Italy 0-2 Belgium: result and stats, UEFA Nations League
- 20'M. Godts
- 69'D. Lukebakio
Italy

Substitutions
- 65'D. Coppola
66.2G. Scalvini
196.1 - 65'A. Romano
46.8D. Frattesi
166.6 - 65'F. Esposito
76.1D. Maldini
206.0 - 80'N. Barella
186.9I. Doumbia
156.7 - 80'N. Cambiaghi
217.7M. Zoma
176.2
Unused
Claude FichauxSubstitutions
- 58'K. De Bruyne
78.8AH. Vanaken
206.4 - 58'Diego Moreira
196.2D. Lukebakio
147.6 - 74'
- 83'C. De Ketelaere
178.1AR. Lukaku
96.5 - 83'M. Godts
108.0M. Fernandez-Pardo
226.3
Unused
- M. KeitaM
16 - L. OpendaF
11 - J. SeysD
18 - A. TheateD
3 - M. VandevoordtG
12 - Z. DebastD
2 - J. De BusserG
13

Player of the match




xG race
40 shotsChance quality as it built up. A steep step is a big chance.
Shot map
21 v 19Italy shoot right, Belgium left. Bigger dot = better chance.
Goal mouth
14 on target · 2 scoredWhere each shot on target crossed the line. Placement beats power.
Shot duel
Moreira's 27' chance was the biggest of the match: 0,65 xG, missed.
Every shot on its minute, Italy above and Belgium below. The longer the bar, the bigger the chance. Faces on goals and on chances of 0,3 xG or more.
xG analytics
ItalyExpected goals weighs every shot by the historic conversion rate of similar chances. Higher xG means better scoring opportunities, regardless of whether they went in.
Momentum
17 swingsWhich side was on top, minute by minute. A taller bar is heavier pressure.
Match replay
91'
0-2
7' Saved Charles De Ketelaere 0.24 xG · Assisted · Left-footAverage positions
Each starter's average position on the ball, with the number of those actions inside the chip. Both sides attack left to right.
An average, not a movement map: it says where a player's actions balanced out, not where they ran.
The moment that decided it
The goal that swung the win probability the most. Press play to replay the move, touch by touch.
- Score
- 0–0→0–1
- Belgium win chance
- 40%→78%
- xG of the shot
- 0.50
- Touches in the move
- 5
- 1C. De Ketelaere›
- 2Y. Tielemans›
- 3K. De Bruyneassist›
- 4M. Godts›
- 5M. GodtsRight foot
Possession & Passing
Attack
Box & Quality
Defense & Discipline
More match stats
Attack
Passing
Duels
Defending
Match summary
Belgium beat Italy 2-0 at Stadio Olimpico in the UEFA Nations League. Belgium led 1-0 at half-time. Scorers: M. Godts (20'), D. Lukebakio (69') for Belgium. In their last 6 meetings, Italy have won 4, Belgium 1, with 1 drawn. Full match stats, lineups and player ratings are all on this page.
→ Double chance: Italy or draw
Why this prediction
The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.
Who will win?
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