174'
FSV Mainz 05 2-3 Werder Bremen: result and stats, Bundesliga
Matchday 7
FT
- Anthony Caci33'
- Lee Jae-Sung63'
- 7' (pen), 25' (pen)Niclas Füllkrug
- 61'Ludovit Reis
FSV Mainz 05Line ups
6.76corners2yellow cards0red cards
Line ups7.17corners1yellow cards0red cards
Assistant
Michael Silberbauer
Assistant
Christian Groß
AssistantMichael Silberbauer
Michael SilberbauerSubstitutions
- 75'Lee Jae-Sung
77.4R. Königsdörffer
116.6 - 75'
- 85'S. Becker
237.5AB. Hollerbach
176.2 - 85'D. da Costa
215.4P. Nebel
85.9 - 90'
Unused
- F. GruberD
3 - M. KinzigG
40 - L. MaloneyM
15 - R. NakuzolaD
47
AssistantChristian Groß
Christian GroßSubstitutions
- 45'O. Deman
26.1Mick Schmetgens
336.6 - 59'
- 72'Chuky San José
207.5E. Dinkçi
186.6 - 81'N. Füllkrug
108.02C. Itten
266.9
Unused
- P. ErevbenagieF
38 - S. LynenM
14 - K. QuetantF
19 - A. SchlagerG
30 - Dariusz StalmachM
23
Home
OutD. KohrFoot Injury
OutO. RuoppiKnee Injury
OutSilasBroken shinbone
OutR. ZentnerHand Injury
Away
OutF. AguCalf Injury
OutS. AlveroCalf Injury
OutS. MusahMuscle Injury
OutM. N'DiayeGroin Injury
OutJ. NjinmahThigh Injury
OutJ. StageMuscle Injury
OutN. StarkMuscle Injury
OutK. ToppKnee Injury
Ad · Official tickets · P1 Travel
VSFC Bayern Munich vs Werden Bremen
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VSFC Bayern Munich vs Werden Bremen
Hotel included
Ad · Official tickets · P1 Travel
DateFri 18 Dec
Kick-off20:30
Allianz Arena
Tickets from€297
Get ticketsPlayer of the match
Niclas Füllkrug
Attacker · Werder Bremen
8.0
This match
Attacking
Goals2
Assists0
Shots4
Shots on target3
Shot accuracy75%
Dribbles won0
Penalties2
Build-up
Passes39
Key passes0
Pass accuracy77%
Defending
Tackles1
Blocks0
Interceptions0
Duels won4 · 40%
Fouls won/made0 / 2
This match · octagon = season skill index
Highest-rated players
Player DNA
Better than 98% of Bundesliga defenders for progressive passes.
Per 90 minutes this season, against all 95 defenders with at least 300 minutes.
Anthony Caci · FSV Mainz 05Defender · 681 min
Elite 90+Strong 70+Average 40+Below 40
Skill by skillPer 90Rank
- Goals0.4097%
- xG0.1992%
- Shots1.0674%
- Assists0.4098%
- xA0.3295%
- Shot-creating actions4.8991%
- Chances created2.5195%
- xT0.2697%
- Progressive passes6.2198%
- Progressive carries0.7939%
- Dribbles won0.7985%
- Tackles won2.2595%
- Interceptions1.8577%
- Duels won2.9192%
- VAEP0.6098%
Bundesliga 2026/27, through 8 Nov. Rank means better than that share of the group, in their most-played position.
Goalkeepers
Every shot on target · tap one
Schwolow
FSV Mainz 05
6
Saves
3
Conceded
67%
Save %
-0.33
Prevented
Best save: Chuki 20' · 0.40 xGOT
Middle left · 1.5 m high · 16 m out · 17° angle
Hein
Werder Bremen
6
Saves
2
Conceded
75%
Save %
-0.01
Prevented
Best save: Amiri 81' · 0.21 xGOT
Bottom left · 0.4 m high · 12 m out · 59° angle
| Player | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. HeinG | 6 | 1,99 | -0,01 | 22/31 | 7/16 |
| A. SchwolowG | 6 | 2,67 | -0,33 | 11/14 | 1/4 |
xG race
35 shotsChance quality as it built up. A steep step is a big chance.
