Everton vs Chelsea: prediction and lineups, Premier League

How often each side reaches a scoreline, across 6 matches each.

Share of their matches

Each attack set against the defence it meets, zone by zone. Season shares rather than a forecast; a figure beside a share is how far it sits from the league average, shown only where the gap is worth noticing.

EvertonshootallowChelsea

10.4%+2.0Six-yard box+1.910.3%

60.3%Penalty area61.5%

22.2%-2.5Edge of the box-1.623.1%

7.1%Long range-1.55.0%

423 shots taken · 416 faced

ChelseashootallowEverton

10.0%+1.6Six-yard box8.1%

58.6%-1.8Penalty area59.4%

26.9%+2.2Edge of the box25.7%

4.5%-2.0Long range6.9%

510 shots taken · 534 faced

Shot locations, not player movement: where the ball was struck from, not where anybody ran. Shares are of each club's own shots, so a side that shoots often is comparable with one that does not.

Why this prediction

The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.

Share per factor