192'
Fortuna Sittard 1-0 Excelsior: result and stats, Eredivisie
Matchday 10
FT
Fortuna SittardLine ups
6.97corners2yellow cards0red cards
Line ups6.54corners1yellow cards0red cards
Assistant
Wil Boessen
AssistantWil Boessen
Wil BoessenSubstitutions
- 46'
- 66'K. Peterson
76.6D. Sinkgraven
246.5 - 66'N. de Groot
156.8J. Dahlhaus
86.5 - 82'P. Brittijn
236.7M. Ihattaren
527.3A - 86'E. Michut
207.1I. Marquez
47.0
Unused
- KaylenG
33 - L. KoopmansG
1 - S. WylinD
2 - Y. OukiliM
5 - G. BuyukhanM
39
Substitutions
- 46'N. Naujoks
106.6A. Thorsteinsson
306.2 - 56'
- 76'K. Bos
126.3S. Janssen
156.4 - 76'A. Sliti
76.8A. Jahanbakhsh
116.5
Unused
Home
OutR. BayramKnee Injury
OutL. ZeefuikInactive
Away
No reported injuries.
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VSFeyenoord vs Excelsior
DateSat 21 Nov
Kick-off18:45
De Kuip
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VSFeyenoord vs Excelsior
Ad · Official tickets · P1 Travel
DateSat 21 Nov
Kick-off18:45
De Kuip
Player of the match
Rodrigo Guth
Defender · Fortuna Sittard
8.1
This match
Attacking
Goals1
Assists0
Shots2
Shots on target1
Shot accuracy50%
Dribbles won0
Build-up
Passes52
Key passes0
Pass accuracy85%
Defending
Tackles0
Blocks0
Interceptions0
Duels won3 · 60%
Fouls won/made0 / 0
This match · octagon = season skill index
Highest-rated players
Player DNA
Better than 92% of Eredivisie midfielders for assists.
Per 90 minutes this season, against all 83 midfielders with at least 300 minutes.
Mohammed Ihattaren · Fortuna SittardMidfielder · 763 min
Elite 90+Strong 70+Average 40+Below 40
Skill by skillPer 90Rank
- Goals0.4789%
- xG0.2374%
- Shots2.4884%
- Assists0.4792%
- xA0.1966%
- Shot-creating actions5.0783%
- Chances created2.0178%
- xT0.1475%
- Progressive passes3.3061%
- Progressive carries2.2478%
- Dribbles won0.9475%
- Tackles won0.3513%
- Interceptions0.3519%
- Duels won1.3026%
- VAEP0.5190%
Eredivisie 2026/27, through 8 Nov. Rank means better than that share of the group, in their most-played position.
Goalkeepers
Every shot on target · tap one
Branderhorst
Fortuna Sittard
2
Saves
0
Conceded
100%
Save %
+0.19
Prevented
Best save: Sliti 49' · 0.10 xGOT
Bottom left · 0.6 m high · 22 m out · 52° angle
Gassel
Excelsior
3
Saves
1
Conceded
75%
Save %
-0.03
Prevented
Best save: Romeny 90' · 0.06 xGOT
Bottom right · 0.2 m high · 17 m out · 69° angle
| Player | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. BranderhorstG | 2 | 0,19 | +0,19 | 16/29 | 4/17 |
| S. van GasselG | 3 | 0,97 | -0,03 | 33/47 | 9/24 |
xG race
13 shotsChance quality as it built up. A steep step is a big chance.
Fortuna Sittard0,75 xG · 1 scoredExcelsior0,40 xG · 0 scoredHow those chances were made
Fortuna Sittard12
Excelsior11
Shot map
7 v 6Fortuna Sittard shoot right, Excelsior left. Bigger dot = better chance.
FSFortuna SittardEXCExcelsiorgoalsavedoff target
Goal mouth
8 on target · 1 scoredWhere each shot on target crossed the line. Placement beats power.
Fortuna SittardExcelsiorgoalsavedoff target
Shot duel
Guth's 90' chance was the biggest of the match: 0,31 xG, scored.
Every shot on its minute, Fortuna Sittard above and Excelsior below. The longer the bar, the bigger the chance. Faces on goals and on chances of 0,3 xG or more.
Fortuna Sittard7 shots · 0,75 xGExcelsior6 shots · 0,40 xGRodrigo Guth
Fortuna Sittard
90'0,31 xGGoal
xG analytics
TeamxGShotsSOTPoss
Fortuna Sittard12% open play88% set piece
Excelsior69% open play31% set piece
Expected goals weighs every shot by the historic conversion rate of similar chances. Higher xG means better scoring opportunities, regardless of whether they went in.