FSV Mainz 051,70 xG · 2 scoredWerder Bremen2,56 xG · 3 scoredHow those chances were made
FSV Mainz 0535
Werder Bremen33
Shot map
18 v 17FSV Mainz 05 shoot right, Werder Bremen left. Bigger dot = better chance.
FSVFSV Mainz 05WBWerder Bremengoalsavedoff target
Goal mouth
24 on target · 5 scoredWhere each shot on target crossed the line. Placement beats power.
FSV Mainz 05Werder Bremengoalsavedoff target
Shot duel
Füllkrug's 7' chance was the joint biggest of the match: 0,79 xG, scored.
Every shot on its minute, FSV Mainz 05 above and Werder Bremen below. The longer the bar, the bigger the chance. Faces on goals and on chances of 0,3 xG or more.
FSV Mainz 0518 shots · 1,70 xGWerder Bremen17 shots · 2,56 xGNiclas Füllkrug
Werder Bremen
7'0,79 xGGoal
xG analytics
TeamxGShotsSOTPoss
FSV Mainz 0585% open play15% set piece
Werder Bremen22% open play16% set piece62% penalty
Expected goals weighs every shot by the historic conversion rate of similar chances. Higher xG means better scoring opportunities, regardless of whether they went in.
The deserved table
FSV Mainz 05 have 5.0 fewer points than their chances earned.
Every Bundesliga shot this season turned into expected points (xPTS): how many points each side's chances were worth.
The luck mapAll 18 sides
These two sidesFull table
FSV Mainz 05
Points below what their chances earned
-5.0
- 12th → 5th
- Table
- 18 / 18.0 xG
- Scored
- 19 / 14.5 xG
- Conceded
Werder Bremen
Points above what their chances earned
+2.1
- 6th → 9th
- Table
- 17 / 14.6 xG
- Scored
- 15 / 13.3 xG
- Conceded
Bundesliga 2026/27, 81 of 81 finished matches through 8 Nov, league only. A measure of chances, not a verdict.
Momentum
22 swingsWhich side was on top, minute by minute. A taller bar is heavier pressure.
FSV Mainz 0580% pressureWerder Bremen20% pressureMatch replay
91'2-30%Draw 0%100%
1.70xG2.56
18Shots17
11On target13
Momentum
90' Saved Eren Dinkçi 0.05 xG · Fast break · Right footAverage positions
Each starter's average position on the ball, with the number of those actions inside the chip. Both sides attack left to right. Tap a player to see where they actually were.
FSV Mainz 05Defensive line 34%Werder BremenDefensive line 22%An average, not a movement map: it says where a player's actions balanced out, not where they ran.
Passing network
Each player at his average position, sized by passes made. Lines join team-mates with 5 or more passes between them (fewer when a side made its first change early), thicker for more. Counted until each side's first substitution. Both sides attack left to right. Tap a player to isolate his links.
FSV Mainz 05Until 75'Most-connected pair: Posch and Costa, 26 passes between them.
Werder BremenUntil 45'Most-connected pair: Pieper and Arthur, 26 passes between them.
Tactical battle
74control26N. Füllkrug
9 touches in box
In possession
68,9%Field tilt31,1%
23Passes into box10
46Progressive passes19
11Carries into final third5
15Chances created11
Field tilt is each side's share of play in the final third.
Out of possession
14,90Press intensity (PPDA)33,00
11High turnovers7
10Regains within 5s10
26,2sBall recovery time30,6s
16Interceptions15
↓ Lower is better, so the longer bar always wins. PPDA is opponent passes allowed per defensive action.
Carrying
121Carries103
1328mCarry distance1108m
10Progressive carries12
759mProgressive carry distance668m
1Carries into the box4
Distances are how far the ball was moved forward, not how far anybody ran.
