Burnley vs Wolves: prediction and lineups, Championship

How often each side reaches a scoreline, across 8 and 7 matches.

Share of their matches

Each attack set against the defence it meets, zone by zone. Season shares rather than a forecast; a figure beside a share is how far it sits from the league average, shown only where the gap is worth noticing.

BurnleyshootallowWolves

5.6%-2.8Six-yard box7.9%

57.7%-2.7Penalty area60.4%

28.7%+4.0Edge of the box24.5%

8.1%+1.6Long range7.2%

359 shots taken · 530 faced

WolvesshootallowBurnley

5.3%-3.1Six-yard box+1.810.2%

60.4%Penalty area-2.258.2%

25.1%Edge of the box+2.427.1%

9.1%+2.6Long range-2.04.5%

374 shots taken · 639 faced

Shot locations, not player movement: where the ball was struck from, not where anybody ran. Shares are of each club's own shots, so a side that shoots often is comparable with one that does not.

Why this prediction

The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.

Share per factor