FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven: prediction and lineups, UEFA Champions League

Each attack set against the defence it meets, zone by zone. Season shares rather than a forecast; a figure beside a share is how far it sits from the league average, shown only where the gap is worth noticing.

FC PortoshootallowPSV Eindhoven

6.9%Six-yard box-2.62.5%

60.3%+3.5Penalty area63.3%

24.5%-2.4Edge of the box25.2%

8.3%-2.3Long range9.0%

494 shots taken · 401 faced

PSV EindhovenshootallowFC Porto

8.7%+3.6Six-yard box-2.33.4%

61.6%Penalty area-7.249.4%

25.6%Edge of the box+2.829.9%

4.0%-3.7Long range+6.817.4%

597 shots taken · 328 faced

Shot locations, not player movement: where the ball was struck from, not where anybody ran. Shares are of each club's own shots, so a side that shoots often is comparable with one that does not.

Why this prediction

The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.

Share per factor