Beating the press
7Take-ons won5
16Take-ons attempted13
814mProgressive pass distance333m
0Through balls0
8Switches of play5
A take-on is a player going past an opponent with the ball at his feet.
Threat created
2,18Expected threat (xT)0,55
0,87Action value (VAEP)2,05
35Shot-creating actions33
4Goal-creating actions6
1,37Expected assisted goals0,77
xT values where a possession reached; VAEP values every action by how much it shifted the chance of a goal.
Tempo
6,3Passes per attack4,7
20,0sAttack duration13,0s
1,77 m/sAttack directness2,27 m/s
13Build-up attacks3
17Direct attacks9
An attack is direct when it moves upfield quickly rather than through many passes.
The moment that decided it
The goal that swung the win probability the most.
Niclas FüllkrugPenalty7'- Score
- 0–0→0–1
- Werder Bremen win chance
- 38%→78%
- xG of the shot
- 0.79
Live statsPossession & Passing
53%Possession47%
559Total passes505
87%Pass accuracy86%
6Corners7
Attack
18Shots17
8On target8
7Off target4
3Blocked shots5
Box & Quality
15Shots in box11
3Shots out box6
1.7xG2.6
Defense & Discipline
6Goalkeeper saves6
2Offsides0
7Fouls5
2Yellow cards1
Half by half
The same match, split at the break. Which half did each side actually win?
First half
0,53xG1,95
8Shots6
4On target5
2Big chances3
17Touches in box16
42%Possession58%
2Corners1
Second half
1,16xG0,61
10Shots11
4On target3
2Big chances0
28Touches in box17
66%Possession34%
4Corners5
More match stats
Attack
45Touches in box32
88Final third entries37
4Big chances3
1,99xG on target2,67
3Big chances missed1
Passing
15/36 (42%)Crosses4/14 (29%)
20/41 (49%)Long balls21/44 (48%)
18Throw-ins11
5Free kicks5
4Goal kicks8
Duels
53Total47
27/55 (49%)Ground28/55 (51%)
21/36 (58%)Aerial15/36 (42%)
7/13 (54%)Dribbles5/12 (42%)
10Dispossessed9
Defending
41Recoveries43
8Interceptions8
16Tackles16
50%Tackles won69%
21Clearances43
1Big chances scored2
2Big saves1
0Errors led to shot1
2Fouled in final third2
7,77Average rating7,84
Big game or flat track?
Too few matches against stronger or weaker sides to call it yet.
Points per game against stronger and weaker opponents, over each side's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Points per gameLast 10 matches
These two sidesStrongerWeaker
FSV Mainz 050.5 (6)3.0 (2)Newest firstLLLLWLWWLW
Werder Bremen2.0 (2)1.8 (6)Newest firstLWLWDDLWDW
Points per game (matches). An equal side counts as neither.
Small samples, so read this as a trend. Which opponent counts as stronger is the data provider's call.
Match summary
Werder Bremen beat FSV Mainz 05 3-2 at Mewa Arena in the Bundesliga. Werder Bremen led 2-1 at half-time. Scorers: Anthony Caci (33'), Lee Jae-Sung (63') for FSV Mainz 05; Niclas Füllkrug (7' pen, 25' pen), Ludovit Reis (61') for Werder Bremen. In their last 31 meetings, FSV Mainz 05 have won 11, Werder Bremen 13, with 7 drawn. Full match stats, lineups and player ratings are all on this page.
AI prediction
Confidence 42%FSV42%
X29%
WB29%
→ Double chance: FSV Mainz 05 or draw
Why this prediction
The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.
Share per factor47%Form53%
57%Attack43%
50%Defence50%
38%Goal model (Poisson)62%
29%Head-to-head71%
44%Goals56%
44%Overall56%
Last 5 matches
Scored 13, conceded 10
Last 5 matches
Scored 10, conceded 10
Who will win?