The deserved table
Fortuna Sittard have 9.3 more points than their chances earned.
Every Eredivisie shot this season turned into expected points (xPTS): how many points each side's chances were worth.
The luck mapAll 18 sides
These two sidesFull table
Fortuna Sittard
Points above what their chances earned
+9.3
- 7th → 17th
- Table
- 20 / 11.3 xG
- Scored
- 20 / 24.5 xG
- Conceded
Excelsior
Points below what their chances earned
-1.9
- 15th → 13th
- Table
- 16 / 13.3 xG
- Scored
- 29 / 22.4 xG
- Conceded
Eredivisie 2026/27, 108 of 108 finished matches through 8 Nov, league only. A measure of chances, not a verdict.
Momentum
23 swingsWhich side was on top, minute by minute. A taller bar is heavier pressure.
Fortuna Sittard42% pressureExcelsior58% pressureMatch replay
91'1-0100%Draw 0%0%
0.75xG0.40
7Shots6
5On target3
Momentum
90' Goal Rodrigo Guth 0.31 xG · From corner · HeaderAverage positions
Each starter's average position on the ball, with the number of those actions inside the chip. Both sides attack left to right. Tap a player to see where they actually were.
Fortuna SittardDefensive line 34%ExcelsiorDefensive line 33%An average, not a movement map: it says where a player's actions balanced out, not where they ran.
Passing network
Each player at his average position, sized by passes made. Lines join team-mates with 5 or more passes between them (fewer when a side made its first change early), thicker for more. Counted until each side's first substitution. Both sides attack left to right. Tap a player to isolate his links.
Fortuna SittardUntil 45'Most-connected pair: Hubner and Guth, 12 passes between them.
ExcelsiorUntil 45'Most-connected pair: Plug and Widell, 25 passes between them.
Tactical battle
43control57A. Sliti
4 touches in box
In possession
47,0%Field tilt53,0%
5Passes into box4
17Progressive passes37
8Carries into final third9
6Chances created6
Field tilt is each side's share of play in the final third.
Out of possession
18,08Press intensity (PPDA)15,57
7High turnovers5
5Regains within 5s11
23,4sBall recovery time18,3s
12Interceptions11
↓ Lower is better, so the longer bar always wins. PPDA is opponent passes allowed per defensive action.
Carrying
95Carries143
1259mCarry distance1762m
12Progressive carries15
708mProgressive carry distance904m
2Carries into the box2
Distances are how far the ball was moved forward, not how far anybody ran.
Beating the press
5Take-ons won1
10Take-ons attempted7
352mProgressive pass distance649m
0Through balls0
4Switches of play5
A take-on is a player going past an opponent with the ball at his feet.
Threat created
0,22Expected threat (xT)0,35
0,91Action value (VAEP)-0,06
12Shot-creating actions11
1Goal-creating actions0
0,57Expected assisted goals0,39
xT values where a possession reached; VAEP values every action by how much it shifted the chance of a goal.
Tempo
3,1Passes per attack5,2
9,8sAttack duration16,7s
2,88 m/sAttack directness1,73 m/s
3Build-up attacks2
9Direct attacks3
An attack is direct when it moves upfield quickly rather than through many passes.
The moment that decided it
The goal that swung the win probability the most. Press play to replay the move, touch by touch.
R. GuthHeader · assist M. Ihattaren90'- Score
- 0–0→1–0
- Fortuna Sittard win chance
- 1%→99%
- xG of the shot
- 0.31
- Touches in the move
- 2
- 1M. Ihattarenassist›
- 2R. GuthHeader
Live statsPossession & Passing
43%Possession57%
394Total passes539
79%Pass accuracy85%
7Corners4
Attack
7Shots6
5On target2
2Off target3
0Blocked shots1
Box & Quality
5Shots in box6
2Shots out box0
0.8xG0.4
Defense & Discipline
2Goalkeeper saves3
2Offsides2
14Fouls13
2Yellow cards1
Half by half
The same match, split at the break. Which half did each side actually win?
