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Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig: prediction and lineups, UEFA Champions League

Matchday 3
Estadio Santiago BernabéuCapacity 85,454Wed, 21 Oct 202621:00
Real Madrid crest4-2-3-1
Expected XI
4-2-3-1RB Leipzig crest
Expected XI · auto-updates when the teams confirm ~30 min before kickoff

Where these sides shoot from

2025/26 season

Each attack set against the defence it meets, zone by zone. Season shares rather than a forecast; a figure beside a share is how far it sits from the league average, shown only where the gap is worth noticing.

Real MadridshootallowRB Leipzig
4.7%Six-yard box6.5%
60.5%Penalty area64.6%
28.1%+2.8Edge of the box23.9%
6.8%-1.7Long range5.1%

666 shots taken · 415 faced

RB LeipzigshootallowReal Madrid
7.4%Six-yard box3.7%
67.1%+4.0Penalty area61.1%
21.4%-2.7Edge of the box+2.928.1%
4.1%-2.3Long range7.1%

538 shots taken · 409 faced

Shot locations, not player movement: where the ball was struck from, not where anybody ran. Shares are of each club's own shots, so a side that shoots often is comparable with one that does not.

Match preview

Real Madrid face RB Leipzig in the UEFA Champions League. In their last 4 meetings, Real Madrid have won 2, RB Leipzig 1, with 1 drawn. BetsyScore's AI model makes Real Madrid favourites at 45%. Follow live scores, confirmed lineups and full stats for Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig right here.

AI prediction
Confidence 45%
RM45%
X45%
RB10%

→ Winner: Real Madrid

Why this prediction

The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.

Real Madrid crestShare per factorRB Leipzig crest
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
80%Defence20%
83%Goal model (Poisson)17%
64%Head-to-head36%
60%Goals40%
65%Overall35%
Last match
Scored 2, conceded 1
Last 2 matches
Scored 2, conceded 4

Who will win?

Cast your vote!

Real Madrid crestCompare teamsRB Leipzig crest
Team formsLatestPts
8
Real Madrid crestReal Madrid
WW
6
21
RB Leipzig crestRB Leipzig
WL
3
Prematch standings

Venue spotlight

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Madrid, Spain
85,454
Capacity