Cast your vote!
Goal profile
This seasonHow often each side reaches a scoreline, across 9 matches each.
Share of their matchesThey score
89%1+ goal89%
44%2+ goals67%
33%3+ goals33%
They concede
67%1+ goal89%
67%2+ goals56%
56%3+ goals11%
22%4+ goals11%
Heaviest results
best 5-0 (A)·worst 1-4 (A)
best 3-1 (H)·worst 1-4 (A)
Where these sides shoot from
2025/26 seasonEach attack set against the defence it meets, zone by zone. Season shares rather than a forecast; a figure beside a share is how far it sits from the league average, shown only where the gap is worth noticing.
FSV Mainz 05shootallowWerder Bremen5.8%Six-yard box5.5%
71.7%+8.6Penalty area63.2%
15.0%-9.1Edge of the box25.1%
7.5%Long range6.2%
413 shots taken · 470 faced
Werder BremenshootallowFSV Mainz 053.1%-3.4Six-yard box6.9%
60.7%-2.4Penalty area+2.265.4%
27.4%+3.3Edge of the box-3.021.0%
8.8%+2.4Long range6.7%
445 shots taken · 480 faced
Shot locations, not player movement: where the ball was struck from, not where anybody ran. Shares are of each club's own shots, so a side that shoots often is comparable with one that does not.
Venue spotlight
Mewa Arena
Mainz, Germany
34,034
Capacity
Head-to-headLast 31 meetings
11FSV Mainz 05Wins11 wins
7Draws
Draws7
13Werder Bremen
Wins13 wins
- 24 Oct 2026FSV Mainz 052 - 3Werder BremenBundesliga
- 15 Mar 2026Werder Bremen0 - 2FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
- 1 Nov 2025FSV Mainz 051 - 1Werder BremenBundesliga
- 31 Jan 2025Werder Bremen1 - 0FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
- 15 Sept 2024FSV Mainz 051 - 2Werder BremenBundesliga
- 3 Feb 2024FSV Mainz 050 - 1Werder BremenBundesliga
Show 25 earlier meetingsHide earlier meetings
- 2 Sept 2023Werder Bremen4 - 0FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
- 8 Apr 2023FSV Mainz 052 - 2Werder BremenBundesliga
- 15 Oct 2022Werder Bremen0 - 2FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
- 21 Apr 2021Werder Bremen0 - 1FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
- 19 Dec 2020FSV Mainz 050 - 1Werder BremenBundesliga
- 20 Jun 2020FSV Mainz 053 - 1Werder BremenBundesliga
- 17 Dec 2019Werder Bremen0 - 5FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
- 30 Mar 2019Werder Bremen3 - 1FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
- 4 Nov 2018FSV Mainz 052 - 1Werder BremenBundesliga
- 12 May 2018FSV Mainz 051 - 2Werder BremenBundesliga
- 16 Dec 2017Werder Bremen2 - 2FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
- 18 Feb 2017FSV Mainz 050 - 2Werder BremenBundesliga
- 21 Sept 2016Werder Bremen1 - 2FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
- 19 Mar 2016Werder Bremen1 - 1FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
- 24 Oct 2015FSV Mainz 051 - 3Werder BremenBundesliga
- 4 Apr 2015Werder Bremen0 - 0FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
- 1 Nov 2014FSV Mainz 051 - 2Werder BremenBundesliga
- 12 Apr 2014FSV Mainz 053 - 0Werder BremenBundesliga
- 24 Nov 2013Werder Bremen2 - 3FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
- 30 Mar 2013FSV Mainz 051 - 1Werder BremenBundesliga
- 4 Nov 2012Werder Bremen2 - 1FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
- 31 Mar 2012Werder Bremen0 - 3FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
- 29 Oct 2011FSV Mainz 051 - 3Werder BremenBundesliga
- 5 Feb 2011FSV Mainz 051 - 1Werder BremenBundesliga
- 18 Sept 2010Werder Bremen0 - 2FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
