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Heerenveen vs Excelsior: prediction and lineups, Eredivisie

Matchday 9
Abe Lenstra StadionRobin Hensgens16°C· light rainCapacity 27,224Fri, 16 Oct 202620:00
Heerenveen crest4-2-3-1
Expected XI
4-3-3Excelsior crest
Expected XI · auto-updates when the teams confirm ~30 min before kickoff

Home

  • D. Proper portraitHeerenveen crest
    D. Proper
    Hamstring Injury
    Out

Away

  • N. Naujoks portraitExcelsior crest
    N. Naujoks
    Injury
    Questionable

Goal profile

This season

How often each side reaches a scoreline, across 8 matches each.

Heerenveen crestShare of their matchesExcelsior crest

They score

63%1+ goal100%
50%2+ goals63%
13%3+ goals25%
13%4+ goals13%

They concede

63%1+ goal75%
63%2+ goals63%
13%3+ goals13%

Heaviest results

Heerenveen crestbest 4-0 (A)·worst 0-2 (H)

Excelsior crestbest 4-0 (A)·worst 1-5 (H)

Where these sides shoot from

2025/26 season

Each attack set against the defence it meets, zone by zone. Season shares rather than a forecast; a figure beside a share is how far it sits from the league average, shown only where the gap is worth noticing.

HeerenveenshootallowExcelsior
5.5%Six-yard box4.6%
63.0%Penalty area63.7%
24.4%Edge of the box25.1%
7.1%Long range6.6%

524 shots taken · 502 faced

ExcelsiorshootallowHeerenveen
5.2%Six-yard box6.1%
63.1%Penalty area-5.457.1%
26.2%Edge of the box+2.026.8%
5.4%-2.3Long range+2.410.0%

423 shots taken · 492 faced

Shot locations, not player movement: where the ball was struck from, not where anybody ran. Shares are of each club's own shots, so a side that shoots often is comparable with one that does not.

Match preview

Heerenveen face Excelsior in the Eredivisie at Abe Lenstra Stadion. In their last 23 meetings, Heerenveen have won 14, Excelsior 6, with 3 drawn. BetsyScore's AI model makes Heerenveen favourites at 43%, projecting a 1-0 scoreline. Follow live scores, confirmed lineups and full stats for Heerenveen vs Excelsior right here.

AI prediction
Confidence 43%
HEE43%
X29%
EXC28%

→ Double chance: Heerenveen or draw

Why this prediction

The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.

Heerenveen crestShare per factorExcelsior crest
38%Form62%
44%Attack56%
50%Defence50%
21%Goal model (Poisson)79%
50%Head-to-head50%
33%Goals67%
39%Overall61%
Last 5 matches
Scored 8, conceded 7
Last 5 matches
Scored 10, conceded 7

Odds

Indicative · not tied to specific bookmakers
Source1X2
Market average1.654.134.67+0.07

Who will win?

Cast your vote!

Heerenveen crestCompare teamsExcelsior crest
Team formsLatestPts
10
Heerenveen crestHeerenveen
LWDLD
9
9
Excelsior crestExcelsior
LDLDW
11
Prematch standings

Head-to-headLast 24 meetings

Heerenveen crest14
Wins
3
Draws
6Excelsior crest
Wins
Show 18 earlier meetings
  • 5 Nov 2022Excelsior crest0 - 1Heerenveen crestEredivisie
  • 30 Jul 2022Heerenveen crest3 - 1Excelsior crestFriendlies Clubs
  • 30 Oct 2019Excelsior crest0 - 3Heerenveen crestKNVB Beker
  • 30 Mar 2019Heerenveen crest1 - 0Excelsior crestEredivisie
  • 22 Sept 2018Excelsior crest3 - 3Heerenveen crestEredivisie
  • 24 Feb 2018Heerenveen crest0 - 1Excelsior crestEredivisie
  • 20 Sept 2017Excelsior crest1 - 2Heerenveen crestKNVB Beker
  • 16 Sept 2017Excelsior crest1 - 2Heerenveen crestEredivisie
  • 11 Mar 2017Excelsior crest4 - 1Heerenveen crestEredivisie
  • 10 Dec 2016Heerenveen crest2 - 1Excelsior crestEredivisie
  • 17 Apr 2016Excelsior crest1 - 1Heerenveen crestEredivisie
  • 11 Dec 2015Heerenveen crest2 - 1Excelsior crestEredivisie
  • 1 Mar 2015Excelsior crest3 - 0Heerenveen crestEredivisie
  • 23 Aug 2014Heerenveen crest2 - 0Excelsior crestEredivisie
  • 10 Mar 2012Heerenveen crest4 - 2Excelsior crestEredivisie
  • 10 Dec 2011Excelsior crest0 - 5Heerenveen crestEredivisie
  • 2 Apr 2011Heerenveen crest2 - 3Excelsior crestEredivisie
  • 30 Oct 2010Excelsior crest0 - 2Heerenveen crestEredivisie
Full head-to-head →

Venue spotlight

Abe Lenstra Stadion
Heerenveen, Netherlands
27,224
Capacity