Today

Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund: prediction and lineups, Bundesliga

Matchday 6
An der Alten FörstereiDaniel Schlager12°C· light rainCapacity 22,467Sat, 17 Oct 202615:30
Union Berlin crest4-2-3-1
Expected XI
3-4-2-1Borussia Dortmund crest
Expected XI · auto-updates when the teams confirm ~30 min before kickoff

Home

  • A. Ilic portraitUnion Berlin crest
    A. Ilic
    Illness
    Out
  • A. Markgraf portraitUnion Berlin crest
    A. Markgraf
    Knee Injury
    Out
  • J. Juranovic portraitUnion Berlin crest
    J. Juranovic
    Achilles Tendon Injury
    Questionable
  • E. Latte Lath portraitUnion Berlin crest
    E. Latte Lath
    Inactive
    Questionable
  • S. Nsoki portraitUnion Berlin crest
    S. Nsoki
    Muscle Injury
    Questionable

Away

  • E. Can portraitBorussia Dortmund crest
    E. Can
    Knee Injury
    Out
  • G. Konstantelias portraitBorussia Dortmund crest
    G. Konstantelias
    Knee Injury
    Out
  • J. Lerma portraitBorussia Dortmund crest
    J. Lerma
    Muscle Injury
    Out

Goal profile

2025/26

How often each side reaches a scoreline, across 34 matches each.

Union Berlin crestShare of their matchesBorussia Dortmund crest

They score

76%1+ goal94%
32%2+ goals71%
15%3+ goals35%
6%4+ goals6%

They concede

79%1+ goal56%
50%2+ goals32%
32%3+ goals12%

Heaviest results

Union Berlin crestbest 4-0 (H)·worst 0-4 (A)

Borussia Dortmund crestbest 4-0 (H)·worst 2-3 (H)

Where these sides shoot from

2025/26 season

Each attack set against the defence it meets, zone by zone. Season shares rather than a forecast; a figure beside a share is how far it sits from the league average, shown only where the gap is worth noticing.

Union BerlinshootallowBorussia Dortmund
4.9%-1.6Six-yard box+2.28.8%
68.9%+5.8Penalty area-2.360.9%
20.7%-3.4Edge of the box23.4%
5.4%Long range6.9%

425 shots taken · 363 faced

Borussia DortmundshootallowUnion Berlin
9.9%+3.4Six-yard box5.7%
64.9%+1.8Penalty area61.8%
21.6%-2.5Edge of the box+2.826.8%
3.6%-2.8Long range5.7%

444 shots taken · 440 faced

Shot locations, not player movement: where the ball was struck from, not where anybody ran. Shares are of each club's own shots, so a side that shoots often is comparable with one that does not.

Match preview

Union Berlin face Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga at An der Alten Försterei. In their last 16 meetings, Union Berlin have won 4, Borussia Dortmund 12, with 0 drawn. BetsyScore's AI model makes Borussia Dortmund favourites at 57%, projecting a 1-2 scoreline. Follow live scores, confirmed lineups and full stats for Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund right here.

AI prediction
Confidence 57%
UB7%
X36%
BD57%

→ Winner: Borussia Dortmund

Why this prediction

The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.

Union Berlin crestShare per factorBorussia Dortmund crest
8%Form92%
31%Attack69%
11%Defence89%
17%Goal model (Poisson)83%
20%Head-to-head80%
12%Goals88%
17%Overall83%
Last 4 matches
Scored 4, conceded 17
Last 4 matches
Scored 9, conceded 2

Odds

Indicative · not tied to specific bookmakers
Source1X2
Market average5.074.331.59

Who will win?

Cast your vote!

Union Berlin crestCompare teamsBorussia Dortmund crest
Team formsLatestPts
16
Union Berlin crestUnion Berlin
WLLLD
4
2
Borussia Dortmund crestBorussia Dortmund
DWWWW
13
Prematch standings

Head-to-headLast 16 meetings

Union Berlin crest4
Wins
1
Draws
11Borussia Dortmund crest
Wins
Show 10 earlier meetings
  • 8 Apr 2023Borussia Dortmund crest2 - 1Union Berlin crestBundesliga
  • 16 Oct 2022Union Berlin crest2 - 0Borussia Dortmund crestBundesliga
  • 13 Feb 2022Union Berlin crest0 - 3Borussia Dortmund crestBundesliga
  • 19 Sept 2021Borussia Dortmund crest4 - 2Union Berlin crestBundesliga
  • 21 Apr 2021Borussia Dortmund crest2 - 0Union Berlin crestBundesliga
  • 18 Dec 2020Union Berlin crest2 - 1Borussia Dortmund crestBundesliga
  • 1 Feb 2020Borussia Dortmund crest5 - 0Union Berlin crestBundesliga
  • 31 Aug 2019Union Berlin crest3 - 1Borussia Dortmund crestBundesliga
  • 31 Oct 2018Borussia Dortmund crest3 - 2Union Berlin crestDFB Pokal
  • 26 Oct 2016Borussia Dortmund crest2 - 2Union Berlin crestDFB Pokal
Full head-to-head →

Venue spotlight

An der Alten Försterei
Berlin, Germany
22,467
Capacity