Bournemouth vs AC Milan: prediction and lineups, UEFA Europa League

Each attack set against the defence it meets, zone by zone. Season shares rather than a forecast; a figure beside a share is how far it sits from the league average, shown only where the gap is worth noticing.

BournemouthshootallowAC Milan

7.6%Six-yard box6.8%

53.7%-6.7Penalty area-4.255.9%

30.6%+5.9Edge of the box+3.729.0%

8.2%+1.7Long range8.2%

527 shots taken · 438 faced

AC MilanshootallowBournemouth

7.1%+1.6Six-yard box7.7%

63.1%+3.0Penalty area+4.564.9%

23.8%-1.5Edge of the box-2.222.5%

6.0%-3.1Long range-1.55.0%

504 shots taken · 481 faced

Shot locations, not player movement: where the ball was struck from, not where anybody ran. Shares are of each club's own shots, so a side that shoots often is comparable with one that does not.

Why this prediction

The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.

Share per factor