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Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona: prediction and lineups, UEFA Champions League

Matchday 3
Parc des Princes12°C· light rainTue, 20 Oct 202621:00
Paris Saint Germain crest4-3-3
Expected XI
4-3-3Barcelona crest
Expected XI · auto-updates when the teams confirm ~30 min before kickoff
Rafel Pol portrait
Assistant
Rafel Pol
Marcus Sorg portrait
Assistant
Marcus Sorg

Goal profile

2025/26

How often each side reaches a scoreline, across 17 and 12 matches.

Paris Saint Germain crestShare of their matchesBarcelona crest

They score

94%1+ goal83%
71%2+ goals67%
41%3+ goals42%
29%4+ goals33%

They concede

71%1+ goal100%
47%2+ goals50%
12%3+ goals17%

Heaviest results

Paris Saint Germain crestbest 7-2 (A)·worst 1-2 (H)

Barcelona crestbest 7-2 (H)·worst 0-3 (A)

Where these sides shoot from

2025/26 season

Each attack set against the defence it meets, zone by zone. Season shares rather than a forecast; a figure beside a share is how far it sits from the league average, shown only where the gap is worth noticing.

Paris Saint GermainshootallowBarcelona
6.8%+1.6Six-yard box6.1%
58.9%-3.1Penalty area+11.572.6%
27.9%+3.5Edge of the box-8.516.7%
6.5%-1.9Long range-3.94.6%

603 shots taken · 347 faced

BarcelonashootallowParis Saint Germain
5.2%Six-yard box4.3%
62.9%+1.9Penalty area-1.960.0%
26.3%Edge of the box+2.627.0%
5.6%-2.9Long range8.7%

692 shots taken · 300 faced

Shot locations, not player movement: where the ball was struck from, not where anybody ran. Shares are of each club's own shots, so a side that shoots often is comparable with one that does not.

Match preview

Paris Saint Germain face Barcelona in the UEFA Champions League at Parc des Princes. In their last 13 meetings, Paris Saint Germain have won 5, Barcelona 5, with 3 drawn. BetsyScore's AI model makes Paris Saint Germain favourites at 42%, projecting a 1-0 scoreline. Follow live scores, confirmed lineups and full stats for Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona right here.

AI prediction
Confidence 42%
PSG42%
X35%
BAR23%

→ Double chance: Paris Saint Germain or draw

Why this prediction

The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.

Paris Saint Germain crestShare per factorBarcelona crest
33%Form67%
40%Attack60%
67%Defence33%
49%Goal model (Poisson)51%
71%Head-to-head29%
65%Goals35%
54%Overall46%
Last match
Scored 6, conceded 1
Last 2 matches
Scored 9, conceded 2

Odds

Indicative · not tied to specific bookmakers
Source1X2
Market average2.394.172.47

Who will win?

Cast your vote!

Paris Saint Germain crestCompare teamsBarcelona crest
Team formsLatestPts
1
Paris Saint Germain crestParis Saint Germain
WW
6
2
Barcelona crestBarcelona
WW
6
Prematch standings

Head-to-headLast 13 meetings

Paris Saint Germain crest5
Wins
3
Draws
5Barcelona crest
Wins
Show 7 earlier meetings
  • 14 Feb 2017Paris Saint Germain crest4 - 0Barcelona crestUEFA Champions League
  • 21 Apr 2015Barcelona crest2 - 0Paris Saint Germain crestUEFA Champions League
  • 15 Apr 2015Paris Saint Germain crest1 - 3Barcelona crestUEFA Champions League
  • 10 Dec 2014Barcelona crest3 - 1Paris Saint Germain crestUEFA Champions League
  • 30 Sept 2014Paris Saint Germain crest3 - 2Barcelona crestUEFA Champions League
  • 10 Apr 2013Barcelona crest1 - 1Paris Saint Germain crestUEFA Champions League
  • 2 Apr 2013Paris Saint Germain crest2 - 2Barcelona crestUEFA Champions League
Full head-to-head →

Venue spotlight

Parc des Princes
Paris