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Liverpool vs Villarreal: prediction and lineups, UEFA Champions League

Matchday 3
Anfield10°C· clear skyCapacity 61,276Tue, 20 Oct 202621:00
Liverpool crest4-3-3
Expected XI
4-4-2Villarreal crest
Expected XI · auto-updates when the teams confirm ~30 min before kickoff
Sipke Hulshoff portrait
Assistant
Sipke Hulshoff
Rubén Uría portrait
Assistant
Rubén Uría

Goal profile

2025/26

How often each side reaches a scoreline, across 12 and 8 matches.

Liverpool crestShare of their matchesVillarreal crest

They score

67%1+ goal38%
42%2+ goals25%

They concede

58%1+ goal100%
33%2+ goals75%
8%3+ goals38%
8%4+ goals13%

Heaviest results

Liverpool crestbest 6-0 (H)·worst 1-4 (H)

Villarreal crestworst 0-4 (A)

Where these sides shoot from

2025/26 season

Each attack set against the defence it meets, zone by zone. Season shares rather than a forecast; a figure beside a share is how far it sits from the league average, shown only where the gap is worth noticing.

LiverpoolshootallowVillarreal
5.9%-2.5Six-yard box4.3%
60.8%Penalty area-2.059.1%
26.7%+2.0Edge of the box+4.229.4%
6.6%Long range7.2%

589 shots taken · 487 faced

VillarrealshootallowLiverpool
7.4%+2.2Six-yard box-2.55.9%
65.4%+4.4Penalty area60.6%
23.0%-2.3Edge of the box-1.623.1%
4.2%-4.3Long range+3.810.3%

457 shots taken · 437 faced

Shot locations, not player movement: where the ball was struck from, not where anybody ran. Shares are of each club's own shots, so a side that shoots often is comparable with one that does not.

Match preview

Liverpool face Villarreal in the UEFA Champions League at Anfield. In their last 4 meetings, Liverpool have won 3, Villarreal 1, with 0 drawn. BetsyScore's AI model makes Liverpool favourites at 54%, projecting a 2-1 scoreline. Follow live scores, confirmed lineups and full stats for Liverpool vs Villarreal right here.

AI prediction
Confidence 54%
LIV54%
X34%
VIL12%

→ Double chance: Liverpool or draw

Why this prediction

The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.

Liverpool crestShare per factorVillarreal crest
67%Form33%
62%Attack38%
50%Defence50%
66%Goal model (Poisson)34%
75%Head-to-head25%
73%Goals27%
66%Overall34%
Last 2 matches
Scored 8, conceded 4
Last 2 matches
Scored 5, conceded 4

Odds

Indicative · not tied to specific bookmakers
Source1X2
Market average1.474.556.12

Who will win?

Cast your vote!

Liverpool crestCompare teamsVillarreal crest
Team formsLatestPts
5
Liverpool crestLiverpool
WW
6
14
Villarreal crestVillarreal
WL
3
Prematch standings

Venue spotlight

Anfield
Liverpool, England
61,276
Capacity