,62
Match summary
Luton beat Doncaster 3-1 at Kenilworth Road in the League One. Luton led 1-0 at half-time. Scorers: Callum Marshall (44' pen), Jamie Donley (51', 72') for Luton; Bayley McCann (84') for Doncaster. In their last 7 meetings, Luton have won 4, Doncaster 1, with 2 drawn. Full match stats, lineups and player ratings are all on this page.
AI prediction
Confidence 49%LUT49%
X36%
DON15%
→ Double chance: Luton or draw
Why this prediction
The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.
Share per factor44%Form56%
46%Attack54%
44%Defence56%
53%Goal model (Poisson)47%
62%Head-to-head38%
67%Goals33%
53%Overall47%
Last 5 matches
Scored 6, conceded 9
Last 5 matches
Scored 7, conceded 7
Who will win?
Cast your vote!
Goal profile
This seasonHow often each side reaches a scoreline, across 14 and 13 matches.
Share of their matchesThey score
93%1+ goal77%
64%2+ goals31%
They concede
86%1+ goal69%
36%2+ goals54%
14%3+ goals23%
7%4+ goals8%
Heaviest results
best 4-1 (A)·worst 2-5 (A)
best 2-0 (H)·worst 1-6 (A)
Venue spotlight
Kenilworth Road
Luton, Bedfordshire, England
11,500
Capacity
Head-to-headLast 7 meetings
4LutonWins4 wins
2Draws
Draws2
1Doncaster
Wins1 wins
- 27 Oct 2026Luton3 - 1DoncasterLeague One
- 10 Mar 2026Doncaster1 - 1LutonLeague One
- 27 Sept 2025Luton1 - 0DoncasterLeague One
- 23 Mar 2019Luton4 - 0DoncasterLeague One
- 8 Sept 2018Doncaster2 - 1LutonLeague One
- 18 Feb 2017Doncaster1 - 1LutonLeague Two
Show 1 earlier meetingHide earlier meetings
- 24 Sept 2016Luton3 - 1DoncasterLeague Two
