Today

Estrela 2-1 SC Braga: result and stats, Primeira Liga

Matchday 3
FT
  • I. Stoica45', 56'
  • 5'G. Martinez
Complexo Desportivo FC AlvercaVasilica IancuCapacity 7,705Thu, 10 Sept 202621:15
Jordi Lie portrait
Assistant
Jordi Lie
Player of the match
Ianis Stoica headshot
Ianis Stoica
Midfielder · Estrela
8.9
This match
Shooting6.1Finishing9.8Creativity8.8Passing7.8Involvement3.6Defending7.3Physical5.9Dribbling10.0
Attacking
Goals2
Assists0
Shots2
Shots on target2
Shot accuracy100%
Dribbles won1
Build-up
Passes18
Key passes1
Pass accuracy78%
Defending
Tackles2
Duels won4 · 44%
Fouls won/made1 / 1
This match · octagon = season skill index

Highest-rated players

Stoica8.9Patrick7.3Marcus7.3Martínez6.9Tıknaz7.2Fontes7.3
Player
Bernardo FontesG321,15-0,8517/214/8
Léo LinckLéo LinckG310,49-0,5123/399/25
Estrela crestLive statsSC Braga crest

Possession & Passing

37%Possession63%
353Total passes597
80%Pass accuracy87%
5Corners9

Attack

9Shots9
5On target4
3Off target3
1Blocked shots2

Box & Quality

8Shots in box6
1Shots out box3
0.6xG0.6

Defense & Discipline

3Goalkeeper saves3
0Offsides1
12Fouls14
2Yellow cards1

Half by half

The same match, split at the break. Which half did each side actually win?

Estrela crest

First half

SC Braga crest
0,11xG0,44
3Shots6
1On target2
0Big chances1
4Touches in box6
45%Possession55%
1Corners2
Estrela crest

Second half

SC Braga crest
0,46xG0,17
6Shots3
4On target2
1Big chances0
13Touches in box16
29%Possession71%
4Corners7

xG analytics

TeamxGShotsSOTPoss
Estrela crestEstrela
0.579637%
87% open play13% set piece
SC Braga crestSC Braga
0.619663%
59% open play41% set piece

Expected goals weighs every shot by the historic conversion rate of similar chances. Higher xG means better scoring opportunities, regardless of whether they went in.

xG race

18 shots

Chance quality as it built up. A steep step is a big chance.

0,00,30,60,81,10'15'30'45'60'75'90'Gabri Martínez 5'Ianis Stoica 45'Ianis Stoica 56'SC Braga0,61 xGEstrela0,57 xGCumulative expected goals per team over the match.
Estrela crestEstrela0,57 xG · 2 scoredSC Braga crestSC Braga0,61 xG · 1 scored

How those chances were made

Estrela14
Open play 12Set piece 2
SC Braga18
Open play 15Set piece 2Foul won 1

Momentum

12 swings

Which side was on top, minute by minute. A taller bar is heavier pressure.

Gabri Martínez 5'Ianis Stoica 45'Ianis Stoica 56'0'15'30'45'60'75'90'EstrelaSC Braga
Estrela crestEstrela21% pressureSC Braga crestSC Braga79% pressure

Match replay

91'
2-1
100%Draw 0%0%
0.57xG0.61
9Shots9
6On target6
Momentum
Víctor Gómez portrait90' Off target Víctor Gómez 0.02 xG

Shot map

9 v 9

Estrela shoot right, SC Braga left. Bigger dot = better chance.

ESTBRAgoalsavedoff target

Goal mouth

12 on target · 3 scored

Where each shot on target crossed the line. Placement beats power.

Leandro Antonetti, 26', off targetCarvalho, 28', off targetGabri Martínez, 36', off targetStefan Leković, 51', off targetBeni Souza, 76', off targetVíctor Gómez, 90', off target
EstrelaSC Bragagoalsavedoff target

Average positions

Each starter's average position on the ball, with the number of those actions inside the chip. Both sides attack left to right. Tap a player to see where they actually were.

EstrelaDefensive line 27%
54Linck36Antonetti79Patrick50Zvonarek63Soares36Stoica57Marcus69Serra49Doué62Leković96Scholze
SC BragaDefensive line 42%
22Navarro43Fontes73Tıknaz80Barcia68Lagerbiel…62Martínez57Dorgeles116Moutinho90Carvalho94Gómez60Víctor

An average, not a movement map: it says where a player's actions balanced out, not where they ran.

Passing network

Each player at his average position, sized by passes made. Lines join team-mates with 5 or more passes between them (fewer when a side made its first change early), thicker for more. Counted until each side's first substitution. Both sides attack left to right. Tap a player to isolate his links.

EstrelaUntil 75'
305217814243955109937

Most-connected pair: Patrick and Scholze, 28 passes between them.

SC BragaUntil 61'
834620227714210319

Most-connected pair: Moutinho and Carvalho, 20 passes between them.

Tactical battle

38control62
27%Field tiltField tilt 73%7Box entriesBox entries 136Passes into boxPasses into box 14
Abraham Marcus
Abraham Marcus
4 touches in box
Press17.0 · 9.2Territory27% · 73%Direct3.34 · 1.77Progress19 · 39Dribble4 · 5Creation14 · 18Threat0.50 · 0.51Recover13 · 8
Estrela crest

In possession

SC Braga crest
26,8%Field tilt73,2%
6Passes into box14
15Progressive passes26
2Carries into final third16
8Chances created8

Field tilt is each side's share of play in the final third.

