132'
FC Cincinnati 1-0 Philadelphia Union: result and stats, Major League Soccer
Matchday 33
FT
FC CincinnatiLine ups
6.93corners0yellow cards0red cards
Line ups6.612corners0yellow cards0red cards
Substitutions
- 45'
- 64'K. Mboma Dem
176.8E. Echenique
666.6 - 64'T. Barlow
166.2A. Jabbari997.5 - 80'
- 88'
Unused
- A. ChirilaD
88 - E. LouroG
13 - J. MartínezM
70 - G. ValenzuelaM
22
Substitutions
- 60'
- 60'E. Alladoh
236.3Cavan Sullivan
66.3 - 74'I. Vassilev
196.5A. Anello
286.6 - 90'J. Lukić
46.9M. Jakupovic
516.2
Unused
- F. SundstromD
66 - A. RickG
76 - J. RafanelloM
14 - G. MartínezD
2 - J. GriffinD
68
Home
OutJ. MalatiniThigh Injury
OutM. RobinsonLeg Injury
QuestionableP. BuchaLeg Injury- QuestionableE. EcheniqueLeg Injury
QuestionableT. MalaciaAnkle Injury
Away
OutJ. BuenoHamstring Injury
OutM. IloskiMuscle Injury- OutC. SullivanAnkle Injury
Player of the match
Roman Celentano
Goalkeeper · FC Cincinnati
8.4
This match
Attacking
Goals0
Assists0
Shots0
Shots on target0
Dribbles won0
Build-up
Passes28
Key passes0
Pass accuracy61%
Goalkeeping
Saves6
This match · octagon = season skill index
Highest-rated players
Goalkeepers
Every shot on target · tap oneCelentano
FC Cincinnati
6
Saves
0
Conceded
100%
Save %
+0.87
Prevented
Best save: Damiani 5' · 0.30 xGOT
Top right · 1.7 m high · 10 m out · 42° angle
Blake
Philadelphia Union
1
Saves
1
Conceded
50%
Save %
+0.07
Prevented
Best save: Evander 70' · 0.08 xGOT
Bottom right · 0.2 m high · 20 m out · 34° angle
| Player | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. CelentanoG | 6 | 0,87 | +0,87 | 17/28 | 6/18 |
| A. BlakeG | 1 | 1,07 | +0,07 | 18/25 | 9/16 |
xG race
22 shotsChance quality as it built up. A steep step is a big chance.
FC Cincinnati1,05 xG · 1 scoredPhiladelphia Union1,07 xG · 0 scoredHow those chances were made
FC Cincinnati14
Philadelphia Union29
Shot map
7 v 15FC Cincinnati shoot right, Philadelphia Union left. Bigger dot = better chance.
CINFC CincinnatiPUPhiladelphia Uniongoalsavedoff target
Goal mouth
12 on target · 1 scoredWhere each shot on target crossed the line. Placement beats power.
FC CincinnatiPhiladelphia Uniongoalsavedoff target
Shot duel
Jabbari's 70' chance was the biggest of the match: 0,83 xG, scored.
Every shot on its minute, FC Cincinnati above and Philadelphia Union below. The longer the bar, the bigger the chance. Faces on goals and on chances of 0,3 xG or more.
FC Cincinnati7 shots · 1,05 xGPhiladelphia Union15 shots · 1,07 xGAyoub Jabbari
FC Cincinnati
70'0,83 xGGoal
xG analytics
TeamxGShotsSOTPoss
FC Cincinnati97% open play3% set piece
Philadelphia Union43% open play57% set piece
Expected goals weighs every shot by the historic conversion rate of similar chances. Higher xG means better scoring opportunities, regardless of whether they went in.
Momentum
16 swingsWhich side was on top, minute by minute. A taller bar is heavier pressure.
FC Cincinnati35% pressurePhiladelphia Union65% pressureMatch replay
91'1-0100%Draw 0%0%
1.05xG1.07
7Shots15
2On target10
Momentum
90' Off target Cavan Sullivan 0.01 xG · Individual play · Left footAverage positions
Each starter's average position on the ball, with the number of those actions inside the chip. Both sides attack left to right. Tap a player to see where they actually were.
FC CincinnatiDefensive line 28%Philadelphia UnionDefensive line 39%An average, not a movement map: it says where a player's actions balanced out, not where they ran.
Passing network
Each player at his average position, sized by passes made. Lines join team-mates with 5 or more passes between them (fewer when a side made its first change early), thicker for more. Counted until each side's first substitution. Both sides attack left to right. Tap a player to isolate his links.
FC CincinnatiUntil 45'Most-connected pair: Hadebe and Hagglund, 17 passes between them.
Philadelphia UnionUntil 60'Most-connected pair: Lukić and Wagner, 10 passes between them.
Tactical battle
38control62
B. Damiani
9 touches in box
In possession
35,8%Field tilt64,2%
9Passes into box10
21Progressive passes33
10Carries into final third7
6Chances created11
Field tilt is each side's share of play in the final third.
Out of possession
10,43Press intensity (PPDA)9,84
3High turnovers14
15Regains within 5s16
19,1sBall recovery time17,2s
16Interceptions18
↓ Lower is better, so the longer bar always wins. PPDA is opponent passes allowed per defensive action.
Carrying
148Carries78
1630mCarry distance913m
13Progressive carries10
852mProgressive carry distance356m
5Carries into the box2
Distances are how far the ball was moved forward, not how far anybody ran.
Beating the press
8Take-ons won6
22Take-ons attempted15
394mProgressive pass distance606m
0Through balls0
3Switches of play6
A take-on is a player going past an opponent with the ball at his feet.
