145'
Bristol Rovers 1-0 Rotherham: result and stats, League Two
Matchday 5
FT
- Tommy Leigh32'
Memorial StadiumD. DrysdaleCapacity 11,916Sat, 5 Sept 202616:00
Bristol RoversLine ups
7.110corners1yellow cards0red cards
Line ups6.64corners3yellow cards0red cards
PR
Assistant
Paul Raynor
AssistantPRPaul Raynor
Substitutions
- 46'Tommy Leigh247.3Ellis Harrison
198.2 - 59'Fabrizio Cavegn
296.7Jack Aitchison
117.0 - 69'
- 86'Shaqai Forde
76.9Philip Sanyaolu
276.7
Unused
Substitutions
- 51'Tom Bradshaw
96.2George Sebine
196.5 - 61'Brandon Cover
286.3Kieran Ngwenya
56.7 - 61'Jayce Fitzgerald
156.5Ossama Ashley
66.9 - 78'Emmanuel Adegboyega
166.5Paul Mullin
106.3 - 79'Jili Buyabu
246.6Aaron Nemane
236.7
Unused
Player of the match
Kofi Balmer
Defender · Bristol Rovers
8.3
This match
Attacking
Goals0
Assists0
Shots1
Shots on target1
Shot accuracy100%
Build-up
Passes13
Pass accuracy77%
Defending
Tackles2
Interceptions1
Duels won4 · 80%
This match · octagon = season skill index
Highest-rated players
Goalkeepers
Every shot on target · tap one
Young
Bristol Rovers
2
Saves
0
Conceded
100%
Save %
+0.28
Prevented
Best save: Cover 40'
Top left · 1.6 m high · 35 m out · 24° angle
Cann
Rotherham
4
Saves
1
Conceded
80%
Save %
-0.23
Prevented
Best save: Kamwa 32'
Centre · 1.3 m high · 17 m out · 41° angle
| Player | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad YoungG | 2 | 0 | 0,28 | +0,28 | 14/31 | 14/31 |
| Ted CannG | 4 | 1 | 0,77 | -0,23 | 17/32 | 1/15 |
xG race
19 shotsChance quality as it built up. A steep step is a big chance.
Bristol Rovers1,12 xG · 1 scoredRotherham1,02 xG · 0 scoredHow those chances were made
Bristol Rovers23
Rotherham12
Shot map
12 v 7Bristol Rovers shoot right, Rotherham left. Bigger dot = better chance.
BRBristol RoversROTRotherhamgoalsavedoff target
Goal mouth
12 on target · 1 scoredWhere each shot on target crossed the line. Placement beats power.
Bristol RoversRotherhamgoalsavedoff target
Shot duel
Mullin's 90' chance was the biggest of the match: 0,48 xG, saved.
Every shot on its minute, Bristol Rovers above and Rotherham below. The longer the bar, the bigger the chance. Faces on goals and on chances of 0,3 xG or more.
Bristol Rovers12 shots · 1,12 xGRotherham7 shots · 1,02 xGPaul Mullin
Rotherham
90'0,48 xGSaved
xG analytics
TeamxGShotsSOTPoss
Bristol Rovers47% open play53% set piece
Rotherham100% open play0% set piece
Expected goals weighs every shot by the historic conversion rate of similar chances. Higher xG means better scoring opportunities, regardless of whether they went in.
Momentum
17 swingsWhich side was on top, minute by minute. A taller bar is heavier pressure.
Bristol Rovers73% pressureRotherham27% pressureMatch replay
91'1-0100%Draw 0%0%
1.12xG1.02
12Shots7
8On target4
Momentum
90' Saved Paul Mullin 0.48 xG · Regular play · Right footAverage positions
Each starter's average position on the ball, with the number of those actions inside the chip. Both sides attack left to right. Tap a player to see where they actually were.
Bristol RoversDefensive line 31%RotherhamDefensive line 26%An average, not a movement map: it says where a player's actions balanced out, not where they ran.
Passing network
Each player at his average position, sized by passes made. Lines join team-mates with 5 or more passes between them (fewer when a side made its first change early), thicker for more. Counted until each side's first substitution. Both sides attack left to right. Tap a player to isolate his links.
Bristol RoversUntil 45'Most-connected pair: Purrington and Mola, 6 passes between them.
RotherhamUntil 51'Most-connected pairs: Hall and Austerfield and 4 others, 7 passes each.
Tactical battle
50control50Ellis Harrison
6 touches in box
In possession
55,8%Field tilt44,2%
12Passes into box8
30Progressive passes21
7Carries into final third8
8Chances created5
Field tilt is each side's share of play in the final third.
Out of possession
12,04Press intensity (PPDA)12,29
7High turnovers10
14Regains within 5s15
15,7sBall recovery time17,6s
15Interceptions11
↓ Lower is better, so the longer bar always wins. PPDA is opponent passes allowed per defensive action.
