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Bayern München vs Arsenal: prediction and lineups, UEFA Champions League

Matchday 3
Allianz ArenaCapacity 75,024Wed, 21 Oct 202621:00
Bayern München crest4-2-3-1
Expected XI
4-2-3-1Arsenal crest
Expected XI · auto-updates when the teams confirm ~30 min before kickoff
Aaron Danks portrait
Assistant
Aaron Danks
Gabriel Heinze portrait
Assistant
Gabriel Heinze

Goal profile

2025/26

How often each side reaches a scoreline, across 14 and 15 matches.

Bayern München crestShare of their matchesArsenal crest

They score

100%1+ goal93%
86%2+ goals60%
57%3+ goals40%
43%4+ goals7%

They concede

86%1+ goal40%
21%2+ goals13%

Heaviest results

Bayern München crestbest 6-1 (A)·worst 1-3 (A)

Arsenal crestbest 4-0 (H)·worst 1-2 (A)

Where these sides shoot from

2025/26 season

Each attack set against the defence it meets, zone by zone. Season shares rather than a forecast; a figure beside a share is how far it sits from the league average, shown only where the gap is worth noticing.

Bayern MünchenshootallowArsenal
8.9%+2.4Six-yard box7.6%
62.3%Penalty area-2.857.6%
24.8%Edge of the box25.8%
4.0%-2.4Long range+2.48.9%

652 shots taken · 314 faced

ArsenalshootallowBayern München
11.6%+3.2Six-yard box5.8%
63.7%+3.3Penalty area63.6%
21.7%-3.0Edge of the box24.2%
3.1%-3.4Long range6.3%

554 shots taken · 363 faced

Shot locations, not player movement: where the ball was struck from, not where anybody ran. Shares are of each club's own shots, so a side that shoots often is comparable with one that does not.

Match preview

Bayern München face Arsenal in the UEFA Champions League at Allianz Arena. In their last 13 meetings, Bayern München have won 6, Arsenal 5, with 2 drawn. BetsyScore's AI model makes Arsenal favourites at 45%. Follow live scores, confirmed lineups and full stats for Bayern München vs Arsenal right here.

AI prediction
Confidence 45%
BM10%
X45%
ARS45%

→ Double chance: draw or Arsenal & over 1.5 goals

Why this prediction

The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.

Bayern München crestShare per factorArsenal crest
40%Form60%
67%Attack33%
0%Defence100%
38%Head-to-head62%
43%Goals57%
47%Overall53%
Last 2 matches
Scored 8, conceded 3
Last 2 matches
Scored 4, conceded 0

Who will win?

Cast your vote!

Bayern München crestCompare teamsArsenal crest
Team formsLatestPts
10
Bayern München crestBayern München
DW
4
7
Arsenal crestArsenal
WW
6
Prematch standings

Head-to-headLast 13 meetings

Bayern München crest6
Wins
3
Draws
4Arsenal crest
Wins
Show 7 earlier meetings
  • 15 Feb 2017Bayern Munich crest5 - 1Arsenal crestUEFA Champions League
  • 4 Nov 2015Bayern Munich crest5 - 1Arsenal crestUEFA Champions League
  • 20 Oct 2015Arsenal crest2 - 0Bayern Munich crestUEFA Champions League
  • 11 Mar 2014Bayern Munich crest1 - 1Arsenal crestUEFA Champions League
  • 19 Feb 2014Arsenal crest0 - 2Bayern Munich crestUEFA Champions League
  • 13 Mar 2013Bayern Munich crest0 - 2Arsenal crestUEFA Champions League
  • 19 Feb 2013Arsenal crest1 - 3Bayern Munich crestUEFA Champions League
Full head-to-head →

Venue spotlight

Allianz Arena
München, Germany
75,024
Capacity