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Genoa vs AC Milan: prediction and lineups, Serie A

Matchday 11
Stadio Luigi FerrarisCapacity 36,703Sun, 8 Nov 202615:00
Genoa crestGenoa
Expected XI
AC MilanAC Milan crest
Expected XI · updates ~30 min before kickoff
Roberto Murgita portrait
Assistant
Roberto Murgita
Marco Landucci portrait
Assistant
Marco Landucci

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  • L. Venturino portraitGenoa crest
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Goal profile

This season

How often each side reaches a scoreline, across 10 matches each.

Genoa crestShare of their matchesAC Milan crest

They score

70%1+ goal100%
30%2+ goals80%

They concede

80%1+ goal70%
40%2+ goals30%
10%3+ goals10%
10%4+ goals10%

Heaviest results

Genoa crestbest 2-0 (H)·worst 1-4 (H)

AC Milan crestbest 3-0 (H)·worst 2-4 (H)

Where these sides shoot from

2025/26 season

Each attack set against the defence it meets, zone by zone. Season shares rather than a forecast; a figure beside a share is how far it sits from the league average, shown only where the gap is worth noticing.

GenoashootallowAC Milan
5.9%Six-yard box6.8%
58.1%-2.0Penalty area-4.255.9%
26.8%+1.5Edge of the box+3.729.0%
9.2%Long range8.2%

437 shots taken · 438 faced

AC MilanshootallowGenoa
7.1%+1.6Six-yard box6.6%
63.1%+3.0Penalty area+3.163.2%
23.8%-1.5Edge of the box-3.721.6%
6.0%-3.1Long range8.6%

504 shots taken · 486 faced

Shot locations, not player movement: where the ball was struck from, not where anybody ran. Shares are of each club's own shots, so a side that shoots often is comparable with one that does not.

Match preview

Genoa face AC Milan in Serie A at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. In their last 31 meetings, Genoa have won 5, AC Milan 19, with 7 drawn. BetsyScore's AI model makes AC Milan favourites at 49%, projecting a 1-2 scoreline. Follow live scores, confirmed lineups and full stats for Genoa vs AC Milan right here.

AI prediction
Confidence 49%
GEN14%
X37%
MIL49%

→ Double chance: AC Milan or draw

Why this prediction

The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.

Genoa crestShare per factorAC Milan crest
47%Form53%
35%Attack65%
58%Defence42%
34%Goal model (Poisson)66%
25%Head-to-head75%
43%Goals57%
40%Overall60%
Last 5 matches
Scored 6, conceded 5
Last 5 matches
Scored 11, conceded 7

Who will win?

Cast your vote!

Genoa crestCompare teamsAC Milan crest
Team formsLatestPts
11
Genoa crestGenoa
WWWLW
13
5
AC Milan crestAC Milan
WLWWD
21
Prematch standings

Head-to-headLast 31 meetings

Genoa crest5
Wins
7
Draws
19AC Milan crest
Wins
Show 25 earlier meetings
  • 15 Apr 2022AC Milan crest2 - 0Genoa crestSerie A
  • 13 Jan 2022AC Milan crest3 - 1Genoa crestCoppa Italia
  • 1 Dec 2021Genoa crest0 - 3AC Milan crestSerie A
  • 18 Apr 2021AC Milan crest2 - 1Genoa crestSerie A
  • 16 Dec 2020Genoa crest2 - 2AC Milan crestSerie A
  • 8 Mar 2020AC Milan crest1 - 2Genoa crestSerie A
  • 5 Oct 2019Genoa crest1 - 2AC Milan crestSerie A
  • 21 Jan 2019Genoa crest0 - 2AC Milan crestSerie A
  • 31 Oct 2018AC Milan crest2 - 1Genoa crestSerie A
  • 11 Mar 2018Genoa crest0 - 1AC Milan crestSerie A
  • 22 Oct 2017AC Milan crest0 - 0Genoa crestSerie A
  • 18 Mar 2017AC Milan crest1 - 0Genoa crestSerie A
  • 25 Oct 2016Genoa crest3 - 0AC Milan crestSerie A
  • 14 Feb 2016AC Milan crest2 - 1Genoa crestSerie A
  • 27 Sept 2015Genoa crest1 - 0AC Milan crestSerie A
  • 29 Apr 2015AC Milan crest1 - 3Genoa crestSerie A
  • 7 Dec 2014Genoa crest1 - 0AC Milan crestSerie A
  • 7 Apr 2014Genoa crest1 - 2AC Milan crestSerie A
  • 23 Nov 2013AC Milan crest1 - 1Genoa crestSerie A
  • 8 Mar 2013Genoa crest0 - 2AC Milan crestSerie A
  • 27 Oct 2012AC Milan crest1 - 0Genoa crestSerie A
  • 25 Apr 2012AC Milan crest1 - 0Genoa crestSerie A
  • 2 Dec 2011Genoa crest0 - 2AC Milan crestSerie A
  • 6 Feb 2011Genoa crest1 - 1AC Milan crestSerie A
  • 25 Sept 2010AC Milan crest1 - 0Genoa crestSerie A
Full head-to-head →

Venue spotlight

Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Genova, Italy
36,703
Capacity