Carrying
75Carries103
804mCarry distance1292m
8Progressive carries13
391mProgressive carry distance692m
4Carries into the box3
Distances are how far the ball was moved forward, not how far anybody ran.
Beating the press
8Take-ons won4
14Take-ons attempted11
584mProgressive pass distance402m
0Through balls0
5Switches of play1
A take-on is a player going past an opponent with the ball at his feet.
Threat created
0,47Expected threat (xT)0,59
1,17Action value (VAEP)-0,05
23Shot-creating actions12
2Goal-creating actions0
0,63Expected assisted goals0,83
xT values where a possession reached; VAEP values every action by how much it shifted the chance of a goal.
Tempo
2,1Passes per attack2,5
8,1sAttack duration7,0s
3,85 m/sAttack directness3,44 m/s
1Build-up attacks0
16Direct attacks5
An attack is direct when it moves upfield quickly rather than through many passes.
The moment that decided it
The goal that swung the win probability the most. Press play to replay the move, touch by touch.
Tommy LeighRight foot32'- Score
- 0–0→1–0
- Bristol Rovers win chance
- 29%→74%
- xG of the shot
- 0.12
- Touches in the move
- 3
- 1T. Leigh›
- 2B. Kamwa›
- 3T. LeighRight foot
Live statsPossession & Passing
44%Possession56%
281Total passes364
65%Pass accuracy71%
10Corners4
Attack
12Shots7
5On target2
4Off target3
3Blocked shots2
Box & Quality
9Shots in box6
3Shots out box1
1.1xG1.0
Defense & Discipline
2Goalkeeper saves4
3Offsides1
9Fouls9
1Yellow cards3
Half by half
The same match, split at the break. Which half did each side actually win?
First half
0,31xG0,01
5Shots1
2On target1
0Big chances0
11Touches in box5
45%Possession55%
2Corners2
Second half
0,81xG1,01
7Shots6
3On target1
0Big chances1
19Touches in box14
43%Possession57%
8Corners2
More match stats
Attack
30Touches in box19
78Final third entries76
0Big chances1
0Big chances missed1
41Dangerous attacks28
Passing
5/26 (19%)Crosses3/20 (15%)
32/76 (42%)Long balls16/61 (26%)
26Throw-ins28
9Free kicks9
3Goal kicks11
Duels
61Total39
29/52 (56%)Ground23/52 (44%)
33/49 (67%)Aerial16/49 (33%)
8/14 (57%)Dribbles4/10 (40%)
4Dispossessed7
Defending
55Recoveries43
11Interceptions7
13Tackles10
54%Tackles won30%
33Clearances32
3Fouled in final third3
7,98Average rating6,67
Match summary
Bristol Rovers beat Rotherham 1-0 at Memorial Stadium in the League Two. Bristol Rovers led 1-0 at half-time. Tommy Leigh scored the only goal in the 32nd minute. In their last 11 meetings, Bristol Rovers have won 6, Rotherham 4, with 1 drawn. Full match stats, lineups and player ratings are all on this page.
AI prediction
Confidence 49%BR49%
X35%
ROT16%
→ Double chance: Bristol Rovers or draw
Why this prediction
The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.
Share per factor64%Form36%
65%Attack35%
50%Defence50%
67%Goal model (Poisson)33%
29%Head-to-head71%
27%Goals73%
50%Overall50%
Last 4 matches
Scored 11, conceded 6
Last 4 matches
Scored 6, conceded 6
Who will win?
Cast your vote!
Goal profile
This seasonHow often each side reaches a scoreline, across 14 matches each.
Share of their matchesThey score
71%1+ goal79%
29%2+ goals36%
7%3+ goals14%
They concede
64%1+ goal93%
57%2+ goals57%
43%3+ goals21%
Heaviest results
best 5-3 (H)·worst 0-3 (A)
best 2-1 (H)·worst 1-4 (H)
Venue spotlight
Memorial Stadium
Bristol, Gloucestershire, England
11,916
Capacity
Head-to-headLast 11 meetings
6Bristol RoversWins6 wins
1Draws
Draws1
4Rotherham
Wins4 wins
- 5 Sept 2026Bristol Rovers1 - 0RotherhamLeague Two
- 1 Mar 2025Bristol Rovers2 - 3RotherhamLeague One
- 17 Aug 2024Rotherham0 - 0Bristol RoversLeague One
- 18 Jan 2020Rotherham3 - 0Bristol RoversLeague One
- 28 Sept 2019Bristol Rovers1 - 0RotherhamLeague One
- 21 Apr 2018Rotherham2 - 0Bristol RoversLeague One
Show 5 earlier meetingsHide earlier meetings
- 2 Dec 2017Bristol Rovers2 - 1RotherhamLeague One
- 19 Feb 2013Bristol Rovers1 - 2RotherhamLeague Two
- 26 Jan 2013Rotherham1 - 3Bristol RoversLeague Two
- 25 Feb 2012Rotherham0 - 1Bristol RoversLeague Two
- 14 Oct 2011Bristol Rovers5 - 2RotherhamLeague Two