Threat created
0,58Expected threat (xT)0,88
1,12Action value (VAEP)0,09
14Shot-creating actions29
2Goal-creating actions0
14Box entries8
xT values where a possession reached; VAEP values every action by how much it shifted the chance of a goal.
Tempo
3,6Passes per attack3,5
14,0sAttack duration9,0s
2,09 m/sAttack directness2,64 m/s
6Build-up attacks3
7Direct attacks4
An attack is direct when it moves upfield quickly rather than through many passes.
The moment that decided it
The goal that swung the win probability the most. Press play to replay the move, touch by touch.
Ayoub JabbariRight foot70'- Score
- 0–0→1–0
- FC Cincinnati win chance
- 8%→80%
- xG of the shot
- 0.83
- Touches in the move
- 4
- 1P. Bucha›
- 2O. Nwobodo›
- 3Evander›
- 4A. JabbariRight foot
Live statsPossession & Passing
51%Possession49%
429Total passes406
79%Pass accuracy75%
3Corners12
Attack
7Shots15
2On target6
5Off target5
0Blocked shots4
Box & Quality
5Shots in box11
2Shots out box4
1.1xG1.1
Defense & Discipline
6Goalkeeper saves1
0Offsides2
11Fouls4
Half by half
The same match, split at the break. Which half did each side actually win?
First half
0,09xG0,78
2Shots10
0On target5
0Big chances2
8Touches in box15
56%Possession44%
0Corners6
Second half
0,93xG0,30
5Shots5
2On target1
1Big chances1
15Touches in box15
46%Possession54%
3Corners6
More match stats
Attack
23Touches in box30
54Final third entries72
1Big chances3
1,07xG on target0,87
0Big chances missed3
Passing
2/13 (15%)Crosses6/29 (21%)
16/63 (25%)Long balls33/61 (54%)
18Throw-ins22
4Free kicks11
7Goal kicks6
Duels
40Total60
22/58 (38%)Ground36/58 (62%)
18/41 (44%)Aerial23/41 (56%)
8/19 (42%)Dribbles6/11 (55%)
8Dispossessed6
Defending
45Recoveries53
5Interceptions7
11Tackles19
82%Tackles won63%
46Clearances25
1Big chances scored0
1Big saves1
6,96Average rating6,96
Match summary
FC Cincinnati beat Philadelphia Union 1-0 at TQL Stadium in the Major League Soccer. It was goalless at half-time. Ayoub Jabbari scored the only goal in the 70th minute. In their last 22 meetings, FC Cincinnati have won 8, Philadelphia Union 11, with 3 drawn. Full match stats, lineups and player ratings are all on this page.
AI prediction
Confidence 39%CIN32%
X29%
PU39%
→ Double chance: Philadelphia Union or draw
Why this prediction
The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.
Share per factor47%Form53%
50%Attack50%
43%Defence57%
48%Goal model (Poisson)52%
40%Head-to-head60%
37%Goals63%
44%Overall56%
Last 5 matches
Scored 8, conceded 8
Last 5 matches
Scored 8, conceded 6
Odds
Indicative · not tied to specific bookmakersSource1X2
Market average2.323.762.69
Who will win?
Cast your vote!
Goal profile
This seasonHow often each side reaches a scoreline, across 34 matches each.
Share of their matchesThey score
82%1+ goal79%
62%2+ goals53%
32%3+ goals38%
15%4+ goals18%
They concede
88%1+ goal79%
65%2+ goals47%
38%3+ goals15%
18%4+ goals6%
Heaviest results
best 6-2 (H)·worst 1-6 (A)
best 5-0 (H)·worst 4-6 (A)
Venue spotlight
TQL Stadium
Cincinnati, Ohio, USA
26,000
Capacity
Head-to-headLast 22 meetings
8FC CincinnatiWins8 wins
3Draws
Draws3
11Philadelphia Union
Wins11 wins
- 31 Oct 2026FC Cincinnati1 - 0Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
- 9 Sept 2026Philadelphia Union5 - 0FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- 30 Aug 2025FC Cincinnati0 - 1Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
- 2 Mar 2025Philadelphia Union4 - 1FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- 7 Feb 2025FC Cincinnati4 - 1Philadelphia UnionFriendlies Clubs
- 20 Oct 2024Philadelphia Union1 - 2FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
Show 16 earlier meetingsHide earlier meetings
- 13 Aug 2024FC Cincinnati2 - 4Philadelphia UnionLeagues Cup
- 19 Jun 2024FC Cincinnati4 - 3Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
- 9 Feb 2024FC Cincinnati4 - 3Philadelphia UnionFriendlies Clubs
- 26 Nov 2023FC Cincinnati1 - 0Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
- 16 Sept 2023Philadelphia Union2 - 2FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- 8 Apr 2023FC Cincinnati1 - 0Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
- 10 Feb 2023Philadelphia Union3 - 1FC CincinnatiFriendlies Clubs
- 21 Oct 2022Philadelphia Union1 - 0FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- 6 Aug 2022FC Cincinnati3 - 1Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
- 18 Jun 2022Philadelphia Union1 - 1FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- 31 Oct 2021Philadelphia Union2 - 0FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- 10 Oct 2021FC Cincinnati1 - 2Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
- 7 Oct 2020Philadelphia Union3 - 0FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- 23 Sept 2020FC Cincinnati0 - 0Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
- 1 May 2019Philadelphia Union2 - 0FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- 30 Mar 2019FC Cincinnati0 - 2Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
