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AC Milan vs Atalanta: prediction and lineups, Serie A

Matchday 7
San Siro/Giuseppe MeazzaDaniele Chiffi16°C· light rainCapacity 80,018Sun, 18 Oct 202618:00
AC Milan crest3-4-2-1
Expected XI
4-2-3-1Atalanta crest
Expected XI · auto-updates when the teams confirm ~30 min before kickoff
Marco Landucci portrait
Assistant
Marco Landucci
Stefano Citterio portrait
Assistant
Stefano Citterio

Home

  • M. Gabbia portraitAC Milan crest
    M. Gabbia
    Thigh Injury
    Out
  • A. Saelemaekers portraitAC Milan crest
    A. Saelemaekers
    Ankle Injury
    Out
  • P. Terracciano portraitAC Milan crest
    P. Terracciano
    Inactive
    Out

Away

  • R. Bellanova portraitAtalanta crest
    R. Bellanova
    Knock
    Out
  • E. Elmas portraitAtalanta crest
    E. Elmas
    Red Card
    Out
  • I. Hien portraitAtalanta crest
    I. Hien
    Muscle Injury
    Out
  • F. Kessie portraitAtalanta crest
    F. Kessie
    Inactive
    Out
  • O. Kossounou portraitAtalanta crest
    O. Kossounou
    Thigh Injury
    Out
  • G. Scalvini portraitAtalanta crest
    G. Scalvini
    Injury
    Out
  • K. Sulemana portraitAtalanta crest
    K. Sulemana
    Knee Injury
    Out
  • G. Raspadori portraitAtalanta crest
    G. Raspadori
    Injury
    Questionable

Goal profile

This season

How often each side reaches a scoreline, across 6 matches each.

AC Milan crestShare of their matchesAtalanta crest

They score

100%1+ goal83%
67%2+ goals33%
17%3+ goals17%

They concede

67%1+ goal83%
17%2+ goals50%

Heaviest results

AC Milan crestbest 3-0 (H)

Atalanta crestbest 3-1 (H)·worst 0-2 (A)

Where these sides shoot from

2025/26 season

Each attack set against the defence it meets, zone by zone. Season shares rather than a forecast; a figure beside a share is how far it sits from the league average, shown only where the gap is worth noticing.

AC MilanshootallowAtalanta
7.1%+1.6Six-yard box4.9%
63.1%+3.0Penalty area60.5%
23.8%-1.5Edge of the box24.8%
6.0%-3.1Long range9.8%

504 shots taken · 448 faced

AtalantashootallowAC Milan
6.4%Six-yard box6.8%
61.5%Penalty area-4.255.9%
27.4%+2.1Edge of the box+3.729.0%
4.8%-4.3Long range8.2%

563 shots taken · 438 faced

Shot locations, not player movement: where the ball was struck from, not where anybody ran. Shares are of each club's own shots, so a side that shoots often is comparable with one that does not.

Match preview

AC Milan face Atalanta in Serie A at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza. In their last 31 meetings, AC Milan have won 10, Atalanta 12, with 9 drawn. BetsyScore's AI model makes AC Milan favourites at 47%, projecting a 1-0 scoreline. Follow live scores, confirmed lineups and full stats for AC Milan vs Atalanta right here.

AI prediction
Confidence 47%
MIL47%
X37%
ATA16%

→ Double chance: AC Milan or draw

Why this prediction

The factors the model weighed, each split between the two sides.

AC Milan crestShare per factorAtalanta crest
65%Form35%
67%Attack33%
64%Defence36%
100%Goal model (Poisson)0%
15%Head-to-head85%
38%Goals62%
50%Overall50%
Last 5 matches
Scored 10, conceded 4
Last 5 matches
Scored 5, conceded 7

Who will win?

Cast your vote!

AC Milan crestCompare teamsAtalanta crest
Team formsLatestPts
5
AC Milan crestAC Milan
DWDDW
12
10
Atalanta crestAtalanta
WLLLW
9
Prematch standings

Head-to-headLast 31 meetings

AC Milan crest10
Wins
9
Draws
12Atalanta crest
Wins
Show 25 earlier meetings
  • 9 Dec 2023Atalanta crest3 - 2AC Milan crestSerie A
  • 26 Feb 2023AC Milan crest2 - 0Atalanta crestSerie A
  • 21 Aug 2022Atalanta crest1 - 1AC Milan crestSerie A
  • 15 May 2022AC Milan crest2 - 0Atalanta crestSerie A
  • 3 Oct 2021Atalanta crest2 - 3AC Milan crestSerie A
  • 23 May 2021Atalanta crest0 - 2AC Milan crestSerie A
  • 23 Jan 2021AC Milan crest0 - 3Atalanta crestSerie A
  • 24 Jul 2020AC Milan crest1 - 1Atalanta crestSerie A
  • 22 Dec 2019Atalanta crest5 - 0AC Milan crestSerie A
  • 16 Feb 2019Atalanta crest1 - 3AC Milan crestSerie A
  • 23 Sept 2018AC Milan crest2 - 2Atalanta crestSerie A
  • 13 May 2018Atalanta crest1 - 1AC Milan crestSerie A
  • 23 Dec 2017AC Milan crest0 - 2Atalanta crestSerie A
  • 13 May 2017Atalanta crest1 - 1AC Milan crestSerie A
  • 17 Dec 2016AC Milan crest0 - 0Atalanta crestSerie A
  • 3 Apr 2016Atalanta crest2 - 1AC Milan crestSerie A
  • 7 Nov 2015AC Milan crest0 - 0Atalanta crestSerie A
  • 30 May 2015Atalanta crest1 - 3AC Milan crestSerie A
  • 18 Jan 2015AC Milan crest0 - 1Atalanta crestSerie A
  • 11 May 2014Atalanta crest2 - 1AC Milan crestSerie A
  • 6 Jan 2014AC Milan crest3 - 0Atalanta crestSerie A
  • 27 Jan 2013Atalanta crest0 - 1AC Milan crestSerie A
  • 15 Sept 2012AC Milan crest0 - 1Atalanta crestSerie A
  • 2 May 2012AC Milan crest2 - 0Atalanta crestSerie A
  • 8 Jan 2012Atalanta crest0 - 2AC Milan crestSerie A
Full head-to-head →

Venue spotlight

San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Milano, Italy
80,018
Capacity