First half
0,06xG0,16
2Shots3
2On target1
0Big chances1
5Touches in box8
36%Possession64%
2Corners2
Second half
0,68xG0,23
5Shots3
3On target1
1Big chances1
8Touches in box7
51%Possession49%
5Corners2
More match stats
Attack
13Touches in box15
43Final third entries78
1Big chances2
0,97xG on target0,19
0Big chances missed2
Passing
4/21 (19%)Crosses2/14 (14%)
18/58 (31%)Long balls31/62 (50%)
22Throw-ins23
13Free kicks14
8Goal kicks9
Duels
53Total47
26/51 (51%)Ground25/51 (49%)
11/19 (58%)Aerial8/19 (42%)
5/9 (56%)Dribbles1/7 (14%)
6Dispossessed2
Defending
34Recoveries36
6Interceptions4
8Tackles10
88%Tackles won100%
23Clearances20
1Big chances scored0
1Big saves0
2Fouled in final third1
7,56Average rating6,87
Big game or flat track?
Fortuna Sittard take 2.3 points a game from weaker sides, 0.7 from stronger ones.
Points per game against stronger and weaker opponents, over each side's last 10 matches in all competitions.
Points per gameLast 10 matches
These two sidesStrongerWeaker
Fortuna Sittard0.7 (3)2.3 (6)Newest firstDDWDDWWLWW
Excelsior0.6 (9)3.0 (1)Newest firstLLLLLDLDWW
Points per game (matches). An equal side counts as neither.
Small samples, so read this as a trend. Which opponent counts as stronger is the data provider's call.
Match summary
Fortuna Sittard beat Excelsior 1-0 at Fortuna Sittard Stadion in the Eredivisie. It was goalless at half-time. R. Guth scored the only goal in the 90th minute. In their last 9 meetings, Fortuna Sittard have won 5, Excelsior 2, with 2 drawn. Full match stats, lineups and player ratings are all on this page.
AI prediction
Confidence 37%FS35%
X28%
EXC37%
→ Double chance: Excelsior or draw
Why this prediction
The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.
Share per factor67%Form33%
50%Attack50%
52%Defence48%
19%Goal model (Poisson)81%
50%Head-to-head50%
50%Goals50%
48%Overall52%
Last 5 matches
Scored 9, conceded 10
Last 5 matches
Scored 9, conceded 11
Who will win?
Cast your vote!
Goal profile
This seasonHow often each side reaches a scoreline, across 12 matches each.
Share of their matchesThey score
92%1+ goal67%
50%2+ goals42%
25%3+ goals17%
They concede
83%1+ goal83%
58%2+ goals58%
8%3+ goals25%
8%4+ goals25%
Heaviest results
best 3-1 (H)·worst 1-5 (H)
best 4-0 (A)·worst 0-9 (H)
Where these sides shoot from
2025/26 seasonEach attack set against the defence it meets, zone by zone. Season shares rather than a forecast; a figure beside a share is how far it sits from the league average, shown only where the gap is worth noticing.
Fortuna SittardshootallowExcelsior3.9%Six-yard box4.6%
61.3%Penalty area63.7%
25.1%Edge of the box25.1%
9.7%+2.0Long range6.6%
434 shots taken · 502 faced
ExcelsiorshootallowFortuna Sittard5.2%Six-yard box5.5%
63.1%Penalty area+1.764.2%
26.2%Edge of the box25.3%
5.4%-2.3Long range-2.65.0%
423 shots taken · 505 faced
Shot locations, not player movement: where the ball was struck from, not where anybody ran. Shares are of each club's own shots, so a side that shoots often is comparable with one that does not.
Venue spotlight
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Sittard, Netherlands
12,500
Capacity
Head-to-headLast 10 meetings
5Fortuna SittardWins5 wins
3Draws
Draws3
2Excelsior
Wins2 wins
- 25 Oct 2026Fortuna Sittard1 - 0ExcelsiorEredivisie
- 20 Feb 2026Fortuna Sittard2 - 1ExcelsiorEredivisie
- 19 Oct 2025Excelsior1 - 0Fortuna SittardEredivisie
- 3 Mar 2024Fortuna Sittard5 - 2ExcelsiorEredivisie
- 26 Aug 2023Excelsior2 - 2Fortuna SittardEredivisie
- 21 May 2023Excelsior3 - 0Fortuna SittardEredivisie
Show 4 earlier meetingsHide earlier meetings
- 17 Sept 2022Fortuna Sittard1 - 0ExcelsiorEredivisie
- 10 Feb 2019Fortuna Sittard4 - 1ExcelsiorEredivisie
- 11 Aug 2018Excelsior1 - 1Fortuna SittardEredivisie
- 11 Aug 2018Excelsior1 - 1Fortuna SittardEredivisie