Estrela crest

Out of possession

SC Braga crest
17,00Press intensity (PPDA)9,18
7High turnovers10
13Regains within 5s8
26,5sBall recovery time19,9s
24Interceptions15

↓ Lower is better, so the longer bar always wins. PPDA is opponent passes allowed per defensive action.

Estrela crest

Carrying

SC Braga crest
79Carries195
968mCarry distance2064m
4Progressive carries13
340mProgressive carry distance1037m
1Carries into the box3

Distances are how far the ball was moved forward, not how far anybody ran.

Estrela crest

Beating the press

SC Braga crest
4Take-ons won5
11Take-ons attempted16
287mProgressive pass distance420m
0Through balls0
7Switches of play3

A take-on is a player going past an opponent with the ball at his feet.

Estrela crest

Threat created

SC Braga crest
0,50Expected threat (xT)0,51
1,87Action value (VAEP)0,97
14Shot-creating actions18
4Goal-creating actions2
0,54Expected assisted goals0,54

xT values where a possession reached; VAEP values every action by how much it shifted the chance of a goal.

Estrela crest

Tempo

SC Braga crest
2,4Passes per attack5,6
8,7sAttack duration16,6s
3,34 m/sAttack directness1,77 m/s
0Build-up attacks7
5Direct attacks10

An attack is direct when it moves upfield quickly rather than through many passes.

Estrela crest

More match stats

SC Braga crest
Estrela crest

Attack

SC Braga crest
17Touches in box22
43Final third entries55
1Big chances1
1,15xG on target0,49
0Big chances missed1
Estrela crest

Passing

SC Braga crest
3/12 (25%)Crosses4/20 (20%)
24/60 (40%)Long balls17/34 (50%)
29Throw-ins19
14Free kicks12
5Goal kicks5
Estrela crest

Duels

SC Braga crest
57Total43
35/64 (55%)Ground29/64 (45%)
11/17 (65%)Aerial6/17 (35%)
4/10 (40%)Dribbles5/15 (33%)
7Dispossessed7
Estrela crest

Defending

SC Braga crest
48Recoveries50
13Interceptions6
17Tackles12
71%Tackles won83%
38Clearances16
1Big chances scored0
0Big saves1
0Errors led to shot1
1Fouled in final third4
7,43Average rating6,81

Goal profile

This season

How often each side reaches a scoreline, across 8 and 7 matches.

Estrela crestShare of their matchesSC Braga crest

They score

75%1+ goal86%
75%2+ goals29%

They concede

100%1+ goal57%
75%2+ goals43%
13%3+ goals14%

Heaviest results

Estrela crestbest 2-1 (H)·worst 0-2 (H)

SC Braga crestbest 1-0 (H)·worst 1-3 (H)

Where these sides shoot from

2025/26 season

Each attack set against the defence it meets, zone by zone. Season shares rather than a forecast; a figure beside a share is how far it sits from the league average, shown only where the gap is worth noticing.

EstrelashootallowSC Braga
6.0%Six-yard box6.6%
49.6%-7.2Penalty area-4.252.4%
29.3%+2.4Edge of the box+4.031.1%
15.2%+4.6Long range9.9%

369 shots taken · 334 faced

SC BragashootallowEstrela
8.3%+2.6Six-yard box5.7%
61.3%+4.5Penalty area+3.560.1%
23.9%-3.0Edge of the box-1.625.5%
6.5%-4.1Long range-1.98.7%

398 shots taken · 459 faced

Shot locations, not player movement: where the ball was struck from, not where anybody ran. Shares are of each club's own shots, so a side that shoots often is comparable with one that does not.

Match summary

Estrela beat SC Braga 2-1 at Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca in Primeira Liga. It was 1-1 at half-time, and Estrela came from behind to win. Scorers: I. Stoica (45', 56') for Estrela; G. Martinez (5') for SC Braga. In their last 8 meetings, Estrela have won 1, SC Braga 3, with 4 drawn. Full match stats, lineups and player ratings are all on this page.

AI prediction
Confidence 47%
EST16%
X37%
BRA47%

→ Double chance: SC Braga or draw

Why this prediction

The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.

Estrela crestShare per factorSC Braga crest
46%Form54%
64%Attack36%
27%Defence73%
44%Goal model (Poisson)56%
25%Head-to-head75%
38%Goals62%
41%Overall59%
Last 4 matches
Scored 9, conceded 8
Last 3 matches
Scored 5, conceded 3

Who will win?

Cast your vote!

Estrela crestCompare teamsSC Braga crest
Team formsLatestPts
10
Estrela crestEstrela
LLDWD
10
9
SC Braga crestSC Braga
LDWLW
11
Prematch standings

Head-to-headLast 8 meetings

Estrela crest1
Wins
4
Draws
3SC Braga crest
Wins
Show 2 earlier meetings
  • 28 Sept 2023Estrela crest2 - 4SC Braga crestPrimeira Liga
  • 13 Jul 2021Estrela crest0 - 0SC Braga crestFriendlies Clubs
Full head-to-head →

Venue spotlight

Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
Alverca do Ribatejo, Portugal
7,705
Capacity