Como vs Manchester United: prediction and lineups, UEFA Champions League

Each attack set against the defence it meets, zone by zone. Season shares rather than a forecast; a figure beside a share is how far it sits from the league average, shown only where the gap is worth noticing.

ComoshootallowManchester United

4.2%Six-yard box8.6%

63.8%+3.7Penalty area59.7%

24.2%Edge of the box+1.726.4%

7.8%Long range5.4%

549 shots taken · 444 faced

Manchester UnitedshootallowComo

6.7%-1.7Six-yard box5.6%

60.9%Penalty area60.5%

25.6%Edge of the box-2.223.1%

6.9%Long range+1.810.8%

598 shots taken · 342 faced

Shot locations, not player movement: where the ball was struck from, not where anybody ran. Shares are of each club's own shots, so a side that shoots often is comparable with one that does not.

Why this prediction

The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.

Share per factor