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Arouca 1-0 Estrela: result and stats, Primeira Liga

Matchday 8
FT
  • Iván Barbero5'
    Nuno Diogo portrait
    Assistant
    Nuno Diogo
    Player of the match
    Naïs Djouahra headshot
    Naïs Djouahra
    Midfielder · Arouca
    7.7
    This match
    Shooting1.5Finishing0.0Creativity8.2Passing7.3Involvement4.6Defending9.0Physical3.9Dribbling7.7
    Attacking
    Goals0
    Assists1
    Shots1
    Shots on target0
    Shot accuracy0%
    Dribbles won2
    Offsides1
    Build-up
    Passes24
    Key passes1
    Pass accuracy83%
    Defending
    Tackles2
    Blocks0
    Interceptions0
    Duels won4 · 80%
    Fouls won/made0 / 0
    This match · octagon = season skill index

    Highest-rated players

    Djouahra7.7Sánchez7.5Barbero7.5Serra6.8Leković6.9Luan7.2
    Player
    I. de ArruabarrenaI. de ArruabarrenaG20,55+0,5528/416/19
    Léo LinckLéo LinckG21,14+0,1445/507/12
    Arouca crestLive statsEstrela crest

    Possession & Passing

    37%Possession63%
    344Total passes579
    77%Pass accuracy87%
    5Corners6

    Attack

    7Shots11
    3On target2
    2Off target7
    2Blocked shots2

    Box & Quality

    5Shots in box6
    2Shots out box5
    0.7xG1.5

    Defense & Discipline

    2Goalkeeper saves2
    2Offsides3
    10Fouls7
    5Yellow cards2

    Half by half

    The same match, split at the break. Which half did each side actually win?

    Arouca crest

    First half

    Estrela crest
    0,40xG1,28
    5Shots7
    2On target2
    2Big chances1
    12Touches in box14
    40%Possession60%
    4Corners3
    Arouca crest

    Second half

    Estrela crest
    0,34xG0,18
    2Shots4
    1On target0
    1Big chances0
    2Touches in box9
    35%Possession65%
    1Corners3

    xG analytics

    TeamxGShotsSOTPoss
    Arouca crestArouca
    0.737537%
    62% open play38% set piece
    Estrela crestEstrela
    1.4511463%
    27% open play19% set piece54% penalty

    Expected goals weighs every shot by the historic conversion rate of similar chances. Higher xG means better scoring opportunities, regardless of whether they went in.

    xG race

    18 shots

    Chance quality as it built up. A steep step is a big chance.

    0,00,40,81,21,60'15'30'45'60'75'90'Barbero 5'Estrela1,45 xGArouca0,73 xGCumulative expected goals per team over the match.
    Arouca crestArouca0,73 xG · 1 scoredEstrela crestEstrela1,45 xG · 0 scored

    How those chances were made

    Arouca14
    Open play 11Set piece 2Rebound 1
    Estrela19
    Open play 11Set piece 1Dribble 2Foul won 2Rebound 2Defensive 1

    Momentum

    19 swings

    Which side was on top, minute by minute. A taller bar is heavier pressure.

    Barbero 5'0'15'30'45'60'75'90'AroucaEstrela
    Arouca crestArouca22% pressureEstrela crestEstrela78% pressure

    Match replay

    91'
    1-0
    100%Draw 0%0%
    0.73xG1.45
    7Shots11
    5On target4
    Momentum
    Lovro Zvonarek portrait90' Off target Lovro Zvonarek 0.05 xG

    Shot map

    7 v 11

    Arouca shoot right, Estrela left. Bigger dot = better chance.

    AROESTgoalsavedoff target

    Goal mouth

    9 on target · 1 scored

    Where each shot on target crossed the line. Placement beats power.

    Ianis Stoica, 19', off targetIanis Stoica, 25', off targetAlfonso Trezza, 28', off targetSantiago Serra, 41', off targetNaïs Djouahra, 45', off targetIanis Stoica, 45', off targetIanis Stoica, 54', off targetStefan Leković, 72', off targetLovro Zvonarek, 90', off target
    AroucaEstrelagoalsavedoff target

    Average positions

    Each starter's average position on the ball, with the number of those actions inside the chip. Both sides attack left to right. Tap a player to see where they actually were.

    AroucaDefensive line 27%
    36Trezza47Lebedenko22Barbero30Gozálbez39Djouahra44Fukui63Ee66Arruabarr…67Sánchez75Fontán56Esgaio
    EstrelaDefensive line 36%
    34Antonetti119Patrick58Doué113Leković65Linck49Zvonarek48Stoica55Marcus46Scholze90Soares84Serra

    An average, not a movement map: it says where a player's actions balanced out, not where they ran.

    Passing network

    Each player at his average position, sized by passes made. Lines join team-mates with 5 or more passes between them (fewer when a side made its first change early), thicker for more. Counted until each side's first substitution. Both sides attack left to right. Tap a player to isolate his links.

    AroucaUntil 57'
    361512781828101719

    Most-connected pair: Fontán and Djouahra, 17 passes between them.

    EstrelaUntil 61'
    305782439551021149937

    Most-connected pair: Patrick and Leković, 39 passes between them.

    Tactical battle

    39control61
    29%Field tiltField tilt 71%7Box entriesBox entries 176Passes into boxPasses into box 13
    I. Stoica
    I. Stoica
    8 touches in box
    Press19.7 · 17.4Territory29% · 71%Direct2.63 · 2.15Progress24 · 47Dribble4 · 8Creation14 · 19Threat0.56 · 0.57Recover7 · 8
    Arouca crest

    In possession

    Estrela crest
    29,1%Field tilt70,9%
    6Passes into box13
    15Progressive passes33
    3Carries into final third9
    5Chances created5

    Field tilt is each side's share of play in the final third.

