197'
Houston Dynamo 0-1 St. Louis City: result and stats, Major League Soccer
Matchday 34
FT
Houston DynamoLine ups
6.79corners1yellow cards0red cards
Line ups6.93corners0yellow cards0red cards
Assistant
Juan Guerra
AssistantJuan Guerra
Juan GuerraSubstitutions
- 63'Artur
66.9A. Ibrahim
246.5 - 63'L. Ennali
116.8H. Herrera
166.2 - 70'L. Foster
96.4D. McGuire
236.6 - 70'Felipe Andrade
366.7D. Holmes
146.7 - 89'A. Bouzat
306.6N. Markanich
176.3
Unused
Substitutions
- 65'
- 74'Jeong Sang-Bin
776.9S. Becher
116.4 - 82'Rafael Navarro
97.1D. Downs
426.6 - 83'D. Polvara
217.2D. Edelman
246.6
Unused
- C. BrunetM
18 - M. FallD
4 - C. OlivaresG
31 - J. OrozcoD
99 - Z. ZengueM
91
Player of the match
Lukas Michael MacNaughton
Defender · St. Louis City
8.7
This match
Attacking
Goals1
Assists0
Shots1
Shots on target1
Shot accuracy100%
Dribbles won0
Build-up
Passes67
Key passes0
Pass accuracy93%
Defending
Tackles2
Blocks0
Interceptions4
Duels won6 · 60%
Fouls won/made0 / 0
This match · octagon = season skill index
Highest-rated players
Goalkeepers
Every shot on target · tap one
Bond
Houston Dynamo
0
Saves
1
Conceded
0%
Save %
-0.87
Prevented
No shots on target faced
Lundt
St. Louis City
6
Saves
0
Conceded
100%
Save %
+0.84
Prevented
Best save: Guilherme 55' · 0.32 xGOT
Bottom left · 0.2 m high · 12 m out · 13° angle
xG race
36 shotsChance quality as it built up. A steep step is a big chance.
Houston Dynamo1,30 xG · 0 scoredSt. Louis City0,87 xG · 1 scoredHow those chances were made
Houston Dynamo43
St. Louis City23
Shot map
23 v 13Houston Dynamo shoot right, St. Louis City left. Bigger dot = better chance.
HDHouston DynamoSLCSt. Louis Citygoalsavedoff target
Goal mouth
21 on target · 1 scoredWhere each shot on target crossed the line. Placement beats power.
Houston DynamoSt. Louis Citygoalsavedoff target
Shot duel
Navarro's 69' chance was the biggest of the match: 0,25 xG, missed.
Every shot on its minute, Houston Dynamo above and St. Louis City below. The longer the bar, the bigger the chance. Faces on goals and on chances of 0,3 xG or more.
Houston Dynamo23 shots · 1,30 xGSt. Louis City13 shots · 0,87 xGRafael Navarro
St. Louis City
69'0,25 xGMissed
xG analytics
TeamxGShotsSOTPoss
Houston Dynamo72% open play28% set piece
St. Louis City67% open play33% set piece
Expected goals weighs every shot by the historic conversion rate of similar chances. Higher xG means better scoring opportunities, regardless of whether they went in.
Momentum
20 swingsWhich side was on top, minute by minute. A taller bar is heavier pressure.
Houston Dynamo37% pressureSt. Louis City63% pressureMatch replay
91'0-10%Draw 0%100%
1.30xG0.87
23Shots13
14On target7
Momentum
90' Goal Lukas MacNaughton 0.14 xG · Fast break · Right footAverage positions
Each starter's average position on the ball, with the number of those actions inside the chip. Both sides attack left to right. Tap a player to see where they actually were.
Houston DynamoDefensive line 36%St. Louis CityDefensive line 36%An average, not a movement map: it says where a player's actions balanced out, not where they ran.
Passing network
Each player at his average position, sized by passes made. Lines join team-mates with 5 or more passes between them (fewer when a side made its first change early), thicker for more. Counted until each side's first substitution. Both sides attack left to right. Tap a player to isolate his links.
Houston DynamoUntil 63'Most-connected pair: Andrade and Halter, 11 passes between them.
St. Louis CityUntil 65'Most-connected pair: Fall and Baumgartl, 36 passes between them.
Tactical battle
44control56Rafael Navarro
4 touches in box
In possession
44,9%Field tilt55,1%
10Passes into box13
18Progressive passes46
12Carries into final third8
17Chances created9
Field tilt is each side's share of play in the final third.
Out of possession
15,21Press intensity (PPDA)6,42
9High turnovers12
10Regains within 5s10
31,4sBall recovery time31,6s
15Interceptions18
↓ Lower is better, so the longer bar always wins. PPDA is opponent passes allowed per defensive action.
Carrying
88Carries104
1004mCarry distance1228m
9Progressive carries10
462mProgressive carry distance561m
1Carries into the box2
Distances are how far the ball was moved forward, not how far anybody ran.
