Denmark 2-4 Portugal: result and stats, UEFA Nations League
- M. Damsgaard23'
- R. Hojlund53'
- 13'J. Cancelo
- 25'G. Ramos
- 67'Vitinha
- 87'Joao Felix
Denmark
Substitutions
- 46'A. Daghim
176.4G. Isaksen
86.2 - 75'M. Hjulmand
216.7 - 81'
- 85'M. Damsgaard
148.5AK. Høgh
196.3
Unused
Substitutions
- 63'João Cancelo
207.6Diogo Dalot
27.4A - 63'Rafael Leão
77.3Trincão
166.5 - 82'Gonçalo Ramos
98.5AJoão Neves
156.8 - 82'Pedro Neto
186.8João Félix
117.7 - 90'Bruno Fernandes
89.2A2
Unused

Player of the match
Highest-rated players




xG race
31 shotsChance quality as it built up. A steep step is a big chance.
Shot map
12 v 19Denmark shoot right, Portugal left. Bigger dot = better chance.
Goal mouth
13 on target · 6 scoredWhere each shot on target crossed the line. Placement beats power.
Shot duel
Cancelo's 13' chance was the biggest of the match: 0,63 xG, scored.
Every shot on its minute, Denmark above and Portugal below. The longer the bar, the bigger the chance. Faces on goals and on chances of 0,3 xG or more.
xG analytics
DenmarkExpected goals weighs every shot by the historic conversion rate of similar chances. Higher xG means better scoring opportunities, regardless of whether they went in.
Momentum
20 swingsWhich side was on top, minute by minute. A taller bar is heavier pressure.
Match replay
91'
2-4
7' Blocked Gonçalo Ramos 0.04 xG · Assisted · Right-footAverage positions
Each starter's average position on the ball, with the number of those actions inside the chip. Both sides attack left to right.
An average, not a movement map: it says where a player's actions balanced out, not where they ran.
The moment that decided it
The goal that swung the win probability the most. Press play to replay the move, touch by touch.
- Score
- 2–2→2–3
- Portugal win chance
- 41%→88%
- xG of the shot
- 0.35
- Touches in the move
- 6
- 1Vitinha›
- 2B. Fernandes›
- 3R. Dias›
- 4D. Dalot›
- 5B. Fernandesassist›
- 6VitinhaHeader
Possession & Passing
Attack
Box & Quality
Defense & Discipline
More match stats
Attack
Passing
Duels
Defending
Match summary
Portugal beat Denmark 4-2 at Parken Stadium in the UEFA Nations League. Portugal led 2-1 at half-time. Scorers: M. Damsgaard (23'), R. Hojlund (53') for Denmark; J. Cancelo (13'), G. Ramos (25'), Vitinha (67'), Joao Felix (87') for Portugal. In their last 4 meetings, Denmark have won 1, Portugal 3, with 0 drawn. Full match stats, lineups and player ratings are all on this page.
→ Double chance: Portugal or draw
Why this prediction
The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.
Who will win?
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