Derby vs Stoke City: prediction and lineups, Championship
ChampionshipMatchday 11
Sat 17 Oct, 16:00
Match info
Pride ParkCapacity 33,597
Derby4-2-3-1Expected XI
Expected XI · auto-updates when the teams confirm ~30 min before kickoff
Assistant
Keith Downing
Assistant
Ryan Shawcross
AssistantKeith Downing
Keith Downing- N. BilokapićG
1 - R. O'DonnellG
12 - H. PriceG
1 - J. ThompsonG
1 - J. Widell ZetterströmG
1 - E. CashinD
44 - M. ClarkeD
5 - L. CrollaD
6 - C. ForsythD
3 - I. GordonD
2 - M. JohnstonD
22 - D. MurkinD
2 - R. NyambeD
24 - Raymond OfforD
42 - C. AllenM
27 - R. CanovilleM
4 - O. FrauloM
29 - K. GillM
8 - A. GroutM
20 - O. LukicM
16 - C. SmithM
7 - L. TravisM
27 - P. AgyemangF
7 - F. BilbijaF
13 - C. Blackett-TaylorF
33 - R. BrewsterF
10 - M. FuseiniF
16 - H. MeisterF
19 - L. SalvesenF
15
AssistantRyan Shawcross
Ryan Shawcross- F. FieldingG
34 - J. GriffithsG
24 - F. AndersonD
4 - L. BombinoD
21 - A. CresswellD
3 - L. GianiD
52 - B. GibsonD
23 - B. LawalD
18 - R. OtegbayoD
12 - J. TchamadeuD
22 - Bae Jun-HoM
10 - S. IngelssonM
6 - B. PearsonM
4 - T. RigoM
19 - R. BoženíkF
9 - S. GallagherF
20 - G. HirstF
15 - M. ManhoefF
42 - T. MartinF
16
Goal profile
This seasonHow often each side reaches a scoreline, across 9 matches each.
Share of their matchesThey score
67%1+ goal100%
22%2+ goals44%
They concede
89%1+ goal78%
56%2+ goals33%
22%3+ goals22%
Heaviest results
best 2-0 (A)·worst 0-3 (H)
best 4-0 (H)·worst 1-4 (A)
Match preview
Derby face Stoke City in the Championship at Pride Park. In their last 14 meetings, Derby have won 5, Stoke City 5, with 4 drawn. BetsyScore's AI model makes Stoke City favourites at 45%. Follow live scores, confirmed lineups and full stats for Derby vs Stoke City right here.
AI prediction
Confidence 45%DER10%
X45%
SC45%
→ Winner: Stoke City
Why this prediction
The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.
Share per factor13%Form87%
21%Attack79%
33%Defence67%
34%Goal model (Poisson)66%
50%Head-to-head50%
58%Goals42%
35%Overall65%
Last 5 matches
Scored 3, conceded 8
Last 5 matches
Scored 11, conceded 4
Who will win?
Cast your vote!
Head-to-headLast 14 meetings
5DerbyWins5 wins
4Draws
Draws4
5Stoke City
Wins5 wins
- 6 Apr 2026Derby2 - 0Stoke CityChampionship
- 9 Aug 2025Stoke City3 - 1DerbyChampionship
- 3 May 2025Derby0 - 0Stoke CityChampionship
- 2 Nov 2024Stoke City2 - 1DerbyChampionship
- 22 Jul 2023Derby3 - 0Stoke CityFriendlies Clubs
- 30 Dec 2021Stoke City1 - 2DerbyChampionship
Show 8 earlier meetingsHide earlier meetings
- 18 Sept 2021Derby2 - 1Stoke CityChampionship
- 20 Mar 2021Stoke City1 - 0DerbyChampionship
- 12 Dec 2020Derby0 - 0Stoke CityChampionship
- 31 Jan 2020Derby4 - 0Stoke CityChampionship
- 17 Aug 2019Stoke City2 - 2DerbyChampionship
- 13 Mar 2019Derby0 - 0Stoke CityChampionship
- 28 Nov 2018Stoke City2 - 1DerbyChampionship
- 28 Jan 2012Derby0 - 2Stoke CityFA Cup
Venue spotlight
Pride Park
Derby, England
33,597
Capacity