Beating the press
7Take-ons won3
15Take-ons attempted7
303mProgressive pass distance794m
3Through balls0
6Switches of play5
A take-on is a player going past an opponent with the ball at his feet.
Threat created
0,84Expected threat (xT)1,12
0,34Action value (VAEP)1,46
43Shot-creating actions23
0Goal-creating actions2
9Box entries14
xT values where a possession reached; VAEP values every action by how much it shifted the chance of a goal.
Tempo
3,3Passes per attack5,4
12,2sAttack duration18,5s
1,99 m/sAttack directness1,40 m/s
2Build-up attacks7
8Direct attacks8
An attack is direct when it moves upfield quickly rather than through many passes.
The moment that decided it
The goal that swung the win probability the most.
Lukas MacNaughtonGoal · assist Alexandru Măţan90+7'- Score
- 0–0→0–1
- St. Louis City win chance
- 1%→99%
- xG of the shot
- 0.14
Live statsPossession & Passing
41%Possession59%
322Total passes479
84%Pass accuracy89%
9Corners3
Attack
23Shots13
6On target1
9Off target6
8Blocked shots6
Box & Quality
12Shots in box8
11Shots out box5
1.3xG0.9
Defense & Discipline
0Goalkeeper saves6
0Offsides1
6Fouls13
1Yellow cards0
Half by half
The same match, split at the break. Which half did each side actually win?
First half
0,62xG0,30
11Shots8
1On target0
1Big chances0
9Touches in box15
39%Possession61%
4Corners1
Second half
0,69xG0,57
12Shots5
5On target1
0Big chances0
14Touches in box9
43%Possession57%
5Corners2
More match stats
Attack
22Touches in box22
27Final third entries67
1Big chances0
0,85xG on target0,00
1Big chances missed0
Passing
6/23 (26%)Crosses4/17 (24%)
19/36 (53%)Long balls17/36 (47%)
15Throw-ins14
13Free kicks6
10Goal kicks7
Duels
56Total44
32/55 (58%)Ground23/55 (42%)
12/24 (50%)Aerial12/24 (50%)
7/15 (47%)Dribbles3/6 (50%)
7Dispossessed10
Defending
35Recoveries39
5Interceptions8
13Tackles15
54%Tackles won53%
18Clearances30
0Big saves2
0Errors led to shot2
4Fouled in final third1
6,93Average rating6,95
Match summary
St. Louis City beat Houston Dynamo 1-0 at BBVA Compass Stadium in the Major League Soccer. It was goalless at half-time. Lukas MacNaughton scored the only goal in stoppage time (90+7'). In their last 11 meetings, Houston Dynamo have won 3, St. Louis City 6, with 2 drawn. Full match stats, lineups and player ratings are all on this page.
AI prediction
Confidence 36%HD36%
X31%
SLC33%
→ Double chance: Houston Dynamo or draw
Why this prediction
The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.
Share per factor86%Form14%
64%Attack36%
56%Defence44%
54%Goal model (Poisson)46%
40%Head-to-head60%
41%Goals59%
57%Overall43%
Last 5 matches
Scored 7, conceded 8
Last 5 matches
Scored 4, conceded 10
Odds
Indicative · not tied to specific bookmakersSource1X2
Market average2.583.442.58
Who will win?
Cast your vote!
Goal profile
This seasonHow often each side reaches a scoreline, across 34 matches each.
Share of their matchesThey score
71%1+ goal79%
38%2+ goals50%
15%3+ goals32%
3%4+ goals6%
They concede
62%1+ goal82%
38%2+ goals38%
15%3+ goals18%
6%4+ goals3%
Heaviest results
best 3-0 (H)·worst 2-6 (A)
best 6-2 (H)·worst 1-4 (A)
Venue spotlight
BBVA Compass Stadium
Houston, Texas, USA
22,661
Capacity
Head-to-headLast 11 meetings
3Houston DynamoWins3 wins
3Draws
Draws3
5St. Louis City
Wins5 wins
- 8 Nov 2026Houston Dynamo0 - 1St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
- 23 Aug 2026St. Louis City2 - 1Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- 20 May 2026St. Louis City2 - 2Houston DynamoUS Open Cup
- 31 Aug 2025St. Louis City2 - 3Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- 29 Jun 2025Houston Dynamo1 - 0St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
- 6 Oct 2024St. Louis City3 - 0Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
Show 5 earlier meetingsHide earlier meetings
- 5 May 2024Houston Dynamo0 - 0St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
- 28 Feb 2024Houston Dynamo1 - 0St. Louis CityCONCACAF Champions League
- 21 Feb 2024St. Louis City2 - 1Houston DynamoCONCACAF Champions League
- 17 Sept 2023Houston Dynamo1 - 1St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
- 4 Jun 2023St. Louis City3 - 0Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
