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Bayern München vs RB Leipzig: prediction and lineups, Bundesliga

Matchday 6
Allianz ArenaTobias Stieler15°C· light rainCapacity 75,024Sat, 17 Oct 202618:30
Bayern München crest4-2-3-1
Expected XI
4-3-3RB Leipzig crest
Expected XI · auto-updates when the teams confirm ~30 min before kickoff
Aaron Danks portrait
Assistant
Aaron Danks

Home

  • T. Buchmann portraitBayern München crest
    T. Buchmann
    Knee Injury
    Out
  • J. Musiala portraitBayern München crest
    J. Musiala
    Muscle Injury
    Questionable

Away

  • M. Guiu portraitRB Leipzig crest
    M. Guiu
    Hamstring Injury
    Out
  • A. Ouedraogo portraitRB Leipzig crest
    A. Ouedraogo
    Shoulder Injury
    Out
  • C. Baumgartner portraitRB Leipzig crest
    C. Baumgartner
    Thigh Injury
    Questionable

Goal profile

2025/26

How often each side reaches a scoreline, across 34 matches each.

Bayern München crestShare of their matchesRB Leipzig crest

They score

100%1+ goal91%
91%2+ goals56%
79%3+ goals24%
47%4+ goals9%

They concede

65%1+ goal68%
35%2+ goals29%
6%3+ goals21%

Heaviest results

Bayern München crestbest 8-1 (H)·worst 1-2 (H)

RB Leipzig crestbest 6-0 (H)·worst 0-6 (A)

Where these sides shoot from

2025/26 season

Each attack set against the defence it meets, zone by zone. Season shares rather than a forecast; a figure beside a share is how far it sits from the league average, shown only where the gap is worth noticing.

Bayern MünchenshootallowRB Leipzig
8.9%+2.4Six-yard box6.5%
62.3%Penalty area64.6%
24.8%Edge of the box23.9%
4.0%-2.4Long range5.1%

652 shots taken · 415 faced

RB LeipzigshootallowBayern München
7.4%Six-yard box5.8%
67.1%+4.0Penalty area63.6%
21.4%-2.7Edge of the box24.2%
4.1%-2.3Long range6.3%

538 shots taken · 363 faced

Shot locations, not player movement: where the ball was struck from, not where anybody ran. Shares are of each club's own shots, so a side that shoots often is comparable with one that does not.

Match preview

Bayern München face RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga at Allianz Arena. In their last 26 meetings, Bayern München have won 16, RB Leipzig 3, with 7 drawn. BetsyScore's AI model makes Bayern München favourites at 63%, projecting a 2-0 scoreline. Follow live scores, confirmed lineups and full stats for Bayern München vs RB Leipzig right here.

AI prediction
Confidence 63%
BM63%
X33%
RB4%

→ Winner: Bayern München

Why this prediction

The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.

Bayern München crestShare per factorRB Leipzig crest
62%Form38%
61%Attack39%
71%Defence29%
97%Goal model (Poisson)3%
93%Head-to-head7%
79%Goals21%
77%Overall23%
Last 4 matches
Scored 14, conceded 2
Last 4 matches
Scored 9, conceded 5

Who will win?

Cast your vote!

Bayern München crestCompare teamsRB Leipzig crest
Team formsLatestPts
3
Bayern München crestBayern München
DWWDW
11
5
RB Leipzig crestRB Leipzig
WLWLW
9
Prematch standings

Head-to-headLast 26 meetings

Bayern München crest15
Wins
8
Draws
3RB Leipzig crest
Wins
Show 20 earlier meetings
  • 24 Feb 2024Bayern Munich crest2 - 1RB Leipzig crestBundesliga
  • 30 Sept 2023RB Leipzig crest2 - 2Bayern Munich crestBundesliga
  • 12 Aug 2023Bayern Munich crest0 - 3RB Leipzig crestSuper Cup
  • 20 May 2023Bayern Munich crest1 - 3RB Leipzig crestBundesliga
  • 20 Jan 2023RB Leipzig crest1 - 1Bayern Munich crestBundesliga
  • 30 Jul 2022RB Leipzig crest3 - 5Bayern Munich crestSuper Cup
  • 5 Feb 2022Bayern Munich crest3 - 2RB Leipzig crestBundesliga
  • 11 Sept 2021RB Leipzig crest1 - 4Bayern Munich crestBundesliga
  • 3 Apr 2021RB Leipzig crest0 - 1Bayern Munich crestBundesliga
  • 5 Dec 2020Bayern Munich crest3 - 3RB Leipzig crestBundesliga
  • 9 Feb 2020Bayern Munich crest0 - 0RB Leipzig crestBundesliga
  • 14 Sept 2019RB Leipzig crest1 - 1Bayern Munich crestBundesliga
  • 25 May 2019RB Leipzig crest0 - 3Bayern Munich crestDFB Pokal
  • 11 May 2019RB Leipzig crest0 - 0Bayern Munich crestBundesliga
  • 19 Dec 2018Bayern Munich crest1 - 0RB Leipzig crestBundesliga
  • 18 Mar 2018RB Leipzig crest2 - 1Bayern Munich crestBundesliga
  • 28 Oct 2017Bayern Munich crest2 - 0RB Leipzig crestBundesliga
  • 25 Oct 2017RB Leipzig crest2 - 2Bayern Munich crestDFB Pokal
  • 13 May 2017RB Leipzig crest4 - 5Bayern Munich crestBundesliga
  • 21 Dec 2016Bayern Munich crest3 - 0RB Leipzig crestBundesliga
Full head-to-head →

Venue spotlight

Allianz Arena
München, Germany
75,024
Capacity