Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain: prediction and lineups, Ligue 1

How often each side reaches a scoreline, across 6 matches each.

Share of their matches

Each attack set against the defence it meets, zone by zone. Season shares rather than a forecast; a figure beside a share is how far it sits from the league average, shown only where the gap is worth noticing.

StrasbourgshootallowParis Saint Germain

5.6%Six-yard box4.3%

66.1%+4.1Penalty area-1.960.0%

19.1%-5.3Edge of the box+2.627.0%

9.2%Long range8.7%

392 shots taken · 300 faced

Paris Saint GermainshootallowStrasbourg

6.8%+1.6Six-yard box4.9%

58.9%-3.1Penalty area+2.464.3%

27.9%+3.5Edge of the box23.1%

6.5%-1.9Long range7.7%

603 shots taken · 428 faced

Shot locations, not player movement: where the ball was struck from, not where anybody ran. Shares are of each club's own shots, so a side that shoots often is comparable with one that does not.

Why this prediction

The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.

Share per factor