    Arouca crest

    Out of possession

    Estrela crest
    19,71Press intensity (PPDA)17,41
    3High turnovers9
    7Regains within 5s8
    31,1sBall recovery time19,2s
    17Interceptions8

    ↓ Lower is better, so the longer bar always wins. PPDA is opponent passes allowed per defensive action.

    Arouca crest

    Carrying

    Estrela crest
    87Carries189
    998mCarry distance2392m
    9Progressive carries14
    574mProgressive carry distance1116m
    2Carries into the box4

    Distances are how far the ball was moved forward, not how far anybody ran.

    Arouca crest

    Beating the press

    Estrela crest
    4Take-ons won8
    7Take-ons attempted23
    303mProgressive pass distance606m
    0Through balls1
    3Switches of play14

    A take-on is a player going past an opponent with the ball at his feet.

    Arouca crest

    Threat created

    Estrela crest
    0,56Expected threat (xT)0,57
    0,60Action value (VAEP)-0,49
    14Shot-creating actions19
    2Goal-creating actions0
    7Box entries17

    xT values where a possession reached; VAEP values every action by how much it shifted the chance of a goal.

    Arouca crest

    Tempo

    Estrela crest
    3,2Passes per attack5,1
    11,5sAttack duration17,1s
    2,63 m/sAttack directness2,15 m/s
    2Build-up attacks6
    10Direct attacks15

    An attack is direct when it moves upfield quickly rather than through many passes.

    Arouca crest

    More match stats

    Estrela crest
    Arouca crest

    Attack

    Estrela crest
    14Touches in box23
    44Final third entries80
    3Big chances1
    1,14xG on target0,55
    2Big chances missed1
    Arouca crest

    Passing

    Estrela crest
    4/8 (50%)Crosses3/21 (14%)
    16/54 (30%)Long balls42/68 (62%)
    13Throw-ins21
    7Free kicks9
    12Goal kicks2
    Arouca crest

    Duels

    Estrela crest
    49Total51
    28/52 (54%)Ground24/52 (46%)
    9/24 (38%)Aerial15/23 (65%)
    4/7 (57%)Dribbles8/22 (36%)
    4Dispossessed6
    Arouca crest

    Defending

    Estrela crest
    45Recoveries51
    9Interceptions4
    20Tackles7
    60%Tackles won71%
    30Clearances18
    1Big chances scored0
    2Big saves0
    0Fouled in final third2
    7,57Average rating7,38

    Goal profile

    This season

    How often each side reaches a scoreline, across 8 matches each.

    Arouca crestShare of their matchesEstrela crest

    They score

    75%1+ goal75%
    38%2+ goals75%
    13%3+ goals25%

    They concede

    50%1+ goal100%
    38%2+ goals75%

    Heaviest results

    Arouca crestbest 4-0 (H)·worst 0-2 (A)

    Estrela crestbest 2-1 (H)·worst 0-2 (H)

    Where these sides shoot from

    2025/26 season

    Each attack set against the defence it meets, zone by zone. Season shares rather than a forecast; a figure beside a share is how far it sits from the league average, shown only where the gap is worth noticing.

    AroucashootallowEstrela
    4.9%Six-yard box5.7%
    55.0%-1.8Penalty area+3.560.1%
    30.2%+3.3Edge of the box-1.625.5%
    9.8%Long range-1.98.7%

    367 shots taken · 459 faced

    EstrelashootallowArouca
    6.0%Six-yard box6.9%
    49.6%-7.2Penalty area+4.461.0%
    29.3%+2.4Edge of the box-2.724.4%
    15.2%+4.6Long range-2.87.8%

    369 shots taken · 451 faced

    Shot locations, not player movement: where the ball was struck from, not where anybody ran. Shares are of each club's own shots, so a side that shoots often is comparable with one that does not.

    Match summary

    Arouca beat Estrela 1-0 at Estádio Municipal de Arouca in Primeira Liga. Arouca led 1-0 at half-time. Iván Barbero scored the only goal in the 5th minute. In their last 7 meetings, Arouca have won 4, Estrela 2, with 1 drawn. Full match stats, lineups and player ratings are all on this page.

    AI prediction
    Confidence 39%
    ARO39%
    X32%
    EST29%

    → Double chance: Arouca or draw

    Why this prediction

    The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.

    Arouca crestShare per factorEstrela crest
    38%Form62%
    33%Attack67%
    59%Defence41%
    69%Goal model (Poisson)31%
    50%Head-to-head50%
    44%Goals56%
    49%Overall51%
    Last 5 matches
    Scored 5, conceded 7
    Last 5 matches
    Scored 10, conceded 10

    Who will win?

    Cast your vote!

    Arouca crestCompare teamsEstrela crest
    Team formsLatestPts
    5
    Arouca crestArouca
    WDLDW
    14
    10
    Estrela crestEstrela
    LLDWD
    10
    Prematch standings

    Head-to-headLast 8 meetings

    Arouca crest5
    Wins
    1
    Draws
    2Estrela crest
    Wins
    Show 2 earlier meetings
    • 28 Dec 2023Estrela crest1 - 4Arouca crestPrimeira Liga
    • 28 Dec 2023Estrela crest1 - 4Arouca crestPrimeira Liga
    Full head-to-head →

    Venue spotlight

    Estádio Municipal de Arouca
    Arouca, Portugal
    7,000
    Capacity